ᴍᴀɴᴅᴇʜ
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ᴍᴀɴᴅᴇʜ
@mandehbutton
90% coffee, 10% funny. Game addict, nerd, ex-WoW tryhard. If I was funny, I would have a good Twitter bio.





I can’t deal with more snow at this point 🫠🫠


2/22-23/26 POSSIBLE BLIZZARD: FIRST CALL FORECAST Good evening everyone! I hope you're all doing well! Attached below is my first forecast for the impending nor'easter that I'm expecting that could turn into a blizzard for the northeastern United States this Sunday into the daytime on Monday. I'm expecting a very strong system--here's what I know. We have a favorable ridge setting up over NW Montana and Idaho that has been trending more and more amplified across all data in the last 24-36 hours. Downstream, this is causing our trough to dig VERY deep across the Eastern U.S., which is allowing for more separation of our 50/50 low. This is causing our block (-NAO) to have more of an impact on the storm's evolution--slowing it down, while providing some cold air. With the ridge out west, this trough looks to go negative pretty quickly, causing a low pressure system to take shape and, in my opinion, tuck pretty close off the coast of New Jersey and Long Island overnight Sunday into Monday, then heading east past coastal Southern New England Monday evening. What this'll allow for is a strong system with abundant frontogenesis, particularly at 700mb and 800mb, which would induce heavy snowfall rates of 2-3"/hour for a large region. An inverted trough at onset will provide a localized swath of higher amounts--my highest confidence in this remains it being somewhere in Central Pennsylvania. With a strong system like this, we will also have strong winds and erosion near and along the coasts. Winds will likely be up to 20mph, gusting to 40mph at times especially along the coast. This would be conducive for blizzard conditions, at times, primarily east of I-95 and along the coast. This is a first call, and I do think there will be adjustments, but at the moment, I'm remaining confident that we will see a major winter storm develop on Sunday that will bring impacts to the entire region. Updates will be on the way and a final snowfall map will be issued tomorrow evening. Regardless of the scale of impact, begin preparing now. Have a great evening everyone! #PAwx #NJwx #NYwx #MAwx #CTwx #RIwx #VTwx #NHwx #MDwx #DEwx #VAwx #WVwx #OHwx









