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I think it's dumb to argue that anthropic's messaging problem is that they say agi-pilled things in public. they believe what they say, and directionally speaking (Dario's probably wrong on labor) many other labs agree (as do I, btw). Sam Altman says agi-pilled stuff in public, and so does Demis. Asking them to stop speaking of such things is not just low-iq but irresponsible; you're begging for these people to lie to the public. Why would you do that?
Ironically, I would situate Anthropic/Dario's main political and messaging mistake in precisely the opposite terms: their worst errors come when their actions do not reflect belief in near-term powerful AI.
For example, take Anthropic's decision to hire ~all of the key architects of Biden's AI policy in the opening weeks of the Trump admin. This is a clearly antagonistic move; most companies would try to elevate Republicans in that moment. Now, I consider the Biden people they hired to be friends and even-sometimes collaborators, and regardless I think they are competent and patriotic people.
But: if you are Anthropic, don't you believe that the Trump administration *is* the executive branch you'll have to contend with through AI takeoff? *why would you antagonize them in this way if you really believed that*?
I believe that they are honest in their beliefs about AI, and can occasionally be profoundly un-strategic (even anti-strategic) in their Washington game. The latter, imo, is the thing to criticize, not the former. that is, it's the thing to criticize, if you absolutely must turn the flowering of digital superintelligence into a damn telenovela.
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