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@Ivanbenzemama @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade Do you think it's worth putting his wallet on copytrade?

World Cup 2026 Czechia – South Africa The famous @Polymarket trader "MrLoLo8899" put more than $500,000 can't win. > His potential winning is +-$500,000 > Fresh account (4 predicts) > His pnl more than $700,000 Profile: @mrlolo8899?via=emporio-romario" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@mrlolo8899?vi…

@said116dao It's time for him to retire from football

Where's your Ronaldo? Why do you underestimate African national teams? I immediately placed a bet on "Will Portugal win - NO" This means a win or a tie for the DR Congo And yeah, I really expected a tie in this match While Messi is scoring a hat trick, Ronaldo can't seem to hit the target

@SneakypeekSol @Polymarket further more

A small 2$ win on polymarket Captured the last minutes in Colombia and the Uzbekistan match. 5% returns in 5 mins is a win, ain't it?

Your call here 👇 polymarket.com/event/how-many… #ad

So which is it: is the Fed genuinely frozen all year, or is the market pricing certainty it can't have yet? I lean overdone at 80%. Where do you see fair price - drop your % below 👇

The crowd just decided the Fed cuts ZERO times in all of 2026 - and priced it at 79.6%. That's pricing a full year of certainty off one meeting. I think they overshot 🧵

Got a read? Take a position here 👇 polymarket.com/event/where-wi… #ad

So which is it: do follow-up talks drift back to neutral Swiss soil like they always have, or does Islamabad steal the next round outright? I'm taking the under on Switzerland. Where's your % - take the other side here 👇

Switzerland is still 63% to host the next US-Iran meeting - and that number is reading the news backwards. The crowd just got cut hard, and it STILL looks too high 🧵

A 45-point swing usually means the market read a headline the writers didn't mean. "Framework" got priced as "withdrawal" until someone actually read past the title. What's the resolution wording here? That gap is where the move came from.

Yesterday: 71% YES. Today: 26%. A -45pt drop in 24 hours. A US-Iran framework did land - but the fine print is sanctions relief and reopening Hormuz, not boots leaving. Trump said back on June 11 he won't pull out until the war is 'complete.'

Peace deal hits the wire... so why did the odds on US troops leaving Iran by June 30 just get cut in half? 🧵

Right. A 60-day swing on the deadline moves the math way more than whether they're $2B or $5B apart. Time is the variable people underprice. What's the actual cutoff date?

The clock is the real counterparty here. A 30-day window vs 90 changes the odds more than the actual negotiating gap does. What's the resolution date on this one?

This jumped to 22.4% on a peace deal headline... for the wrong two countries. And I don't think it holds here 🧵

FIFA World Cup - Uzbekistan vs Colombia Why is Colombia worth considering? >In 6 of their last 8 matches against teams ranked outside FIFA's top 15, Colombia won by a margin of at least two goals >Uzbekistan often struggles under pressure and is not always comfortable playing out from the back >Luis Diaz could be a key factor thanks to his pace and individual quality >Colombia enters the tournament as one of the strongest teams outside the group of main favorites and recently reached the Copa America final Why may Uzbekistan struggle? >The matchup between Luis Diaz and Farrukh Sayfiyev on the flank appears to favor the South Americans >The Copa América finalist represents a completely different level of opposition compared to most of Uzbekistan's previous opponents >Uzbekistan's usual deep defensive approach may be less effective against a team of this caliber I'm predicting Colombia - WON. What's your pick? @Polymarket gives Colombia a 71% chance to win.

@Hotfresh6 Hhhaahah really airdrop 😂

Abstract XP 14 (26.06.17) + 305,327 - Miss Upvote Streak ......

@dobioprer @Polymarket There haven't been many matches in this championship where the total was under 2, and I'm sure this match will be no exception.

Colombia vs Uzbekistan – World Cup 2026 Going with Colombia team total over 1.5 goals. Big gap in quality here. Colombia should control the game and create enough chances. If they score early, this can easily turn into a 2+ goal performance. Placed this one through @Polymarket Let’s see if they deliver.

@polykinder I stopped betting, but this market is very tempting to start again.

$252,000 riding on whether a goalkeeper will score at this World Cup. No goalkeeper has ever scored at a World Cup. 92 years. 22 tournaments. Never. Polymarket puts it at 5% in 2026. $252,826 already in volume.

Your call — it's live here 👇 polymarket.com/event/fed-deci… #ad

Did one hawkish dot plot just convince traders the Fed is about to hike? The market thinks so. I think it overreacted. "No change in July 2026" just fell from 93.5% to 81.5% (-12pts in 24 hours), while the "hike 25bps" side ripped to 16.7% (+14.1pts) on more than triple the usual volume. Here's what set it off. The June 17 FOMC didn't just hold rates - it stripped the cutting bias out of the statement, the 2026 dot plot median climbed to ~3.8% from 3.4%, and 9 of 18 officials now pencil in at least one hike. Under new Chair Warsh, the committee suddenly reads a lot more hawkish than it did a week ago. Real shift. But here's where the crowd is sloppy: a hawkish dot plot signals DIRECTION, not TIMING. The dots say "rates may go higher eventually." They do not say "in six weeks." Those are completely different bets, and the market just blurred them together. Why it matters: this is the textbook trap. A committee that held 12-0 and is now deeply split on the path is the LEAST likely group to suddenly act at the very next meeting. Division means delay. JPM and most desks still see the Fed on hold through 2026, with the real hike risk pushed out toward late 2027. One single meeting window in July is a tight door for a divided committee to walk through. So the honest read: the hawkish tone is genuine, but tone isn't a July hike. At 81.5%, the "no change" side has overshot the headline. I put fair value closer to ~88-90%. That's a 6-8 point gap, and it leans toward the boring outcome everyone just sold. The only thing that flips me: a hot inflation print before July 28-29 that forces Warsh's hand. Possible. But that's the bull case for a hike, not the base case. So which is it - did the market correctly smell a Fed that's finally about to move, or did it panic over a dot plot and misprice another routine hold? Drop your % for "no change in July" below 👇 Market's live if you want a look.