پن کیا گیا ٹویٹ
Wolf_Derek
3.4K posts
Wolf_Derek
@fbsferock
Market analyst & Crypto Trader Value Investor & Stock Picker (Small/Mid Caps ) Setups daily + real-time trading DM for collaborations
شامل ہوئے Mayıs 2020
540 فالونگ894 فالوورز
$WLD Literally the only currency still afloat and up 45% since our entry. Will they launch a nuclear bomb here too like with $ZEC ? 😆 Remember to take profits as you go, even now, don't leave anything to the market👨🏻💻
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$WLD Are we already going to $1? We broke the box. What I wanted, as I said yesterday, was one of the two triggers: breaking the upper box and consolidating above. Breaking it in these dire market conditions is a sign of extreme strength. +63% from entry, hold above and higher. Remember to take profits as you go
English
@ParadisLabs Exactly. People forget that even with the cash, they still have to actually find the supply. They're fighting for DRAM allocation against giants, so getting the volumes they need is going to be brutal. From here on it's pure momentum, the math just doesn't back it up
English
@fbsferock Yeah fundamentals are weakening now imo. Will be mainly sentiment driven if we go up another 200-300% cos I don't see a way for them to secure enough DRAM for the volumes they need to ship to even match this H1 EBITDA level.
English
So glad to see British tech like $RPI get some love:
+21.1% today after releasing H1 2026 earnings note:
-> H1 EBITDA: $38M (+96% YoY)
-> FY EBITDA forecast was $43.7M - so well on track to beat that.
Key driver is $RPI were holding 2025 DRAM inventory, purchased at lower costs vs. current prices.
Their DRAM inventories are expected to be depleted in H2...so could see some margin erosion coming up.
So this current EBITDA/stock price pump looks to be mainly timing related, rather than higher sales volumes.
Regardless, imo they'll still be able to secure inventory even w/ the booming demand rn since they've got existing memory relationships.
Which'll be mainly funded via debt = rising leverage = potential yellow flag for future earnings.
And I don't see a route where higher volumes can offset higher DRAM costs tbh.
For quick maths: they'd need to roughly ~2x H1 volumes (4M) to match current EBITDA levels.
---
Personally view this as a good point to take some profits, given the potential upcoming margin erosion via higher DRAM costs.
NFA ofc.
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs
Raspberry pie is delicious and I want some right now. With whipped cream. $RPI secondary offering today is a HUGE de-risking event: - Sale proceeds of ~£60M, anchored by $ARM - Free-float jumps meaningfully (was only ~26%), which should improve liquidity and reduce future volatility Transforms $RPI from a founder-led charity into a truly public company w/ a diversified institutional base. No longer a meme stock like Bloomberg said a few months ago lol. $ARM's anchor participation is very bullish for $RPI - deeper silicon roadmap collabs possible in edge AI. And imo, the $RPI flywheel (education -> developers -> OEMs -> edge compute) is spinning faster than most think. Longer term, $RPI financials will be defined by: - RP2350 - Raspberry Pi Connect - 1,300+ OEM relationships Edge-AI, industrial IoT, and decentralised compute are real tailwinds. Saying that, I'd be expecting some initial overhang / profit taking pressure in the next 2ish weeks though following the offering.
English
@Trader_XO I totally agree, XO, a true insider. Honestly, I've never liked the project. For me, the only true privacy coin is $XMR, but hey, who am I to judge?
English
@Rol_oni Thanks for the kind words, friend, much appreciated. Have a good day too🤝
English
@fbsferock I’m following you since last Friday Thank’s to Popeye.
I’m really happy to follow you you’re defenetly one of the best ones in this space 🫶
Have a nice day Derek !
English
#Crypto On May 29th, I warned that the market was extremely fragile. Total2 had lost its main support and that I expected a retest, rejection, and collapse. The overall market on a monthly basis was showing signs of crumbling. $BTC was extremely weak, $ETH itself, and AI coins were carefully observing AI dominance, setting triggers on both sides.
Exactly one week later, $BTC was 61k, $ETH was below 1.8k, AI coins (see the short on $RENDER in the previous post) and the rest of the sector were even worse. Since June 1st, I've executed a few trades, long on $WLD, and the rest I've published here are all transparent, but I've remained generally cautious. It turned out to be the right move. I hope someone followed the advice and at least preserved their capital.
This is simply the market.
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
#Crypto I think the situation is clear here on Total 2. We're seeing extreme weakness, and support has been lost. Closing the week below it would be extremely serious. We essentially have three scenarios/triggers here: the bearish thesis (the most likely at this point) is a direct collapse or retest of support, a rejection, and a collapse; the bullish thesis, or at least a short-term bullish thesis, is to reclaim support + VaH and consolidate above it, and only then potentially rally. Keep things simple and clear, adapt, and act accordingly. #Crypto $ETH
English
GM traders, morning overview: $ETH swing short hit +2.5R, taking further profits here, super happy with this trade too, we heavily shorted both $BTC and $ETH perfectly generating huge gains.
$ZEC founder confirms a critical bug in Orchard and the price collapses, it looks like he printed a LH on the weekly, it would be very bad, losing the lower white box and the price will go back to hell (for me the only privacy coin is $XMR).
$VVV seems cooked, closed below the 20 EMA for the first time on the daily since the start of the trend, it is about to lose the 200 EMA on the 4-hourly for the first time since the start of the trend, if it is confirmed, I would look for a short on a possible retest of $18.
There are not many interesting setups at the moment, weak, fragile market, so after weeks of acceleration now is the time to slow down a bit, protect capital and look for those 1 or 2 interesting setups, let's see with $VVV if we have the trigger.
English
Spot on🫱🏻🫲🏽 It’s wild to watch how fast the herd migrates. You're exactly right—it’s not even about the companies, it’s just people trading pure attention spans and volatility. The second the volume slows down on $FCEL or $PENG, everyone dumps them to chase the next shiny object like $RCAT. It’s basically a 72-hour pump-and-dump cycle packaged as 'investing', and the late-comers are just left holding a ghost town
English
Just an observation:
What's with everyone jumping in on trending stocks?
A couple of weeks ago it was $FCEL & $PENG
This week it's been $BRUN & $XFAB
Now it's gonna be $RCAT
No one even mentions $FCEL or $PENG anymore apart from a tiny subset of long-term bulls.
I personally find it all pretty strange. Maybe even a little concerning.
English
$PENDLE I closed my swing short completely at +5R, now I would be interested in a long scalp, on the daily it bounced on the VaL and on 0.75, now for confirmation + trigger I want it to recover on the 2h and consolidate above the white box, if it happens I expect a decent movement of 10%/15%, let's see, alarms set
English
$PENDLE Short swing completed🎯, over 5R🚀, perfect execution, iron patience.
Probably one of my best short swings ever.
Thanks for participating👨🏻💻✍️
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$PENDLE +5R🎯, one of my best swing shorts, great execution, taking huge profits here. Have a great Saturday today
English
$WLD Are we already going to $1? We broke the box. What I wanted, as I said yesterday, was one of the two triggers: breaking the upper box and consolidating above. Breaking it in these dire market conditions is a sign of extreme strength. +63% from entry, hold above and higher. Remember to take profits as you go
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$WLD I've had a few questions here, so here's a thought on the HTF horizon: We've bounced 40% from the activation trigger indicated above, now entering an important range. For a bullish continuation, I see two scenarios: a breakout and consolidation above the box, or a pullback to the previous Bos, which we broke at 0.4143 (the maximum of the pullback to avoid missing the macro breakout). Weekly, if we're seeing a real change in the HTF trend, the target levels are divided between the HTF VaH at $1, and then the two price ranges highlighted in the two macro boxes above. I'll update this situation as it happens
English
$WLD I've had a few questions here, so here's a thought on the HTF horizon:
We've bounced 40% from the activation trigger indicated above, now entering an important range. For a bullish continuation, I see two scenarios: a breakout and consolidation above the box, or a pullback to the previous Bos, which we broke at 0.4143 (the maximum of the pullback to avoid missing the macro breakout).
Weekly, if we're seeing a real change in the HTF trend, the target levels are divided between the HTF VaH at $1, and then the two price ranges highlighted in the two macro boxes above. I'll update this situation as it happens
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$WLD It's literally flying in space🚀, did you like the setup?😆
English