Jack

We’ve been putting in that work. The harvest is now

@OfficialTourPro You wouldn’t be saying this if you saw my boy @Jaggy__ swing it

Rory Mcilroy’s golf swing at 800 FPS. Is this the best swing in golf?

Pricing glitch at DK. You can get Scottie to win the U.S. open at 189/1

No van a creer dónde estoy leyendo esto

Betting on Golf is like betting on single numbers in Roulette It's really fun

@ettingermentum My vote would be for @KentMurphree

Who would be the funniest Dem to win in 2028 and just end up being a really good president somehow.

@WorldisFuckedfr @anishmoonka Thanks, WorldisFuckedfr

@anishmoonka @jackdmurph His original statement is correct. A 1/14000 chance means a 99.992857% chance of not getting wiped out per year. Over 14000 years, you can raise that percentage to the power of 14000, which gives a 36.78% chance of not being wiped out in that span. So wipe out is probable by then

We live on a planet with 1.3 billion habitable years left. We've had rockets for 69 of those years. In that time, the cost of reaching orbit dropped from $54,500 per kilogram to $2,720, and SpaceX is targeting under $100 with Starship. If they hit that number, getting to space becomes 545 times cheaper in a single lifetime. 329 orbital launches happened in 2025. Almost one a day. The space economy crossed $626 billion last year and should hit a trillion by 2034. SpaceX just filed for an IPO targeting a $2 trillion valuation, worth more than every airline on Earth combined. Starship, their fully reusable rocket (both stages fly back and land), can lift 150 tons to orbit. The entire International Space Station weighs 420 tons. Three flights could put the whole thing up there. The engineering side of this is solved. What remains is a survival problem. Researchers published a paper in Scientific Reports calculating the natural extinction rate for humans, how often we'd get wiped out by asteroid strikes, supervolcanoes, the stuff we can't control. Less than a 1-in-14,000 chance in any given year. At that rate, we'd survive millions of years, more than enough to spread across the solar system. Toby Ord, a philosopher at Oxford who spent a decade studying how civilizations end, puts the odds of a civilization-ending catastrophe before 2100 at 1-in-6. The threats aren't from space. Nuclear war. Viruses engineered in labs that could spread before anyone understands what hit them. AI systems are smart enough to act on goals we never gave them. All things we built ourselves. A 2017 NASA paper made this case: we have a roughly 50-year window to lock in spacefaring infrastructure before resources run thin and energy costs make a restart nearly impossible. We're 9 years into that window. Given enough time, the math takes this to 100%. The only question that matters is whether we make it through the next few decades without blowing our shot.

@cozymandilon @anishmoonka Am I being rage baited

@jackdmurph @anishmoonka If that was the case, betting on red on roullette would hit for sure after black. But the odds stay the same every spin.

@anishmoonka I know that. I’m not saying we would become extinct at year 14,000. I’m saying that given a 1/14,000 chance it’s likely that we would go extinct at some point in the next 14,000 years - or at least way sooner than a million years.

that's not how probability works. a 1-in-14,000 annual chance doesn't mean extinction happens at year 14,000. it means in any single year there's a 0.007% chance. you could run that clock for millions of years and still be standing. same reason you don't die on your 75th birthday just because life expectancy is 75

OU Director of Compliance Brady Newville is also on the witness list. Heinecke's legal counsel is led by Mary Quinn Cooper at McAfee & Taft, who is considered one of the best lawyers in the state of Oklahoma.

How the fairway bunker on the par 5 second looks at every golfer I bet at the Masters

There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild. He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed. When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them. Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate. The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions. Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement. The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean. That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.

I’ve covered the Masters since 2005. What makes it so special? Well, plenty. But here’s the best explanation I can come up with: It’s the only place you’ll ever go where everyone is exactly where they want to be. DisneyWorld? No way. Family wedding? Doubtful. But Augusta National during Masters week? You won’t find a single person who’d rather be somewhere else. Add in the device-free environment and it makes for such a unique dynamic that you literally won’t find elsewhere. Everyone is just happy to be where their feet are.

When you’re about to arrest a guy who was clearly driving off the percs but he tells you he just got off the phone with the president x.com/TopTierState/s…

I just can't believe the guy who attacked his own capital would be this crazy.

@jphoornstra Why isn’t this a home run?

I don't really care how the math works out; if you rob three home runs to preserve a 1-0 win, that's a 1-WAR game.

Good DUI attorneys always recommend: 1) Refuse all voluntary field sobriety tests 2) Immediately call POTUS from your cell phone

@CaseyMattox_ “Somewhat larger and faster scale”

I don't think I had fully appreciated how this works, but it's obvious now. NASA is aiming for a point in space where they know the moon will be. Like throwing to a receiver, but on a somewhat larger and faster scale.

Me to the starter after bombing my drive down the middle of the fairway after he asked if I was sure I wanted to play from the tips