Will Stewart @[email protected]

@MykhailoRohoza I stand with Ukraine!

Can we get 5,000 people to reply with "I stand with Ukraine?"🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

@Grady_Booch @vkhosla For a number of comments, your answer misses the mark. For example, it is not you who will decide to focus AGI AI researchers on superintelligence, it will be xAI, OpenAI, etc.

A short summary: axios.com/2024/06/23/leo… Leopold Aschenbrenner — formerly of OpenAI's Superalignment team, now founder of an investment firm focused on artificial general intelligence (AGI) — has posted a massive, provocative essay putting a long lens on AI's future. Why it matters: Aschenbrenner, based in San Francisco, relies on lots of speculation and projection. So none of this is set in stone. But his opus is a useful, eye-opening synthesis of high-level Silicon Valley conversations. Here are 10 takeaways that leaped out in Aschenbrenner's 50,000-word, five-chapter, 165-page paper, "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead": 1. "Trust the trendlines ... The trendlines are intense, and they were right." "The magic of deep learning is that it just works — and the trendlines have been astonishingly consistent, despite naysayers at every turn." 2. "Over and over again, year after year, skeptics have claimed 'deep learning won't be able to do X' and have been quickly proven wrong." "If there's one lesson we've learned from the past decade of AI, it's that you should never bet against deep learning." "We're literally running out of benchmarks." 3. It's "strikingly plausible that by 2027, models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer." 4. "By 2027, rather than a chatbot, you're going to have something that looks more like an agent, like a coworker." 5. The data wall: "There is a potentially important source of variance for all of this: we're running out of internet data. That could mean that, very soon, the naive approach to pretraining larger language models on more scraped data could start hitting serious bottlenecks." 6. "AI progress won't stop at human-level … We would rapidly go from human-level to vastly superhuman AI systems." Superintelligence, coming in 2030 A.D.? 7. AI products are likely to become "the biggest revenue driver for America's largest corporations, and by far their biggest area of growth. Forecasts of overall revenue growth for these companies would skyrocket." "Stock markets would follow; we might see our first $10T company soon thereafter. Big tech at this point would be willing to go all out, each investing many hundreds of billions (at least) into further AI scaleout. We probably [will] see our first many-hundred-billion-dollar corporate bond sale." 8. "Our failure today to erect sufficient barriers around research on artificial general intelligence "will be irreversible soon: in the next 12-24 months, we will leak key AGI breakthroughs to the [Chinese Communist Party]. It will be the national security establishment's single greatest regret before the decade is out." 9. Superintelligence "will be the United States' most important national defense project." 10. There's "no crack team coming to handle this. ... Right now, there's perhaps a few hundred people in the world who realize what's about to hit us, who understand just how crazy things are about to get, who have situational awareness." Reality check: Aschenbrenner, with roots in the effective altrusim movement, is an AI investor. So he's not a disinterested party.

@front_ukrainian Absolutely yes

⚡️Will you continue to support 🇺🇦Ukraine Yes or No?

Citizens who care about democracy and freedom in America need to redouble their efforts and press on. “Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.” ― Winston S. Churchill

Fascism has come to America, and as predicted, it is wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross.

@Grady_Booch @vkhosla You said "I am far less interested in using AI to advance AI than I am in using AI to advance the human experience." Perhaps, but Musk, Altman, Google, etc along with China and other state actors are racing to be the first to ASI, which is the original (and valid) point.

@DanielTurnerPTF You understand neither the temporal nature of the eclipse footprint as it moved across the US nor the meaning of GW, which is not a measure of energy, but of instantaneous power.

Pointing out solar panels don’t work during an eclipse (or nighttime) has angered many, many people. More money will fix it tho.

@DanielTurnerPTF You understand neither the temporal nature of the eclipse footprint as it moved across the US nor the meaning of GW, which is not a measure of energy, but of instantaneous power.

The United States will lose more than 30 gigawatts of solar energy during the solar eclipse. Add this to the long list of reasons why "green" energy is unreliable.

@WETAClassical I was absolutely floored by one of the pieces (around 9:40?) but the playlist does not show. Please share the pieces/composers, thanks.

It's the harp like you haven't heard it before on Front Row Washington with newer works by composers Angélica Negrón, Han Lash, plus original works and transcriptions for the harp with Emily Levin, Principal Harpist of the Dallas Symphony Orchestra. Join us tonight at 9PM ET!

@dbongino Digging yourself deeper and deeper into a hole, trying to recoup your fragile ego

He seems really mad too.

@dbongino @StephenKing Oh Danny boy, just look at the number of "likes" on Stephen's response vs. the number of "likes" on your infantile pout-back

@StephenKing Yeah, you’re right. Millions of listeners a day on a podcast while you’re watching porn in your momma’s basement yearning for the days that people actually gave a shit about your dumb ass. Nice comeback dipshit. Get a job loser.

Biden is a disgrace to humankind. An embarrassment to the human race in every respect.

@elonmusk Sure, as if you won't be the unofficial CEO still giving orders that the new figurehead CEO won't be able to refuse...

I will resign as CEO as soon as I find someone foolish enough to take the job! After that, I will just run the software & servers teams.

Should I step down as head of Twitter? I will abide by the results of this poll.

@elonmusk @cb_doge @RepAdamSchiff The Twitter transition to Parler 2.0 is almost complete....

@cb_doge @RepAdamSchiff 🤣

Elon Musk calls himself a free speech absolutist, to justify turning a blind eye to hatred and bigotry on Twitter. But when journalists report unfavorable news, they are banned without warning. The devotion to free speech is apparently not that absolute. But the hypocrisy is.

@teslaownersSV @elonmusk sy​cophant (ˈsi-kə-fənt)  : a servile self-seeking flatterer

Chief Twit: making Twitter epic, one tweet and drama at a time.

@chiller @RadioFreeTom Start building an ark at Mastodon, can't hurt

@gtuckerkellogg @NordGuitar What make/model of pickups?

BTW, @NordGuitar these big splits are fantastic. Big burly tone, huge output.

Pretty please to have successfully upgraded the pickups on this my own damn self

@gtuckerkellogg Excellent, will follow you there, as I rarely visit this hellscape platform any longer

Just in case, I'm also @gtuckerkellogg@mstdn.science

@RudyGiuliani @elonmusk Oh, but we ARE seeing what you and your cronies by watching the Jan 6 hearings

The #TwitterFiles is just the tip of the iceberg, but I refuse to concede that the United States will share the Titanic's fate. May God bless @ElonMusk and grant others the courage to do the right thing. Our country is at stake.

@McFaul Past time to move to Mastadon theintercept.com/2022/11/29/elo…

Because Putin and his propagandists are not constrained by facts, they can say anything to justify an end to the invasion of Ukraine. They can say they “stopped NATO from deploying nuclear weapons in Ukraine” or “stopped Ukraine from joining NATO” or “eliminated the Nazis” 1/

@christiaanhtznr theintercept.com/2022/11/29/elo…

Ever notice how Musk frames everything as one-man crusade where he alone stands between humanity and the abyss?