Chris Grey

A civilization isn’t measured by technology or by money. It’s measured by the absence of violence and fear of violence among the population. By that metric, we need to reconsider which countries are truly civilized.

@Microinteracti1 @shaunking The Iranians likely have Chinese and Russian air defense running now. There should be no doubt that the Chinese and the Russians know how to shoot down these planes.

The F-35 was supposed to be unkillable. That was the whole point. Lockheed Martin spent thirty years and four hundred billion dollars, the most expensive weapons programme in human history, building an aircraft that the enemy simply could not see. Not on radar. Not on infrared. Not on anything. The F-35 was not just a fighter jet. It was a theological statement. America’s way of saying: we have moved beyond the reach of your missiles, your sensors, and your prayers. Iran apparently didn’t get the memo. Somewhere over Iranian airspace on March 19, 2026, an IRST system, infrared search and track, the kind of sensor your grandmother could probably explain, looked up, found the F-35, and locked on. Not because Iranian engineers are geniuses. Because the F-35, it turns out, is extremely hot. All that engine. All that thrust. All that carefully sculpted stealth geometry, and the bloody thing glows like a kettle. The heat signature data Iran now holds is not just embarrassing. It is a gift that keeps giving. To Moscow. To Beijing. To every procurement ministry on the planet that has been quietly wondering whether to spend the money on systems designed to kill this aircraft. The answer, as of this week, is yes. And here is the bit that should really worry the Pentagon. You can patch software. You can redesign coatings. You cannot reprogramme a pilot’s brain. Every F-35 driver who takes off from here on knows, actually knows, that someone down there might be able to see them. That changes everything about how they fly. Caution replaces aggression. Hesitation replaces instinct. Four hundred billion dollars. And in the end, it was done in by a heat sensor. Tremendous. Gandalv / @Microinteracti1

I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…

@DropSiteNews @abierkhatib These are BRICS/China/GCC plans that he’s repeating. This suggests he really does want the war to end if any of this is true. But it’s also true that pipelines are very easy to disrupt if there’s still a war in the region.

💢 Netanyahu calls to bypass Hormuz with pipelines west from Saudi Arabia to Israel ICC-fugitive Israeli PM PM Benjamin Netanyahu said the world must move beyond reliance on vulnerable maritime “choke points” like the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively shut. 🔸He said a product of the war on Iran could be: ➤ new oil and gas routes that bypass both Hormuz and the Red Sea entirely ➤ specifically pipelines running west across the Arabian Peninsula to Israeli ports ➤ Said such projects would “do away with the choke points forever” and stabilize global energy flows ➤ Tied the plan to his long-standing “land bridge” vision linking Asia to Europe through Israel Netanyahu also claimed the war with Iran could end “a lot faster than people think,” and that these projects could follow quickly.

@philippilk @KitKlarenberg The US has been playing liars poker while the Russians and the Chinese have been playing chess. It’s checkmate time. But the US doesn’t even know it yet. Hopefully someone on the US side has enough sense to know it’s over and negotiate a deal.

Russia and China are going to start hoarding fuel. People have no idea how bad this could get. We are sleepwalking into oblivion. 🛢️✖️

@RnaudBertrand He’s the kind of guy who would have cheerfully turned his neighbors over to the SS or the Gestapo during WWII. There’s a reason it only took Germany 5 days to “defeat” the Netherlands. People like Mark Rutte were probably in charge.

I can't find words strong enough to express the amount of contempt Europeans should feel for this guy 👇 I started writing a long explanation why, but I deleted it because at this stage it's just so painfully obvious. You guys know.

Japan is now openly buying Russian oil with the yuan. The Trump administration tried to strong-arm Takaichi into a joint statement on the Strait of Hormuz, and Japan said no. Publicly, Officially, Finally. So even America’s so-called ‘closest ally’ is spitting on the petrodollar.....

US Vice President Vance plus other senior officials are meeting with the American oil industry today (at the API hq, rather than at the White House). It would be ironic if the US oil lobby was the one which put a brake on the White House's war campaign. I think that's likely.

Since no one will see this anyway, here is a list of everyone I think should be drafted. 1. Mark Levin, we need the enthusiasm you bring to X on the front lines. Drafted. 2. Lindsey Graham, I hear you want to ask South Carolinians to send their sons and daughters to fight for Israel, well homie, You first. Drafted. 3. Ben Shapiro, you say this is the single greatest foreign policy move of your lifetime? You should see it from the front lines, legend. Drafted. 4. Every single person who has been telling Trump he is “the non-Jewish Messiah”. Yes we know about that. Congratulations on cracking the code, you win front row seats to see “Cyrus” usher in your apocalypse. Drafted. 5. Anyone saying “Charlie would have wanted this.” Bro, You’re as evil as they come. But F*** you you’re drafted now. 6. BiBi Netanyahu. I command you to rise from the dead or wherever the heII you are and be drafted. 7. Everybody in the government who supports this war and all their firstborn sons. Drafted. 8. People who believe abortion is healthcare— Guess what. War with Iran is healthcare now. Drafted. 9. The history retarded who think George Washington would want war with Iran. lol. You’re too dumb to insult. Drafted. 10. Men who compete in women sports. Iran is the women’s sports now. Drafted. 11. Every pundit who destroyed their credibility over the last 3 months defending Jeffrey Epstein. Ew. Drafted. 12. Everyone on the Epstein client list. You’re double drafted. 13. Everyone who participated in the 2020 George Floyd riots. Drafted. 14. The Covid tyrants. You’re all drafted now. 15. The corpses of Dick Cheney and John McCain. Drop them in Iran, they should see this. Drafted. 16. The El Salvador Prisoners. Microchip them all, they’re dying for Israel. Drafted. 17. Bill Kristol, David Frum, Max Boot, Jennifer Rubin, Victoria Nuland. Get out of my sight, you’re all drafted. 18. John Bolton. You’re the most drafted of all. 19. The J6 committee. You’re the war with Iran committee now. Drafted. 20. People who don’t like dogs. You can’t be trusted. Drafted. 21. Every podcaster who lied us into this war and every other war. Drafted. 22. Vegans, cyclists, crossfitters, and people with pronouns in their bio. Drafted. 23. Antifa. You psychopaths are fkn crazy. We need that. Drafted. 24. The $7000 club, and anybody is taking money to lie to you. Drafted. 25. Feminists and male feminists. You’re both just awful. Drafted. 26. People who asks Grok “is this is real”. Drafted. 27. PETA. You brought this up upon yourselves. Drafted. 28. Activists for foreign nations. You’re all activists for the war in Iran now. Drafted. 29. People who blow rape whistles at protests. I could not draft you fast enough. 30. People who report their untaxed purchases across state lines. You won’t be hurting America anymore. Drafted. 30. Gun-grabbers. Grab this d***. Drafted. 31. AIPAC. I could not draft you harder if I tried. 31. Furries. Get in the box or your antisemitic. Drafted. 32. Pedos. Get comfortable, you won’t be coming back. Drafted. I reserve the right to add to this list

"When you go into a war thinking you're going to win quickly, and you don't win quickly, you end up on a WAR OF ATTRITION, which in most cases, you're NOT prepared for..." Dr. John Mearsheimer compared the US war on Iran to Germany's invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941, and noted that much like the Nazis, the US has gotten itself stuck in a war it wasn't prepared for, and can't win.

@johnkonrad Is this a parody account? 🤡🌎🤦🏻‍♂️

If we lost the war it would undermine him. Which is why the media is hell bent on saying Iran has a fighting chance left and the American military is losing. Unbelievable considering we sunk their entire Navy and our ships don’t have a single battle scar.

The Fuckening of white-collar workers has arrived. blog.andrewyang.com/p/the-end-of-t…

Andrew Yang is calling it "The Fuckening." That's his actual word for it. And honestly it fits. A CEO of a publicly traded tech company told him directly: "We're firing 15% now. Another 20% in two years. Another 20% after that." There are 70 million white collar workers in this country. Yang projects 20 to 50% of those jobs gone within a few years. The low end of that is 14 million people. The entire 2008 crisis wiped out 8.7 million. The difference this time is the jobs don't come back. A recession ends and companies rehire. This time the work still gets done. It just gets done by software. The position itself stops existing. Nothing expands margins like replacing a $379K employee with a $200/month subscription. We track it all at layoffhedge.com. 58 companies. 254,000 people. And climbing. Yang is writing about what's coming. We're counting what's already here.

Here’s the math: 🔸 Normal Hormuz flows: ~20–21M barrels/day (20% of global oil needs) → now ~5.5M → about 15M barrels/day missing from global supply → over a month: ~450M barrels short 🔸 U.S. + IEA releases: ~400M barrels announced → but only ~2M barrels/day can actually reach market → over ~25 days: ~50M barrels delivered → still leaves ~400M barrel gap 🔸 Russian oil stranded at sea: ~130M barrels → reduces gap to ~270M 🔸 Iranian oil (if unsanctioned): ~140M barrels → reduces gap to ~130M 🔸 Saudi + UAE rerouting exports: ~7M barrels/day via Red Sea + Fujairah → ~140M barrels over ~20 days If all of this works perfectly, the shortfall could be closed through the end of March — but only if stranded oil flows and Gulf exports ramp as planned. 🔹The U.S. would still need a solution for Hormuz after March.

How do I explain that massive gap between US oil futures and the ROW? Manipulation of oil futures by the US government and/or its proxies. The line in the sand is $100. These efforts will backfire and are highly destructive to market function. 8 days - lol 👇

There’s another credible theory out there that the GCC, global private capital, and some factions of Iran are collaborating to void long term contracts that were at lower prices. Force majeure can legally do that. Qatar owns 70% of US LNG production through various deals. They can benefit from structurally higher prices due to supply shortages. Along with this theory is also credible narrative that Iran and the GCC, and Israel, all want the US out of the region. They would rather work with BRICS. No matter which theory is accurate, China and Russia are the big winners in this war so far. So that’s worth considering. Check out @EvanWritesOnX for more details on this alternate narrative.

I was, unfortunately, in the right ballpark: Qatar Energy just announced they may have to declare Force Majeure on long-term contracts **FOR UP TO FIVE YEARS**. As I wrote, we're deep into worst-case scenario territory.

@Tracking_Power @freedomrideblog China has already dismantled the legacy diamond trade. It’s already crashed and is never coming back. Technology has replaced it.

There are no diamonds in ‘Israel’, yet the entity is the world’s 6th diamond producer. Where do they get the diamonds? From Jewish supremacist billionaires, asset stripping and expropriating Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo. One of them is Lev Leviev, who is close to Putin and Netanyahu. He is one of the largest donors in Russia, to the genocidal cult and organised crime network, known as Chabad. The diamond trade contributes significantly to the Zionist economy and military. @PDeclassified

@thesiriusreport The Chinese strategy of wu wei is working very well against the US. So is the Russian strategy of patient attrition. Iran could have avoided this mess as you said with a Russian deal. Their leaders were arrogant and stubborn. Now everyone is paying the price.

Ask yourself why the US barely mentions North Korea these days?Never threatens to go to war with it or threatens to invade it? Quite simply, it has nuclear weapons. Iran was offered many things by Russia and it turned them down. Granted that's their choice. If Iran had possessed nuclear weapons itself the US and Israel would never have started this war. Precisely why as said earlier, North Korea is left alone. What is being missed by many commenting on the post below is there is a world of difference if Russia offered Article 5 protection against DIRECT US and Israeli attacks, precisely because they are nuclear powers. That changes the rules of engagement totally. What changes the entire dynamic is when two nations in a DIRECT conflict BOTH have nuclear weapons or are protected by nuclear weapons. Whilst we are at pains to state that Iran has every right to defend itself and sadly unless we state the blindingly obvious, there are going to be people who infer we are suggesting otherwise. There is something that needs to be said. It would have been better for Iran if this war never happened. Because what is largely overlooked is not only how does this war end but how will there be lasting peace? Who seriously imagines an agreement signed by the US and Israel is going to end this conflict once and for all? By telling them to be good boys and leave Iran alone. Don't be ridiculous. Rather like Russia is now finding, ending the war in Ukraine and finding a lasting settlement which will endure is extremely difficult to achieve. People seem to think that war is the answer to achieve lasting peace. It is far better to never have a war starting in the first place. The only language the US understands is a nuclear deterrent. Just ask North Korea. To those who constantly cite Ukraine as though that contradicts what is stated above you are clearly not paying attention to what has actually gone on there for the last 4 years. Ask yourself why there is a back channel open with Washington constantly doing everything to avoid escalation with Moscow. If you think the INDIRECT role the US has played in Ukraine warrants a nuclear exchange between the US and Russia you don't understand real world geopolitics nor the actual role the US has played in the Ukraine war. Never has the US remotely posed an existential threat to Russia in the last 4 years. That is critical and poorly understood. China has demonstrated that you can end an hegemonic power without firing a single shot. Nations still don't grasp that true deterrence is the only answer. Wars solve nothing. In fact they do the exact opposite. Instead of focussing on why Iran has every right to defend itself, focus on what should have been done to prevent the US and Israel attacking Iran in the first place. Hence why Iran did indeed make a big mistake as stated below.