walter

A few heretical predictions for the next decade of crypto. standardcrypto.vc/thoughts/a-few…

@jakobdiepen @CWNazarian @isaiah_p_taylor @tfeldmann do it tomorrow

Gundo bonfire RETURNS tonight at Dockweiler, 6:30pm, DM @CWNazarian or me for coordinates!

Christianity gives you reason to hate death AND not fear it. Other religions give you one, but not both.

@hasufl trying to think of a good counter. will come back in 10 years :0

@waltjsmith I see no possible case why OSS should benefit more. The data moat of the closed source models is unmatched.

assuming we get recursive self-improvement (big assumption) who benefits more?

@jakobdiepen forgot one

May be the best Cohort yet… Teams to be revealed on April 15th at Demo Day

I'm excited for AGI, but the conception of superintelligence being derived from probabilistic computation has always seemed and will always be hilarious to me.

There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild. He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed. When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them. Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate. The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions. Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement. The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean. That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.

@g_kasten done

Tomorrow… dm if interested

wild to see that Sam is actually Peter Keating

@xwanyex what was Peter's motive to lie, watch his wife be crucified, and then be crucified upside down himself? if you trust the early church texts, then he is either a liar, a madmen, or a saint.

This is what I mean when I say that a lot of Christian apologetics are embarrassingly bad. “The resurrection must be true, because the apostles were willing to die for it and nobody dies for a lie” is an argument that’s beneath thinking people.

@spacanpanman where at?

Great weekend 🎿

Images that go hard

glad we're mainstreaming a conversation on california's rail disaster, as it's the gateway to understanding why america can't build anymore. but the msm is still afraid to spell it out: the purpose was never to build rail, but to buy union votes. in this, the dems succeeded.

Today is Good Friday. Thank you, Jesus for your amazing and unthinkable sacrifice. You died so that we would have life, and life in abundance. “It was nine in the morning when they crucified him. The written notice of the charge against him read: the king of the jews … With a loud cry, Jesus breathed his last. The curtain of the temple was torn in two from top to bottom. And when the centurion, who stood there in front of Jesus, saw how he died, he said, ‘Surely this man was the Son of God!’” Mark 15

A short afternoon nap restores brain neuroplasticity.

first vibecoded billion-dollar company?

Someone just caught Artemis from their flight. Cool view of little piece of history!

since its spring again, always remember that disease carrying ticks were released, accidentally or maliciously, we'll never know, from a government lab in the northeast US, and thats the reason now that you can get a horrible lifelong illness just from being outside

"That’s exactly what you told me not to do." Brother

Sunlight and longer daylight hours are some of the most potent hormone modulators. Go outside, the sun wants you to be a little more beautiful, a little less inflamed.