Chris Huskey

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Chris Huskey

Chris Huskey

@chrishuskey

Public markets L/S + late stage VC @OctahedronCap. Prev. same @ Tencent 腾讯投资. 🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇳 since birth. NerdNation 🌲 @Stanford is home.

San Francisco, CA Tham gia Nisan 2009
4.7K Đang theo dõi2K Người theo dõi
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Spline
Spline@splinetool·
Today, we're releasing Omma. Create 3D, Websites, and Apps with AI agents. Start now on omma.build Follow @omma_ai
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Chris Huskey
Chris Huskey@chrishuskey·
@danshipper And they’re arch nemeses. We’re about to create a whole genre of pirate vs. architect (Jim vs. Dwight) reality shows à la “Silicon Valley”.
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Dan Shipper 📧
Dan Shipper 📧@danshipper·
new model for engineering team structure in 2026: 2 people only one pirate and one architect the pirate's job is to move as fast as possible to develop valuable, shipped product features by vibe coding. the architect's job is to turn the product surface discovered by the pirate into a reliable, structured machine—also by vibe coding, but at a slower, more well-reasoned pace. every product needs a pirate but most product's only need an architect once they some form of PMF, and in that case they usually don't need one full-time. architects can work across many codebases and solve interesting technical challenges. pirates go hard on a product that they own end-to-end.
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Jon Chu // Khosla Ventures
@emollick The reality is that none of these co companies understand enterprise sales. Sure one might be better than the other, but they're all like lvl2 Rattatas compared to someone like Oracle who's a lvl 90 Mewtwo
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Dan Hockenmaier
Dan Hockenmaier@danhockenmaier·
Takeaway from the Citrini backlash should not be that all marketplaces are immune to AI, just that DoorDash was a particularly bad example to choose. Defensibility is largely a product of how far they are to the right on this spectrum. The argument is "agents will just transact on your behalf and look for lowest price" This is massively flawed for two reasons in the case of DD: 1. Price is function of network density. You must be able to optimize routes and batch orders to win 2. Even if someone else could win on price, customers care about many other things (selection, quality, service, all of which DD has invested in heavily) So you can’t build a good agentic food delivery product without DD cooperation. And for obvious reasons, they will not cooperate. But it doesn’t follow that this will play out everywhere. The more heavily managed a marketplace is, the harder it is for someone else to cut in. There are basically 4 levels of marketplace: 1. Lead gen: just a list of suppliers 2. Transactional: also handle payment 3. Managed: also take on risk (returns, net terms) 4. Heavily managed: also manage service delivery Google has been trying to eat the marketplace profit pool for many years, and really only succeeded in taking most of it away from lead gen marketplaces. LLMs are another aggregation layer like Google, but with two big differences: search is much better, and critically, they can transact on your behalf. So LLMs should be able to push up one step farther in the stack, and take on transactional marketplaces directly. But is Anthropic going to try to do the final two jobs of managing risk or managing service delivery itself? Are they going to start accepting returns? Offering financing terms to buyers? Are they going to manage their own drivers or build their own logistics network. That seems very unlikely. As a result, managed marketplaces are largely safe. Marketplaces that do the hardest, most capital intensive, most scale-dependent stuff will get rewarded for it. I wrote an essay on this here: danhock.co/p/llms-vs-mark…
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Chris Huskey
Chris Huskey@chrishuskey·
Software (Application SaaS): (But) “What incumbents have going for them is their customers are prisoners…who have learned to appreciate their captors. They *want* their current vendors to figure this out. The current vendors have probably 12-24 months to figure this out.”
BuccoCapital Bloke@buccocapital

People are calling me a software bear, and I don’t think that’s fair or true All I would say is…I see where the corporate spend is going, and it is not going to the incumbents. You can see this too. Look at the growth rates of these startup. See the lack of acceleration in the app layer incumbents I see what the stock prices are doing, and that does not benefit the incumbents, either What the incumbents have going for them is that their customers are prisoners, and these prisoners have learned to appreciate their captors. They *want* their current vendors to figure this out. The current vendors have probably 12-24 months to figure this out IMHO all we’ve had so far is a valuation reset. Uncertainty goes up, multiples come down. Anthropic and OpenAI are actively antagonistic toward the app layer…so valuations have to come down to account for that. There are so many other bear cases, many of which are credible. Multiples have to come down to account for that. There is no valuation support. Most software management teams are still selling shares What I do hear from people is: Each week the future for incumbent software becomes less clear, not more clear. Valuations are pricing in that uncertainty. This is all to say: This feels healthy and pretty normal to me. Software valuations have always been about the vibes, and right now the vibes aren’t great

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andrew chen
andrew chen@andrewchen·
i’ve learned that when you both: 1) read old books 2) and also X every day then over time you sound like a crazy person at dinner parties I’ve tested this empirically
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Chris Huskey
Chris Huskey@chrishuskey·
👨‍🍳😙🤌
malinvestment.jpeg@malinvested

Of course that's your contention. You're a first-time SaaS bear. You just got finished listening to some podcast, Dario on Dwarkesh, probably. Now you think it’s the end of white collar work and seat-based pricing is screwed. You're gonna be convinced of that til tomorrow when you get to “Something Big is Happening”. Then you’ll install ClawdBot on a Mac Mini, vibe code a dashboard on top of a postgres database and say we’re all just a couple ralph loops away from building a Salesforce competitor. That’s gonna last until next week when you discover context graphs, and then you're gonna be talking about how the systems of record will be disintermediated by an agentic layer and reposting OAI marketing graphics. “Well, as a matter of fact, I won't, because ultimately the application layer is just ….” The application layer is just business logic on top a CRUD database. You got that from Satya’s appearance on the BG2 pod, December 2024, right? Yeah, I saw that too. Were you gonna plagiarize the whole thing for us? Do you have any thoughts of your own on this matter? Or...is that your thing? You get into the replies of anyone posting a SaaS ticker. You watch some podcast and then pawn it off as your own idea just to impress some VCs and embarrass some anon who’s long SaaS? See the sad thing about a guy like you is in a couple years you're gonna start doing some thinking on your own and you're gonna come up with the fact that there are two certainties in life. One: don't do that. And two: you dropped thirty grand on Mac Minis and LLM API calls to come to the same conclusion you could’ve got for free by following a handful of VC accounts.

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Chris Huskey
Chris Huskey@chrishuskey·
SaaS: Selloffs-as-a-Service 📉
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sarah guo
sarah guo@saranormous·
In order to have a sense of AI adoption right now, you really need to have one foot at the bleeding edge with the kids Wispr-ing through a mic at Devin all day and one foot in the 99% enterprise world where they’re still debating the merits of leaving “bundled-MSFT-ELA-Copilot”
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sarah guo
sarah guo@saranormous·
“good enough but faster” models are going to eat much of the existing token share this year
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Olivia Moore
Olivia Moore@omooretweets·
Marco Rubio finding out he has to monitor Moltbook
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