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$252,000 riding on whether a goalkeeper will score at this World Cup.
No goalkeeper has ever scored at a World Cup.
92 years. 22 tournaments. Never.
Polymarket puts it at 5% in 2026.
$252,826 already in volume.
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Polykinder
213 posts
Polykinder
@polykinder
Probability beats punditry. I bet against the news cycle using on-chain data.
Katılım Eylül 2022
78 Takip Edilen45 Takipçiler
@mmoyshaa Riki is already a legend in the world of sports predictions
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@DmitriyUngarov With discipline and hard work, you'll have 1,000 Smart Followers - good luck!
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My Kaito card hit different:
9.9k bagholders
100 Smart degens
I’m basically a bluechip micro cap at this point lmao
Next stop: 1000 Smart Followers or I’m ngmi
Kaito AI 🌊@KaitoAI
Influence used to belong to a few. Not anymore. We started by mapping influence in one vertical and grew it to 1M users. Today, we're taking it further.
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@vaticSports Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count
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@polykinder I have the impression this market also involves goalies scoring during the penalties process? Either way though, it seems like something difficult to actually happen, 5% seems like fair pricing
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$252,000 riding on whether a goalkeeper will score at this World Cup.
No goalkeeper has ever scored at a World Cup.
92 years. 22 tournaments. Never.
Polymarket puts it at 5% in 2026.
$252,826 already in volume.
English
@Slalomprotocol I think a goal like that is possible in playoff games, especially in the final minutes, just like it happened in the Benfica - Real Madrid match
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@polykinder nice bet, DIBU from Argentina will score a PK for sure if giving the chance against Jordan
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@GoalKickProps It's worth noting that there are 48 teams in this World Cup, and there will be far more matches than in that World Cup, so the probability of this event occurring increases
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@polykinder Is it so high because there's 16 extra knockout stage matches?
That's the only chance it'll happen, a team down a goal in knockouts
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@polykinder I stopped betting, but this market is very tempting to start again.
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paid 1c on a kuala lumpur temperature call
$4,092 on that position right now
10 more open just like it. all at 100c
$16,961 all-time. 8,421 predictions. closed tab is wall-to-wall green
GFS and ECMWF update every 6h. polymarket prices lag behind. that window is the trade
@TycheTerminal built the bot for it. city, temp range, SL/TP. dry run before you go live
t.me/Tyche_Polymark…
0xbobaa@0xbobaaa
the most ignored category on polymarket is temperature markets 30+ cities. hourly contracts. resolve same day $2M+ traded daily across weather. but almost zero automation hour closes, outcome is physically done, contract still sits at 88-92c for minutes because nobody's watching that's not an edge. that's just an empty room @TycheTerminal turns it into a sweep bot in one config: t.me/Tyche_Polymark… if this gets crowded, edges disappear fast if it doesn't, the room stays empty and you're the only one printing
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@syanovee @Prophetzone Yeah, bro, it's already known, he's in the starting lineup for the match
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You’re underestimating Croatia today
England is the bigger name, but they still have too many problems and I don’t see a comfortable win here.
Croatia +1.5 at 69c looks like the most interesting outcome.
Keeping @Prophetzone open for news and lineup signals before kickoff, but my first read is Croatia spread.
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$1,580,000 gone in 90 minutes.
$986K on Over 2.5 goals. $594K on Portugal to win.
One match. Both wrong.
Her bio literally says "Chief Losing Officer."
She's not joking.
I keep staring at this and wondering - what does losing $1.5M in a single game actually feel like?
Polykinder@polykinder
Bio: "Polymarket Chief Losing Officer." $694K on France at 67¢. 0-0 at halftime. Down $190K. Bought another $100K at 48¢ instead of cutting losses. France won 3-1. Position went from -$190K to +$445K (56%). @latinaXBT knew exactly what they were doing.
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Warren Buffett gave this interview in 1985.
$10,000 invested in Berkshire Hathaway in 1965 was already worth $1,000,000.
Today, it's worth about $390,000,000.
"The first rule of investing is don't lose money. The second rule is don't forget the first rule."
Buffett didn't chase hot stocks or trends.
He bought businesses he understood when they traded below their value.
The rest of the time, he waited.
"In the securities business, there are no called strikes. You can stand there for years until you get the pitch you want."
Bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓
me_cool_off@me_cool_off
Warren Buffett invested billions during the biggest financial panic of his lifetime. 2008. Markets were in free fall. People were panicking. Buffett was buying. Goldman Sachs, General Electric, BYD, and other billion-dollar investments. "You want to be greedy when others are fearful. You want to be fearful when others are greedy. It's that simple." Timeless rule: be greedy when others are fearful. Bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓
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@nofadsec I wouldn't count Cristiano Ronaldo out, I think he'll definitely score 5 or more goals.
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⚽ Portugal vs DR Congo LIVE.
Portugal are already 1-0 up, and while everyone is watching the match, I'm looking at a different market on Polymarket:
How many goals will Cristiano Ronaldo score at this World Cup?
Current odds:
✅ 1+ goal: 89%
✅ 2+ goals: 83%
✅ 3+ goals: 54%
The funny thing is that every tournament people say Ronaldo is finished.
Then he scores again.
Portugal look sharp today, already have the lead, and if they make a deep run, I can easily see Ronaldo finishing with 3-4 goals.
My prediction: 4 goals.
What's yours? 👀
Check the market here: polymarket.com/event/world-cu…
nofad@nofadsec
Watching France live and testing my next combo on Polymarket. I put $5 on: 🇫🇷 France to beat Senegal ⚽ Over 1.5 goals Potential payout: $8 (1.6x) Check the current odds here: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fr… This World Cup has been a graveyard for favorites. 😂 Spain, Germany, Brazil... traders keep getting it wrong. But France might finally break the curse. Why I like France here: > Mbappé is back in form > One of the best defenses in the tournament > Senegal are missing key players > France usually delivers when it matters Let's see if Polymarket pays me tonight. 👀 @Stitch3_ai
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LFG!! Second combo. Second attempt. And this time it hit
After my first Polymarket combo, which beautifully missed, I decided to run it back and build a new one again on the World Cup.
The combo was simple:
🔹 France win
🔹 Argentina win
And here’s the best part: turned 2.5$ into 6.81$ Small bag, but damn… feels good
Watching Senegal, I really thought France was about to ruin everything, but nope the combo landed, everything went green
newry | 𝔽rAI@NeWry24
Made my first-ever trade on @Polymarket and went straight for a combo. Today I placed my first bet on Polymarket ever and of course I couldn’t resist stacking multiple picks. For the World Cup 2026 Japan match, I went with: 🔹 Over 1.5 goals 🔹 Japan to win If this hits, I’m taking it as a sign from the universe that I’m on the right path. Crypto, sports, and a bit of luck - perfect mix. What do you think?
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