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When Moon
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When Moon
@WhenMooooon
When Moooon...! In crypto since 2013.
Panama City Tham gia Ekim 2020
508 Đang theo dõi213 Người theo dõi
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I don’t care much that precious metals and miners were taken down badly just before ceasefire was extended. The pressure was kept deliberately until the last second just to announce the inevitable decision. I am sure that PM and miners are going to fully recover in a day or two. Just blatant market manipulation designed to confuse and frustrate investors. I believe BS is coming to an end. There is no other way!
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Majority of investors worry that breakdown of peace talks between US and Iran could trigger another round of sell-off in precious metals. Silver broke out from a 12-year base back in summer of 2025. The arrow has left the bow and there is no turning back until fundamental global economic issues are addressed, particularly debt problem. Rest is rhetoric and short term noise designed to distract.
I do not see a solution to modern fiat system, hence precious metals are winners here...

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The 1-month silver lease rate just doubled from 0.20% to 0.43%.
Anyone only watching the silver price is missing the real story.

Karel Mercx@KarelMercx
The 1-month silver lease rate is back above its 30-day average. What stands out is how quickly the lease rate rises when silver goes up. That is a strong sign the silver bull market is not over.
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Gold already dropped 27%. Silver’s been cut in half. High‑quality juniors were off 30%–40%.
Gold open interest is at a 17‑year low, Silver’s was at a 15‑year low just weeks ago.
Yet all I see and hear is fear about a stock market crash and a 2008‑style Gold wipeout.
The 2008 Boogeyman is back! The correction might drag on in time, but the lows are in.
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@viajaSammy @TheJerzWay It's actually not as bad as one would think. It depends a lot on the season though.
During rainy season, the humidity comes out of the air and it is very pleasant. June to August is harsh, but not worse than Dubai I think.
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@WhenMooooon @TheJerzWay But you get the tropic humidity instead. Worse than dry heat
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@Cyberwiz9000 @danheld The point is the comparison.
One chain stayed immutable, but lost a lot of money. Another chain that changed the protocol and didn't lose money. Outcome: The former became obliviated. This is what happens when all trust is lost because of immense economical losses.
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@WhenMooooon @danheld ETH lost 80% of it's value against BTC, I would not look to ETH for advice on how to run a Monetary Network.
They don't care about hard money, they care about world computer, jpeg's and pump and dumps.
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I'm anti BIP-361.
For those who don't know, it deprecates or freezes coins that don't move after a certain migration date (for post quantum upgrades). It's not a full confiscation of every pre-quantum coin, but a good chunk of them.
Bitcoin's primary value props: best monetary policy of any money + extremely hard to seize asset.
If the protocol for any reason makes these assets "seizable" (destroyed) through a change in the code, then it impacts both of those value props. Granted, Satoshi's coins being cracked would also negatively impact the perception of seizability. However, intelligent market participants will understand this is the lesser of two evils.
For this reason, I'm not for any proposal that allows these coins to become frozen.
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The 1-month silver lease rate is back above its 30-day average.
What stands out is how quickly the lease rate rises when silver goes up. That is a strong sign the silver bull market is not over.

Karel Mercx@KarelMercx
Silver jumps to $83 and the shortage shows up immediately. The silver lease rate is rising sharply today.
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This weekend, physical gold bars on JD.com in China surged, from 1,092 RMB to 1,134RMB/g, equivalent to $4,980 to $5,171 per ounce.

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I'm constantly fascinated by the flaws of the human mind. The vast majority of people can be easily manipulated into doing the stupidest things if it is repeated enough times. Or if everyone else is doing it. I literally think most people would jump off a bridge if everyone else was jumping.
People quickly complied with the mask requirement to enter a restaurant but thought it was OK to take it off once they sat down. They canceled Dr. Zeus and Aunt Jemima, tore down statues of our founding fathers, and followed one way signs in the aisles of grocery stores. Lunacy.
But the same applies to investing. Insanity isn't just reserved for pandemics, traders can fall victim to crazy fads, like paying more for a tulip bulb than the cost of an average house.
They also succumb to recency bias which causes them to buy at tops and sell at bottoms. The exact opposite of what you should do to make money.
The recency bias after the 8 week decline into an intermediate cycle low has convinced most people that price for metals can now only go lower. All rallies are seen as bull traps that will just roll over and continue lower. It's always "one more leg down" with these people.
But in a bull market you have to give rallies the benefit of the doubt because the bull eventually makes new highs. As I've said before: Any long position will be a winning trade in a bull market.
At the recent lows the bullish percent dropped to 3. In a bull market this is a buy signal. It means the correction has done its job and washed out the previous bullish sentiment and the next leg up can begin. This is one of those tools that has a nearly flawless record of marking a bottom (especially when oversold to this degree). Yet many (if not most) traders will still ignore it and continue to look for lower prices, unable to turn off their recency bias.

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@KarenSm52993106 @TheJerzWay How long have you lived here?
...you don't seem to know sweet fuck all about Panamá.
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Panama City facts nobody talks about...
🇵🇦 0% tax on foreign-sourced income
🇵🇦 3-5 hour flight from most US cities
🇵🇦 USD as official currency. Zero forex risk
🇵🇦 Real estate still priced like 2015 Dubai
🇵🇦 Fastest growing expat hub in Latin America
This is not a third world country.
This is the next Dubai and you're still early.
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The junior gold explorers and developers who hold high-quality, de-risked reserve packages are sitting on the exact assets the gold majors desperately need. The capital will eventually flow from the top of the food chain down to these tier-one developers will drive valuations exponentially higher.
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Producing gold miners have the money, but they do not have the ounces in the ground to sustain their production pipelines over the next decade; and they want to capitalize on the record gold prices and record free cash flows. This dynamic guarantees one inevitable outcome: a massive wave of Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) is coming.
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@danheld Are you even familiar with with the ETH/ETH Classic fork of 2016?
Who made money were the people sticking with the fork that rolled back the scam (ETH).
What's gibberish is your reply, ignoring my excellent argument. Your fork will have 0,5% of value of mine.
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@WhenMooooon That makes no sense/is gibberish.
If they want to make money they’ll follow the no seizing path 🙄
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@calvinfroedge It depends what exactly you are looking for, but I find it much better here than Dubai. More freedom. Less heat.
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