thomas edde

🚨💥🚨 DÉVELOPPEMENT MAJEUR ! ❗ LES BASES DE L'OTAN EN SYRIE ET EN IRAK ÉVACUÉES ! ⚡"DERNIÈRE MINUTE🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇪🇺🔥 Des soldats de l'OTAN originaires de Pologne 🇵🇱, de France 🇫🇷, d'Espagne 🇪🇸, d'Italie 🇮🇹, des États-Unis 🇺🇸 et d'Allemagne 🇩🇪 se retirent des bases en Irak et en Syrie alors que l'intervention russe et chinoise dans la guerre entre l'Iran et les États-Unis s'intensifie. 🚨Les États-Unis et l'Europe ont exhorté leurs citoyens à quitter tous les pays du Moyen-Orient en raison des risques pour la sécurité liés à l'aggravation du conflit." 😲👇🏻 #IranWar

KADENA PUBLIC ANNOUNCEMENT We regret to announce that the Kadena organization is no longer able to continue business operations and will be ceasing all business activity and active maintenance of the Kadena blockchain immediately. We are tremendously grateful to everybody who has participated in this journey with us. We regret that because of market conditions we are unable to continue to promote and support the adoption of this unique decentralized offering. We have notified our staff that we will be ceasing operations. We are retaining a small team for handling this period of transition and wind-down. For any questions and concerns please contact operations@kadena.io. The Kadena blockchain is not owned or operated by the company. As a thoroughly decentralized proof-of-work smart-contract blockchain, the network is operated by independent miners, while on-chain smart contracts and protocols are governed independently by their maintainers. For operational continuity, we will shortly provide a new binary that ensures uninterrupted operation without our involvement, and will be encouraging all node operators to upgrade as soon as possible. As for the KDA token and protocol, it will also continue in our absence. As noted in our latest token economic update (medium.com/kadena-io/clar…), over 566 million KDA remain to be distributed as mining rewards, continuing until 2139, while the platform emission has 83.7 million KDA coming out of lockup until November 2029. We are ready to engage with the Kadena community to discuss how we can aid the transition to community governance and maintenance. We will post updates on this as they become available. We are tremendously grateful to all team members, community members and partners who went on this journey with us. We wish everyone good fortune in their future endeavors.

🚨$BTC Blow-Off Top: The Black Rhino Is Here🦏🚨 You’ve gotten a taste of what I’ve been writing and warning about for months. As I mentioned in my other post, the Black Rhino is here. You saw the signs, ignored the warnings, and now it’s unstoppable. Remember: a Black Rhino event is the opposite of a Black Swan event because it’s predictable. Alright, let’s dial down the drama and get back to real TA without the hype. Before we dive in, I’d appreciate your support with likes, reposts, and comments to help grow the channel, we’re almost at 20k followers! These analyses take time, and your engagement fuels the drive to keep sharing. Remember, this TA is based on probability and isn’t a guarantee, it can be invalidated. In my last BTC update, I clearly stated, “Even though wave 4 is done, the sentiment is overly bullish, which is normally a red flag.” And that’s exactly what I was worried about! Let’s analyze. Macro Overview Recap If you haven’t already, check out my macro analysis on the inevitable recession, it’s essential before diving into the charts: Recession: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Warren Buffet's Cash Pile: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Japan's inflation problem: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Justin Sun Rug Pull USDD aka Luna V2: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Trump's Tariff War: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Market Makers: There’s a lot of talk about Wintermute and other market makers manipulating prices. This isn’t new, their role is to “provide liquidity” across exchanges to smooth out volatility. However, many of these market makers do influence price movements on both the upside and the downside with manipulation Elliott Wave Theory I might sound repetitive for our new members, but my Elliott Wave analysis has been spot-on since late 2023, hitting all targets. Previously, I mentioned we were in the final sub-wave of wave 4, a point many doubted. We then saw nearly a 12% drop that significantly impacted altcoins. As I noted before, after wave 4 we’d see wave 5, either as an impulsive 1–5 sub-wave or as an ending diagonal. We’re waiting for a clearer market structure to confirm the pattern, but the 109k level is critical. If Bitcoin can surpass 109k, it signals a confident impulsive wave 5; if not, we might end up with a truncated wave 5, a double top near the old ATH, before a big ABC correction sets in. If we get a strong wave 5, BTC could see a 40–50% increase (from 89k), reaching Fibonacci levels of: • 3.272: ~$113k • 3.414: ~$117k • 3.618: ~$121k This represents the best-case scenario. The invalidation point is if we exceed $130k; then the current wave setup is invalidated, and a potential target of $170k could be reached, provided we get confirming structure. Right now, the wave is looking like an ending diagonal on wave 5, moving toward sub-wave 2 (around 89–90k) before progressing to sub-wave 3, where significant shake-offs may occur. If BTC drops below 89k, it suggests wave 4 wasn’t complete, and we’d have to recount. A fall below 70k would likely trigger a major ABC correction, effectively ending the bullish case and indicating that the blow-off top is already behind us. As mentioned earlier, once traditional markets, especially the Nasdaq and S&P 500 tech stocks, correct, Bitcoin is likely to follow, leading to a blow-off top as discussed in my long-term BTC TA. At that point, BTC could drop to between $17k and $30k, forming a massive ABC corrective pattern with Fibonacci targets at $52k and $31k before finding a bottom. Note that this scenario unfolds only AFTER wave 5 is complete, not before, as the structure takes time to finish. Invalidation Points This scenario could be invalidated if: 1. Markets reset or correct after 1–2 years. 2. Geopolitical tensions or wars are avoided. 3. A recession is avoided. 4. No Black Swan events occur. If even one of these factors comes into play, a market crash becomes highly probable. Remember, it’s YOUR job to protect your capital. We’re already seeing an ongoing tariff war that will globally impact the economy and cause a severe slowdown. Weekly Chart Analysis: • Volume: Currently showing a bearish divergence, a bearish signal. • RSI: At 60, with a bearish divergence since April. The 50 level must hold; otherwise, expect further downside. • RSI Stochastic: Below 50, getting close to oversold, which could further drag prices down. • MACD: Gaining bearish momentum with a bearish cross, though both lines remaining above 0 still carry some bullish weight. All these indicators suggest BTC is gearing up for a blow-off top, though there’s still some fuel left. Daily Chart Analysis: • RSI: Below 50, indicating bearishness. • RSI Stochastic: Oversold, which is a bullish sign in some cases. • MACD: Showing bearish momentum; if the lines drop below 0, it would further confirm the bearish bias. • Volume: High, with a slight bullish divergence. In my last daily update, I mentioned, “We are now seeing a more bearish stance, aligning with our wave 4’s last local drop toward the 90–85k region.” The daily chart now appears to be setting up for a relief rally, or a “dead cat bounce”, to punish all the shorts. Liquidity & Liquidation Heatmap Insights: Our liquidity and liquidation heatmaps on TradingView reinforce this outlook by showing significant liquidity pools that align with our targets. You can access these tools at Daily Crypto Trading, check my profile at the top for details. Conclusion: My outlook remains consistent, BTC is approaching a top, likely in the $113k-$120k range, especially if the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also peak. This projection has held since late 2023 and is supported by both our Elliott Wave analysis and broader market trends. The key questions remain: Will wave 5 finish as an ending diagonal or as a regular impulsive wave? And is wave 4 truly complete? Furthermore, the ongoing tariff war could disrupt our anticipated blow-off top. I stand by my analysis from 2023, which will remain valid until BTC surpasses $130k. I’ve long believed in a blow-off top during the 49k to 100k+ (where I was bullish) phase, and I haven’t changed my thesis, no data has disproven it. We’re in an AI bubble, and bubbles have a way of popping. Even though some are “blaming” Deepseek R1, that’s just narrative. Just as there’s a bullish narrative, there’s a bearish one: at the end of the day, someone has to lose a trade for someone else to win. We’ve seen a memecoin from a president and first lady that rug-pulled its user base and was later downplayed. It had zero real use case or value, yet it soared into the top 15 before dropping 70–85%, a classic top signal and a Black Rhino event. Several factors could disrupt this trajectory: • Recession: An economic downturn could sync with a traditional market correction, significantly impacting BTC. • Geopolitical Changes: Major shifts in global politics (like the ongoing tariff wars) could introduce volatility. • Black Swan Events: Unforeseen events can always alter market outcomes. • Market Shifts: Significant moves in traditional markets, driven by geopolitical tensions or policy changes, could affect BTC. If these factors are avoided, BTC could potentially reach as high as $170k, as suggested by our Elliott Wave projections. The strong correlation between BTC and the tech sector indicates a likely blow-off top—especially with the current market boost from the “Trump Pump” driven by election cycles. However, current trade wars or rate cuts could complicate the scenario. We’re forming what looks like an ending diagonal/impulsive wave 5. The big question is: How strong will wave 5 be, or will it be truncated to form a double top? If BTC surpasses 109k, get ready for a new ATH in the range of 113k–120k - if we break below 70k we already had a top. Blow-Off Top typically ends in euphoric buying, yet many traders are still skeptical about BTC’s rally. In summary, while BTC could reach new highs, managing risk is crucial. The market is full of probabilities, not certainties. Although our targets have been accurate so far, future outcomes are never guaranteed. This analysis is meant to guide your understanding, always verify and strategize based on your own judgment. #bitcoin #recession

🚨 Urgent: $BTC Top Imminent – Brace for a Blow-Off Top! 🚨 We have accurately predicted every target since 2023, and I have been clear that after reaching $100k+, we would be approaching a top. Now, after more than a year, we are finally here. We have nailed BTC targets at $43k, $50k, $60k, $73k, $48k, $82k, $89k, and $99k🎯. Nothing has changed in my long-term TA, and just because we reached my goal from $30k to almost $100k, I am not going to change my TA due to shifting sentiment. I remain true to my analysis until it is invalidated. This TA will show you the invalidation points and some of the last targets before a final drop. I understand there will be people who will insult me or call me names, but I do not care about them. I care about my community. Remember, I do not get paid for sharing these free insights; they are my own opinions. Most so-called influencers are not traders and will brainwash you to have one bias while selling their VIP groups or shilling their tokens, which they get paid to do. In this channel, we never had one bias; we had different scenarios with different probabilities, and we have nailed every target as mentioned. Now, the final blow is nearing. Ask yourself why I went from super bullish to bearish now? While everyone else was calling for a $60k top, we were targeting $100k+. Everyone who followed me knew my target. I have not changed my stance; I always showed you the bullish target and the bearish scenario and was very clear that once we went from $30k to $100k+, we were nearing the top. This should not take you by surprise. See every TA I posted. Before diving in, I’d appreciate your support with likes, reposts, and comments to help grow the channel and keep this content coming. These analyses take time, and your appreciation fuels the drive to keep sharing! Macro Overview Recap: If you haven’t already, check out my macro analysis on the inevitable recession. Understanding this is essential before diving into the charts. Recession: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Warren Buffet's Cash Pile: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Bitcoin Charts Analysis: Elliott Wave Theory: My Elliott Wave (EW) analysis has been spot-on since late 2023 and hit all targets. However, I am recounting sub-wave 5 since the structure has changed. We have an impulsive wave 3 which is overextended and losing momentum. This does not mean we cannot reach $100k+, but we need to stay cautious. We need our pullback to sub-wave 4 around $75k-$81k to hold (Fibonacci level shows $84k-$80k). Once we complete wave 4, we have our last impulsive wave, meaning there is still some fuel left. We can sometimes form truncated waves, which means wave 4 won’t reach wave 5 or hit the old ATH and make a double top. But if we get a strong wave 5, we could see a 40-50% increase from the $80k level, reaching Fibonacci levels of 3.272 at $113k, 3.414 at $117k, and 3.618 at $121k. This would be the best-case scenario. The invalidation point is if we go over $130k; then, this gets invalidated, and a potential target at $170k can be reached, but we need structure to confirm this first. Once traditional markets, especially the Nasdaq and S&P 500 tech stocks, correct, Bitcoin is likely to follow, leading to a blow-off top as mentioned. At that point, BTC could drop to $17k-$30k, depending on the peak. This would form a massive ABC corrective pattern with Fibonacci targets at $52k and $31k before finding a bottom. This scenario aligns with a recession-driven market decline. Invalidation Points: This scenario could be invalidated if: 1. Markets reset/correct after 1-2 years. 2. Geopolitical tensions or wars are avoided. 3. A recession is avoided. 4. No black swan events occur. However, if even one of these factors plays out, a market crash becomes highly probable. Be open-minded about these possibilities; ultimately, it is YOUR job to protect your capital. Weekly Chart: • Volume: Low volume while price action is increasing – bearish signal. • RSI: Overbought, showing a bearish divergence since April. This is a high probability given the overbought zone but could be invalidated if RSI reaches 90. • RSI Stochastic: Overbought but can remain so for up to a month. • MACD: Bullish momentum but losing its momentum, bullish cross, and lines above 0 are also bullish. All indicators suggest BTC is gearing up for a blow-off top, but there is still some fuel left. Daily Chart: RSI: Consolidating and above 50 – bullish. RSI Stochastic: Oversold – bullish. MACD: Bearish momentum, bearish cross, lines above 0 bullish. Volume: Weak – bearish. The daily chart suggests a need for consolidation and finding solid support before another move up. A retracement is likely, aligning with our Elliott Wave (sub-Wave 4) expectation. We are getting overextended. Liquidity and Liquidation Heatmap Insights: Our liquidity and liquidation heatmaps on TradingView reinforce this outlook, showing significant liquidity pools aligning with our targets. Access the same tools at Daily Crypto Trading. Conclusion: Based on my analysis, I firmly believe that BTC is approaching a top, with a likely range of $100k-$120k, especially if the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also peak. This outlook has been consistent since late 2023 and is supported by our Elliott Wave analysis and broader market trends. However, several factors could disrupt this trajectory: • Recession: As previously discussed, an economic downturn could align with a traditional market correction, significantly impacting BTC. • Geopolitical Changes: Major shifts in global politics could introduce volatility, affecting market sentiment and BTC's price. • Black Swan Events: Unforeseen events can always change market outcomes, as seen in past sudden market shifts. • Market Shifts: Significant moves in traditional markets, such as those driven by geopolitical tensions or policy changes, could impact BTC. if we avoid these factors, BTC has the potential to reach as high as $170k, as indicated by our Elliott Wave projections. The strong correlation between BTC and the tech sector suggests that a blow-off top is likely, especially with the current market boost from the "Trump Pump" driven by election cycles. However, potential trade wars or rate cuts could complicate this scenario. In summary, while BTC could reach new highs, managing risk is crucial. The market is full of probabilities, not certainties. Although our targets have been accurate so far, future outcomes are never guaranteed. This analysis is meant to guide your understanding, but always verify and strategize based on your own judgment. #bitcoin #recession