Danny Scarponi

Eros and Empire is out today! Yikes! 20% discount code - for US and Canada: STOFFEL20 - for international orders: FFF24 sup.org/books/politics…

How can AI be used to help anticipate future viral variants that could avoid immune detection? bit.ly/3tH4gMB

In our paper, now out in @GlobalHealthBMJ, we explored for the first time the effects of the large amounts of uncertainty that exists around the properties of self-clearance of Mtb infection on estimates of TB vaccine impact. gh.bmj.com/content/8/8/e0… @richardwhite321 @ra_clark18

Happy to share that the second paper from my #PhD is now available online at @BMCMedicine! 🎉 Our modelling has shown that introducing new #TB vaccines could have a substantial health and economic impact in #India by 2050 🧵👇 bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…

The research on M72/AS01E and BCG- revaccination above was conducted by @ra_clark18 @cweerasuriya @AllisonPortnoy @cmukandavire @matthew_quaife Roel Bakker @DannyScarponi @RebeccaCHarris @drkiranrade @Sanjay_kamttoo @dheedoc @NickMenzies2 @richardwhite321 bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…

Register now! Durham University is hosting online workshops on the calibration of deterministic/stochastic epi models using history matching with emulation and the R package hmer. eventbrite.com/e/calibrating-… eventbrite.com/e/calibrating-… @richardwhite321 @fast4s @tandethsquire @IDDconf

The first paper for my PhD thesis is now available at @LancetGH! 🎉 Our modelling shows that introducing new #TB #vaccines are likely to have a substantial health impact in LMICs 🗺️🦠💉 From @lshtm_tbmod @LSHTM_TB @LSHTM_Vaccines @cmmid_lshtm @LSHTM thelancet.com/journals/langl…

Our paper is now out in Epidemics! See how new R-package hmer can be used to easily and efficiently calibrate complex epidemiological models. @DannyScarponi @tandethsquire @ra_clark18 @fast4s @cmukandavire @cweerasuriya @richardwhite321 @lshtm_tbmod doi.org/10.1016/j.epid…

Is the full value of new Tuberculosis vaccines being underestimated? You decide! Highlights from our new work with @WHO, released today, below... who.int/publications/i…

Due to the high number of registrations for the 17-18 November online workshop on the calibration of deterministic and stochastic models, we will repeat the workshop on 8-9 December. Info and registration at eventbrite.com/e/calibrating-… @richardwhite321 @tandethsquire @fast4s @IDDconf

New @BioMedCentral Public Health paper showing that the risk of #Mtb transmission can vary greatly between settings due to differences in ventilation and occupancy. Public transport 🚍🚃 may be particularly high risk in South Africa 🇿🇦 doi.org/10.1186/s12889…

Register now! Durham University is hosting a 2-day online workshop on the calibration of deterministic and stochastic infectious disease models using history matching with emulation and the R package hmer. eventbrite.com/e/calibrating-… @richardwhite321 @tandethsquire @fast4s @IDDconf

Preprint shows how new R-package hmer can be used to easily and efficiently calibrate complex epidemiological models. hmer-package.github.io/website/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110… @DannyScarponi @tandethsquire @ra_clark18 @fast4s @cmukandavire @cweerasuriya @richardwhite321

Register now! @cmmid_lshtm are hosting a one-day workshop on the calibration of complex infectious disease models using history matching with emulation, using the new R package hmer. eventbrite.com/e/workshop-an-… @richardwhite321 @tandethsquire @fast4s @IDDconf

New @elife publication out now! Analysing how changes due to #COVID-19 affect emergence, transmission & burden of #AMR. From @gmknght @LSHTM_AMR @lshtm_tbmod @LSHTM @cfmcquaid @NaomiMFuller: elifesciences.org/articles/64139

Come and study for a PhD with us! Funded PhD opportunity to investigate the impact of inter-community transmission on reductions in tuberculosis incidence achieved through interventions mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/files/2020/11/…

Our paper exploring the burden of subclinical TB now out in CID - around half of prevalent TB is subclinical, and not correlated with burden. Urgently need to reconsider passive symptom-based screening methods to interrupt ongoing transmission @LSHTM_TB. academic.oup.com/cid/advance-ar…

Very pleased to see our modelling study of the Diamond Princess published in eLife. We estimate that ~ 3/4 of infections were asymptomatic and may have contributed substantially to transmission. Huge thanks to excellent collaborators and the reviewers. doi.org/10.7554/eLife.…

Interesting discussion today led by @alexsrichards on a paper from Romain Ragonnet and @JamesTrauer on estimating the duration and mortality rates of untreated #TB - would be great to have a wider conversation on implications for past and future models academic.oup.com/cid/cid/advanc…