Green Energy Investor

🔋🔋GLOBAL COPPER BOOM 💥 Alex Darden, who leads infrastructure investment in the Americas for global private-markets firm EQT Partners Inc., said that even if there were some hype around AI, the list of tailwinds combined with the fact that grid infrastructure is historically under-invested is creating “significant opportunities.”   And “it’s not just a 2026 opportunity,” Darden said. “This is a multi-year, probably multi-decade investment cycle that we’re entering now.” $BHP $SURG.V $ESM.TO $CGNT.V $PEX.V $MMA.V $RIO $GLEN $VALE

@BankerWeimar Makes perfect sense

@OunkaOnX Yup

•Trump announced 5-day pause •Stock market jumps (insiders profit) • Thousands of Marines begin transit •Day 5: "Iran violated" • Day 6: War starts The pause is just for military logistics and financial gain.

@TheApeOfGoldST The bond market had Trump by the scrotum - needs to double Taco

#SILVER Since the #IRAN conflict began, #silver has dropped -37.07%. From the $121.64 peak, #silver bottomed at ≈61, marking a -49.88% drawdown. The bounce came off a very strong level. Indicators are at rock-bottom on the daily and sitting in my favorite “load up” zones on the weekly. Only #Trump and #Israel can fuck this up now.... And odds are high they will =)

@ProfessorPape The Art of the Deal 2.0 is in motion

Trump is giving Iran $14 Billion windfall by easing sanctions. It becomes clearer by the day that Iran has major leverage so long as Iran controls Hormuz. This will grow nytimes.com/2026/03/23/bus…

@Mark4XX The market needs more Tacos / oil price riding high and forward debt rates approaching crippling 5%. Market is not willing to finance war

GOLD - THE DOG THEORY Gold and silver have been trailing the S&P 500 like a loyal dog on a leash. They rise and fall together instead of acting as the true safe-haven everyone expects. Recent data shows this correlation has never been stronger, and the theory is clear: a genuine, sustained bullish breakout in precious metals only comes after the S&P 500 takes a serious hit. Until then, any moves in gold are mostly algo reactions to headlines. THE CORE THESIS: THE LEASH IS STILL TIGHT ➡️ Over the past 12 months the 1-year rolling correlation between the S&P 500 and gold has hit 0.76–0.77, with the S&P/Gold ratio hovering around 1.4–1.5 ounces. ➡️ In 2024 both assets surged over 25% in the same year for the first time in the modern era, with correlation spiking to 0.91 in August. ➡️ This positive correlation carried into 2025 as both hit all-time highs together, breaking gold’s traditional 40-year negative relationship with equities. ➡️ Silver has followed the same pattern, lagging or amplifying equity moves rather than diverging sharply. THE DEBT HANDCUFF ON POLICY ➡️ U.S. federal debt now sits near $38 trillion, roughly 100–101% of GDP, with annual interest payments approaching $1.1 trillion. ➡️ That burden severely limits aggressive real rate hikes because higher borrowing costs would explode deficits and crowd out spending. ➡️ Markets need a clear dovish signal—Fed pivot or explicit easing—before gold can truly decouple and rally independently. ➡️Without that signal, any strength in precious metals remains fragile and vulnerable ➡️What we do have, however, are rapid, algorithm-driven recovery rallies triggered by fake news, following the general market trend THE IRAN CATALYST LOOMING ➡️ Ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict keeps oil volatile, with Brent spiking on Strait of Hormuz threats that move 20% of global supply. ➡️ Iran holds escalation dominance and shows no rush to de-escalate until it secures its strategic goals, prolonging energy shocks and stagflation risks. ➡️ Higher-for-longer oil prices squeeze margins, fuel inflation, and hammer consumer spending—the exact mix that finally tanks equities. ➡️ When the S&P stumbles hard from these pressures, the leash snaps and gold finally runs free. THE BOTTOM LINE Gold is behaving like an equity right now because the market still believes policymakers can keep the party going. But massive debt, tight policy limits, and Iran’s prolonged energy pain are setting up the S&P breakdown that the Dog Theory has been waiting for. The dog keeps pace until the owner falls—then the leash breaks and gold sprints higher. #DogTheory #GoldLeash #SP500Crash #IranWar #OilShock #Stagflation #PreciousMetalsBreakout

@goldseek BUY GOLD

My Gold comments in MarketWatch The war with Iran has been a negative on gold short term, “creating a run for liquidity temporarily,” said Spina. But “gold should be the last thing you sell when seeking liquidity,” he said, adding that through its recent decline, gold has “washed out” many speculators. marketwatch.com/livecoverage/s…

🔋🔋TACO TUESDAY 🌮🌮 @realDonaldTrump - you’re gonna need a double taco mate 😅. BUY GOLD $GLD $GDX $SPY $NDAQ $QQQ

@Silver__Santa Come on 💪

#SILVER #SHANGHAI $77.24 +2.51% Back up we go.

@Mark4XX The world has worked this out and I think the market will punish Trump until they believe him - he might try one last gambit this weekend and attempt to occupy an island

HOW ALGOS GET PLAYED LIKE A FIDDLE Fake “peace talks” and ceasefire rumors about Iran keep flooding the news cycle. These unverified claims trigger high-frequency trading algorithms in milliseconds, sending oil prices plunging and stocks rallying hard. Then Iranian officials deny everything and markets reverse fast. Iran’s parliament speaker has openly called it deliberate manipulation to ease oil pressure and escape the current pressure. ➡️ On March 23, 2026 Trump announced “very productive conversations” with Iran and postponed strikes on energy infrastructure. ➡️ Oil plunged more than 12 percent as algos bought the hope instantly while the S&P 500 swung billions intraday. ➡️ Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf immediately branded it “fake news” designed to manipulate financial and oil markets. ➡️ March 24, 2026: a unverified claim gets posted on social media that Araghchi confirmed to Witkoff he had Mojtaba Khamenei’s approval to end the war. ➡️ The story fits the exact pattern of rapid sensational “breaking” leaks that news-scraping bots gobble up before any verification. ➡️ Iranian officials have denied similar claims before and replies quickly labeled this one fake. HOW ALGOS GET PLAYED ➡️ High-frequency bots and news-scrapers react to keywords like “peace deal,” “ceasefire,” or named officials in seconds flat. ➡️ Oil drops sharply on the hope headlines, stocks and crypto pump, then reality hits and everything snaps back. ➡️ Timing often lines up with negotiation windows and energy market stress to maximize the volatility. THE RECURRING TACTIC ➡️ Similar Israel-Iran ceasefire rumors in June 2025 caused oil to drop around 6 percent intraday before doubts surfaced. ➡️ Earlier false Middle East ceasefire reports routinely trigger 2 percent-plus oil drops followed by fast reversals. THE BOTTOM LINE These repeated fake Iran peace rumors are not random—they are engineered to fool market algorithms and create artificial volatility that benefits manipulators while misleading traders. The algos are being played like a fiddle in real time. #IranMarketManipulation #FakePeaceRumors #OilAlgos #CeasefireHoax #AlgorithmTrading #IranWar #MarketVolatility

@RnaudBertrand Great insights as always

I don't think people realize just how extraordinary what we're witnessing with Iran is. I was arguing with a dear journalist friend of mine yesterday who was telling me that Iran was winning, yes, but only on the strategic level, not tactically. The type of thing a skinny kid getting stuffed in lockers in highschool tells himself to make himself feel better: "These people will BEG to work for me in ten years. Everyone knows jocks peak in highschool. They'll literally beg." 😏 I think that's precisely wrong, and that's what makes the Iran war different. As of now, Iran is in fact holding its own tactically too. Think about other U.S. wars of aggression these past few decades. Take Vietnam, Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq, Serbia, etc. (the list is unfortunately very long). The pattern was roughly always the same with an immense power differential between aggressor and victim. These wars were, by and large, imperial: the empire attempting to crush a much weaker people whose only realistic recourse was guerrilla resistance. And that is when they actually had the will to resist: some - like Libya - barely even bothered, just resigning themselves to their fate (despite being, at the time, the richest country in Africa). As spectators of these wars, if you had any moral sense, the dominant emotion was a kind of helpless disgust: you were watching a giant stomp through someone else's house. Sure, the U.S. actually lost many - if not most - of these wars, famously replacing the Taliban with the Taliban or being expelled with their tail between their legs from Vietnam, but the power differential was no less real for it. It's just that power doesn't always guarantee victory: sometimes the giant can't kill everyone, and eventually tires of trying. But the “victories” won this way were always pyrrhic at best: the people endured, yes, but what they were left with was a country in ashes that takes decades to rebuild. Meanwhile, in the grand scheme of things, the giant walked away with little more than a bruised ego. Iran is - remarkably - proving to be an entirely different beast: when others were merely surviving a giant, Iran appears to be able to compete with one. What just happened over the past 48 hours is the best illustration of this. You had the President of the United States issue a formal ultimatum: reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or we "obliterate" your power grid. Iran's response was essentially: we dare you, if you do this we'll make all your Gulf allies uninhabitable within a week. And, as we saw, Trump backed down: pretexting non-existent "VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS" with Iran, he said his ultimatum no-longer applied (or, rather, became 5 days). Adding he now envisaged the Strait of Hormuz being “jointly controlled by me and the Ayatollah.” To the amusement of Iran’s diplomacy (x.com/IraninSA/statu…). That, folks, is a textbook tactical victory. It is, remarkably, Iran demonstrating in this instance that it had escalation dominance over the United States of America. That is, the ability to credibly threaten consequences so severe that the US - for perhaps the first time since the Cold War - found it preferable to stand down. That's no skinny kid being locked in a locker dreaming of revenge fantasies. That's the kid grabbing the bully's wrist mid-shove and watching his face change. And it's not the only tactical victory in this war so far. Take the episode over the Israeli attack on Iran's South Pars gas facility. Iran had warned that if that happened U.S. allies in the region - including Israel - would face a symmetrical response. And they delivered: famously devastating Qatar's Ras Laffan facility - which produced roughly 20% of global LNG supply - and leading, according to Qatar themselves, to a $20 billion loss of annual revenue for the next 5 years (oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-…). Not only that but they also managed to hit Israel's Haifa refinery (aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/19…), one of the country's most strategic and protected sites. The result was Trump distancing himself from the South Pars attack, saying that Israel had "violently lashed out" unilaterally and that "NO MORE ATTACKS WILL BE MADE BY ISRAEL pertaining to this extremely important and valuable South Pars Field." Israel then said it wouldn't strike Iran energy sites anymore (bloomberg.com/news/articles/…). From where I stand, that's another tactical victory. It is, at least, Iran demonstrating that is can fight back **symmetrically** against the U.S. and its allies. Not through asymmetric resistance with IEDs hidden in the roadside or traps hidden in the jungle, but eye for eye, and against some of the most heavily protected sites on the U.S.'s side. That's qualitatively different from any other adversaries the U.S. has directly fought in recent wars. There's plenty more, such as the pretty relevant fact that Iran has gained control of the single most strategic energy chokepoint on earth and the U.S. is finding it impossible to break that control. To the point where Trump has been reduced to publicly begging China - of all countries - for help, which given Trump's ego mustn't have been easy to do. Only to be told no. By China. And by everyone else he asked. This is the topic of my latest article: how this is, in fact, the first genuine "multipolar war." First, in the narrow sense: because Iran is revealing itself to be a genuine pole of power - not a superpower, but an actor that cannot be submitted, which is all multipolarity is. And second, because the war itself is accelerating multipolarity everywhere else: the U.S. has never been more isolated, never looked weaker and its security guarantees have never been more hollow. In my article I lay out the full scoreboard - military, economic, political - and explain why this war has already changed the world, regardless of how it ends. Enjoy the read here: open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…

@JrMiningGuy Iran also using The Art of the Deal 2.0

Good morning from Germany 🇩🇪 where I'm watching #gold & #silver trade lower yet again. Gold $4,337 ↘️ Silver $66.43 ↘️ Iran claims Trump only wanted to influence the financial markets with his statement. Oil up over 4%, bond yields rising again.

@KobeissiLetter The Art of the Deal 2.0

BREAKING: Arab mediators have privately "expressed skepticism" that the US and Iran could quickly reach an agreement, noting that the two sides remained far apart, per WSJ. In a sudden turn of events, Iran is "distancing itself from talks" as Trump pushes for a peace deal.

@leRaffl That’s the way to go

18.29% BEV in February 2026 in the EU, up from 15.38% in February 2025.

@GoldForecast $6K - I can live with that

The neutral price of gold has taken a hit, but could still move to $6000 by the end of the year.

@FayeKnoozIV @Amena__Bakr Credit where it’s due

@GreenOriginInv @Amena__Bakr Deception of the enemy is a requirement. Gotta admit he's world class at it.

There are signs of quiet diplomatic backchannels emerging. Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt all playing roles. Trump is pushing for talks within a shrinking 5 (now 4-day window) and Iran seems open, but only under conditions. Israel complicates the picture further, with tensions extending beyond Iran into Lebanon, risking derailment. The reality: Trump is highly sensitive to market reactions, and extending timelines toward the weekend may help stabilize sentiment. At the same time, reports indicate continued military buildup in the region. Diplomacy on the surface looks encouraging, but ending a war is always far more complex than starting one. #OOTT #Iran #US

🔋🔋LITHIUM PRICES Given the oil disruption and general trend in the energy transition, I strongly suggest we get more used to green lithium candles. 2027 is the year things really start to accelerate. $LIT $GLN $PLS $ALB $SQM $RIO $VUL $EMH $NILI $ATLX $SGML

@LithiumPriceBot @LibraEnergyMats

Mar 24, 2026 #Lithium Carbonate 99.5% Min China Spot Price: $21,350.51 1 day: $+144.75 (+0.68%) 📈 YTD: +26.29% #Spodumene Concentrate (6%, CIF China) Price: $2,072.00 1 day: $+44.00 (+2.17%) 📈 YTD: +33.85% Sponsored by @LibraEnergyMats

@kush_V1 Indeed a good choice too

@GreenOriginInv What about $LAC?

🔋🔋LITHIUM DEMAND We are well and truly in the battery age. I have loaded my trolley with lithium. The next most interesting to me is manganese. $LIT $PLS $AGY $ATLX $GLN $GRD.V $NILI $LIB.V $QTWO $SGML $FRB.AX

@Hasansal__ Thanks Hasan

@GreenOriginInv added some $TAG.V. Interesting oil micro-cap with a resource unlock ahead. Could be 2-3x EOY if the macro environment for crude holds up.

🔋🔋OIL PRICE NEGOTIATIONS This is becoming a critical lever in negotiations. It’s time to focus and double down on the energy transition. $LIT $CPER $COPX $SIL $SILJ $SLV

@Barchart Silver says:

JUST IN 🚨: Silver on track for its 10th consecutive red day, its longest losing streak since April/May 2022 📉📉