Cahnu
2.9K posts
Cahnu
@_Cahnu
Crypto and stocks trader. $HYPE Bull. Building @HyperAlertsApp. My #1 rule? Patience.
As my profile and post history has shown, I'm a massive $HYPE bull. Even I can look at the upcoming unlocks and recognize PA is saying we are at a mid term top until we see where price settles with that added sell pressure. For a breakdown, almost 500m worth of HYPE is unlocked as of 29 NOV. AF averages 2-3m/day with some outliers such as the recent 8m day. Even at 5m/day it would take the AF 4-5 months to absorb that kind of pressure if all was to be sold. Not saying all will be sold but the odds that some of it will is pretty high IMO. We've had a great run since the beginning of the year for anyone who's held this with me. $15 -> $49.5 I'm still a big believer in them long term but I'm fully hedging my spot position here and will be patiently waiting for the moment to get aggressive again. Likely late q4 or q1 2026 IMO.
Awful timing on this so far but I'm confident I close this comfy in profit if I'm patient.
$NVDA around $166-167 feels like a no-brainer to me. Clear invalidation. Strong support zone. Tradeable on @HyperliquidX. Targeting $175 short term.
HYPE is a completely different asset, and cheaper at $38 than it was at the same price last year due to the diversification of revenues and expansion of the product the offering. HYPE is still very under owned. Hyperliquid
The water in Japan is way too clean even during a flood lol
$HYPE We got rejected twice at $38.5 so clearly sellers are sitting around that area. If we reclaim $38.5 and hold above, I expect a move back to $40+ pretty fast. Still looks more like a healthy pullback after a strong impulse, honestly wouldn’t mind a sweep below $36 first and then a move up. If you want to win, you want to be on Hyperliquid.
I just got banned from @HyperliquidX ?? 😭😭 My main wallet was suddenly flagged as “high risk” by a third-party screening tool, and I can no longer connect to the Hyperliquid frontend I genuinely do not understand this decision, especially because it is happening now. Over the past two months, I had actually been much less active than usual because I was busy with other things and had taken a partial break from trading. I have been trading on Hyperliquid organically for months, usually once or twice a week, and I have been a real supporter of the ecosystem from early on. I am not posting this to attack Hyperliquid, because I still believe the team has built something exceptional. What I do find concerning is how cases like this are handled. I reached out on Discord to understand what happened, and instead of being able to explain myself or get any clarity, I was timed out for a week. I honestly do not believe I did anything wrong. This wallet has been mine for more than 4 to 5 years, and I have never been flagged or reported for suspicious activity on any airdrop or any platform I have ever used. This was also my main address on Hyperliquid, the one where I did most of my activity, with around $750,000 in total volume since the beginning. I know that may be negligible compared with some bigger traders, but it was still my primary account and an important part of my activity on the platform. I will keep trading on Hyperliquid using secondary addresses, because I still support the product, but the lack of transparency and the inability to defend yourself when flagged is genuinely harmful for users. All I am asking for is clarity, a fair review process, and the ability to understand what supposedly triggered this. If anyone can help me, or share any useful information that could help me resolve this situation, I would be immensely grateful !
I was looking at making a massive allocation into $HYPE for the next cycle. I decided against it. The product is great. The coin is great. But the math for a 10x is harder than alternatives. Here is my breakdown👇 My problem with HYPE is that it's too consensus. Everyone loves it. It's only down 45% from its ATH. When SOL and ETH went 30x+ on their runs, they started from -95% from ATH. People were being mocked for buying them for weeks/months. In my experience in crypto, if buying for a long term hold and your entry feels warm and comfortable then usually something is up. Could hype be the exception? Sure, it definitely could be. But let's look at the numbers. $8B Market Cap. $31B FDV. That gap means there is a massive wave of dilution coming. To hit my target of a 10x return, $HYPE would need to reach $80B Market Cap BEFORE it spits out 75% of the coins which are currently locked. This is a huge headwind. For context, $SOL was the undisputed leader of the last run and peaked at a $150B Market Cap. Literally everything went right for it too. My philosophy is: Be early, or be contrarian... and then be right. When you are both, that is where the 10x opportunities live. Unfortunately, I don’t believe $HYPE is the best oppty to hit that goal. Best of luck to everyone in it. Great project, but just not for me at this price. If for some reason it goes to $15ish and i have cash left I'll consider it.
