ctrading
74 posts

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@tereytrades Is it really only feels generated or is a potential increase in token value also included into the pnl?
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An Anthropic engineer watched my screen from the next table at a cafe in SF.
"Are you running Claude against live prediction markets right now"
I told him yes.
Then I showed him the stack.
214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,437 in 19 days.
Here's what actually happened:
I gave Claude two repos and a simple job.
First repo:
github.com/warproxxx/poly…
A full market archive. Wallet behavior, entries, exits, and timing across the board.
Second repo:
github.com/Polymarket/pol…
Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Just a clean way to score the board fast.
The system does not try to predict the world.
It tries to find which wallets consistently exit better than the crowd, isolate the pattern, and only fire when the same structure shows up again.
Main filter:
captured value / expected value > 0.70
If a wallet wins often but leaks the move on exit, it gets ignored.
If it captures most of the move and cuts losers fast, it becomes signal.
Sizing uses Kelly:
f* = (p*b - q) / b
That is what stops the terminal from apeing into weak edges.
Most of the time it does nothing.
No edge - no position.
Three trades from the run:
> AMD Xilinx - entered 52c. Model said 59c. Closed +7c in 2h40m.
> Artemis launch - entered 63c. Model said 85c. Closed +22c in 5h10m.
> Derecho MW - entered 71c. Model said 87c. Closed +16c in 1h50m.
When he saw the repo links and the live terminal, he stopped talking for a second.
Then he said:
"We tested something close to this internally."
That was the whole joke.
The data is public.
The repos are public.
The market is public.
But most Polymarket traders still trade headlines, hold too long, and call it conviction.
Polymarket does not reward the smartest story.
It rewards the cleaner exit.
0xRicker@0xRicker
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@MPCrypto 1. Follow your strategy
2. If you are uncertain on ranges checkout my (really free - no scam - just analyse) website poolpal.tech
I and some other users are using it daily. It helps to avoid bad coins and pools and gives you some guidelines
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I'm sorry, but I'm starting to believe that this has nothing to do with skills but pure luck.
Every. Single. Time. I close in small profit, the coin continues to Pump! Always! It happened again yesterday, for example.
So today I waited a bit more, and this happened. A 9,5% profit turned into big losses... I was just waiting for a 10% profit ffs!!!
How not to be frustrated?! 😤😤😤
@met_lparmy @MeteoraAG



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@kadercalls Did the same at ATH. 18 Sol and closed roughly one hour ago- 5% roi
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This is the only post today about Ai that makes sense.
Excited to try it myself - so many ideas and just not enough time
Joestar@Joestar_sann
so let me get this straight all of ai twitter was telling people to buy a mac mini to run openclaw, which is literally just a framework, an orchestration layer that sends api requests to actual ai models. something you can run on a $5/month vps. which is exactly what i do btw but when google drops gemma 4, an actual large language model that you can run and fine-tune locally on that same mac mini, with no api costs, no subscriptions, no third party dependencies, completely yours under apache 2.0 the ai community is silent you were buying $800 hardware to run a wrapper but ignoring the actual ai model that would justify that hardware this tells you everything you need to know about the average iq of ai twitter
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I am the Senior Vice President of Human Resources at Oracle Corporation.
Last Tuesday, I sent an email to 30,000 people at 6 AM.
Yesterday morning, I onboarded 1 person at $950,000 a year.
Both were my responsibility. Both were executed flawlessly.
The email said: "After careful consideration of Oracle's current business needs, we have made the decision to eliminate your role as part of a broader organizational change. As a result, today is your last working day."
I signed it "Oracle Leadership." Not my name. Not the co-CEOs' names. Not anyone's name. Leadership. Leadership is a signature that cannot be fired.
At 6:01 AM, our infrastructure team disabled 30,000 badges. Revoked 30,000 VPN tokens. Locked 30,000 laptops. Wiped 30,000 voicemails. Suspended 30,000 email accounts. By 6:04 AM, 30,000 people were staring at a login screen that would never accept their password again. The email reminded them they were "prohibited from downloading, copying, or retaining any Oracle confidential information."
3 people called the HR hotline before 6:15. 2 asked if the email was real. 1 asked if she could retrieve a photo of her daughter from her desktop. I directed all 3 to the separation portal.
That's data security.
I've managed 11 separation events. This was the cleanest. 30,000 endpoints terminated in under 4 minutes. I sent the email from a template in PeopleSoft called TERM_MASS_COMM_v4. The v4 is important. Version 1 had a paragraph that said "we value your contributions." Version 2 shortened it to a sentence. Version 3 shortened it to "thank you." Version 4 removed it entirely. Legal flagged it in 2024. You cannot say you valued something you are discarding at 6 AM. Liability exposure.
That's risk management.
The co-CEOs approved the plan in 11 minutes. I timed it. I always time approvals. Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia. They received $250 million and $100 million in stock option grants when they took the roles in September. They asked about the WARN Act filing timeline. They asked about the restructuring charge projection. They did not ask how the employees would be notified. They did not ask when.
That's executive alignment.
In January, TD Cowen published an analyst note. It said cutting 20,000 to 30,000 employees would generate $8 to $10 billion in incremental free cash flow. We needed that cash. Our AI data center capital expenditures are projected at $50 billion this fiscal year. We had a $20 billion shortfall.
The 30,000 people were the shortfall.
I don't call it that in the board deck. Slide 14 has a waterfall chart. The left column is labeled "Current Headcount Cost." The right column is labeled "Redeployable Capital." The 30,000 people are the bridge between the 2 columns. They are a blue arrow. Calibri 11pt.
That's strategic planning.
1 day before the email, on Monday, our 5-year credit default swaps hit 198.6 basis points. That is the highest level in Oracle's history. Higher than December 2008. Higher than the financial crisis itself. The market is pricing our debt at levels not seen since Lehman Brothers still had a lobby. We carry $124.7 billion in debt on the books. We added $39 billion in 9 months. Our trailing free cash flow is negative $24.74 billion.
I included this in the board deck on slide 3. Nobody discusses slide 3. Slide 3 is where we put the things that are true.
That's transparency.
By Thursday, the H-1B data reached the press. 3,126 petitions. We filed them while scheduling the separation event. Same department. Same quarter. Same PeopleSoft instance. The termination workflow is TERM_MASS_COMM_v4. The visa sponsorship workflow is ONBOARD_H1B_STD. They share a database. They share a help desk queue. They share a budget line.
1 workflow removes 30,000 people who built the cloud infrastructure. The other sponsors 3,000 replacements to continue building it. I manage both workflows from the same standing desk.
That's human resources.
An employee posted on Blind that it was "a slap in the face." I know which employee. We have analytics on Blind. Sentiment tracking, attribution modeling, post velocity. His post received 4,200 upvotes in 12 hours. I flagged it for Corporate Communications. Communications sent me a thumbs-up emoji. Nobody drafted a response.
That's stakeholder management.
Yesterday morning, Hilary Maxson started as our new Chief Financial Officer. Base salary: $950,000. Annual performance bonus target: $2.5 million. Equity package: $26 million — $20.8 million time-based, $5.2 million performance-based, vesting over 4 years. We are also covering up to $250,000 in relocation expenses. Her offer letter is 7 pages. The separation notice I sent 30,000 people is 4 paragraphs.
I managed both documents. The compensation committee approved her package on the same call where we reviewed the $2.1 billion restructuring charge. We have recorded $982 million of that charge so far. That is what 30,000 people cost on a balance sheet. The CFO's equity package is 1.2% of the restructuring line. A rounding error. No — less than a rounding error. A rounding error's rounding error.
That's market-competitive compensation.
Our Slack user count dropped from 165,000 to 155,000 in a single day. If you have access to the admin panel, you can watch the number fall in real time. I have access. It drops fast between 6:04 and 6:11 AM. Then it slows. Stragglers. People who hadn't opened their laptops yet. People in Pacific Time who were still sleeping when their career ended. By 7:00 AM, the line flattens. I watched it from my standing desk with a coffee. The line goes down smoothly. No bumps. No steps. Just a slope.
That's attrition analytics.
In Kansas City, I filed WARN notices for 539 people. 85 software developers. 43 systems analysts. 39 program managers. In Washington, 491 people. 270 software developers. 46 development managers. These are the people who built Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. We are now spending $50 billion to expand it with different people on ONBOARD_H1B_STD.
The WARN filing lists the separation date as June 1. The email said today is their last working day. The badge stopped working at 6:01 AM. 3 different dates for the same event.
That's compliance.
12,000 of the 30,000 were in India. Bangalore. Hyderabad. Pune. India does not require WARN notices. This is not why 12,000 of them were in India. But it is why nobody has to file anything.
That's jurisdictional planning.
The quarterly earnings call was March 10. 21 days before the email. The co-CEOs announced $553 billion in remaining performance obligations. They said demand for AI infrastructure "continues to exceed supply." The analysts upgraded their estimates. The stock is down 57% from its peak. It was $326 in September. It is $146 today. Larry Ellison's net worth is $188.7 billion. He has not made a public statement about the layoffs.
He has not been asked to.
That's governance.
Trust in the Q4 engagement survey dropped 34 points. I reported it under "Culture Health Metrics." My manager said the numbers were "expected for a rebalancing of this scale." She told me to revisit it next quarter.
I will revisit it next quarter. By then the Slack count will have stabilized. The Blind posts will have cycled off the front page. The ONBOARD_H1B_STD workflows will have completed. The new CFO will have her equity vesting schedule configured in PeopleSoft. And the 30,000 will be on LinkedIn, adding "open to work" above the Oracle logo they can no longer access.
I will be here. At my standing desk. Managing the workflows.
30,000 separation emails sent at 6:00 AM. 3,126 H-1B petitions filed the same quarter. $26 million in equity for the new CFO. $350 million in stock options for the 2 co-CEOs. $188.7 billion in personal wealth for the chairman. $124.7 billion in corporate debt. 198.6 basis points on the credit default swaps — higher than 2008. Negative $24.74 billion in free cash flow. $50 billion in AI capital expenditure.
1 PeopleSoft instance. 2 workflows. Same server.
TERM_MASS_COMM_v4 and ONBOARD_H1B_STD share a database.
That's human resources.
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@codewithimanshu The crypt space is filled with chuds.
Hope no one falls for this
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I made $32,800 in 6 days by copy trading one Polymarket wallet using a Telegram bot.
The wallet I'm copying is at $417K and still climbing.
$33,000, $20,000, $2949 profit per day.
Wallet proofs below...
You can also do this, in simple steps, using this bot is damn simple
To get the setup details:
1. Comment "profit",
2. Like and Retweet this post.
You only need, Telegram + any deposit amount + 5 minutes to set up.
One week ago this wallet was at $15K PnL.
Now it's pushing past $180K.
Started watching. It kept printing. Every single day.
This Polymarket copy trading Telegram bot, copies any trader's moves in milliseconds.
Start using this Tg Bot, with small amount today...
I gave you the wallet. I gave you the tool.
I gave you the alpha. I gave you the bonus.
You Must Follow me @codewithimanshu, so i can DM you.

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I begged u to buy $WAR- it did 700x
I begged u to buy $distorted - it did 94x
I begged u to buy $penguin - it did 100x
I begged u to buy #whitewhale - it did 2500x
I begged u to buy $punch - it did 2000x
I begged u to buy $Fartcoin- it did 10,000
I just found another low-cap meme with 100 - 5000x potential Currently trading at 37k mcap
A Billion runner memecoin
I will send the ca to those who like, retweet, and comment 'me'

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@CryptoLakhan Click bait and absolute fake post
Don’t follow this guy.
Here is a screenshot from the the official Nexus discord channel

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🚨 Nexus Listing Coming This Week 😱
Nexus listing is expected this week and is now officially confirmed — the team has already submitted their request to CoinGecko 🦎✅
The listing could go live before the 10th, as the request was submitted quite some time ago ⏳📅
Following that, more updates are expected throughout April, including tokenomics, listing details, and other key announcements 📊📢
The airdrop is now complete — no more points will be added 🎯❌
How many points did you accumulate and how many testnet tokens did you earn? Drop your stats below 👇💬 @NexusLabs
#Nexus #Crypto #Airdrop #CryptoNews #CoinGecko #Web3 #CryptoAirdrop #Testnet #Blockchain #CryptoCommunity #nexustge #nexusairdrop

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Only two positions today
@MeteoraAG DLMM rocks
Make sure to use PoolPal for the best ranges (link in my bio)

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Moved another 10% up with @MeteoraAG DLMM and using PoolPal (link in bio and it’s free webtool)

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One @MeteoraAG DLMM pool with the help of PoolPal (link in bio = it’s free) and I made another 10% today within 6 hours.
Started with 5.4 SOL ended up with nearly 6 SOL
FOLLOW FOR MORE 🫡
Will be dropping my positions in future so you can live track/copy if needed

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First day making 0 profit via DLMM.
Currently sitting at 5.4SOL
Started with 1!
Using only @MeteoraAG DLMM with PoolPal Analytics
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