Doug

1.5K posts

Doug

Doug

@NewEnglandDLM

Liberal, life long New Englander, gamer, lover of comics, movies, TV, and New England sports. Member of the politically aware electorate. He/Him.

Vermont 加入时间 Ağustos 2025
442 关注42 粉丝
Based Illinoisan
Based Illinoisan@BasedIllinoisan·
Someone 9 years younger than me is now a legitimate gubernatorial candidate.
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

AP: A 14-year-old running for governor is the first teen to get on Vermont’s general election ballot After working as a legislative page at the Vermont Statehouse, the 14-year-old freshman at Stowe High School now has his sights set on the corner office. “I don’t expect necessarily to win,” he said. “What I do expect is to start the movement, and get more young people to come in behind me and say, ‘Yeah, we also want to make change.’” apnews.com/article/vermon…

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@fawfulfan I think partisan gravity will catch up to Collins this go around, most polls have Platner beating her. As for Alaska, Peltola is still well liked and only lost by 2.4 when Trump won by 13 in her state. I think it's safe to say that's a tossup.
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Matthew Chapman
Matthew Chapman@fawfulfan·
Maine and Alaska are too high. Dems absolutely could win these, but Maine is a pure tossup and Alaska is at best Lean R.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

.@Polymarket - 2026 U.S. Senate (chance of winning) NORTH CAROLINA 🟦 Democrat: 81% (flip) 🟥 Republican: 20% — MAINE 🟦 Democrat: 74% (flip) 🟥 Republican: 27% — ALASKA 🟦 Mary Peltola: 52% (flip) 🟥 Dan Sullivan: 47% — GEORGIA 🟦 Democrat: 82% (new high) 🟥 Republican: 17% — MICHIGAN 🟦 Democrat: 82% (new high) 🟥 Republican: 18% — OHIO 🟦 Democrat: 54% (flip) 🟥 Republican: 47% — TEXAS 🟥 Republican: 54% (new low) 🟦 Democrat: 45% — IOWA 🟥 Republican: 62% 🟦 Democrat: 39% — NEW HAMPSHIRE 🟦 Democrat: 78% 🟥 Republican: 19% — FLORIDA 🟥 Republican: 87% 🟦 Democrat: 14% — NEBRASKA 🟥 Republican: 75% 🟨 Ind/Other: 23 — MINNESOTA 🟦 Democrat: 89% 🟥 Republican: 12% Senate map from @270toWin

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@BasedIllinoisan I fucking hate him so much. I mean, I dislike anyone who admires Chomsky, a known genocide denier, but the dude goes beyond by abusing his dog, platforming terrorists, is a total tankie, seems to like the PRC's system, and just generally doesn't know what he's talking about.
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Based Illinoisan
Based Illinoisan@BasedIllinoisan·
Hasan Piker isn't the left's Joe Rogan, he's the left's Nick Fuentes.
Dark moderate@xHaustedOfStats

@DrewSav I don't like Hasan, but it's ridiculous that y'all are doing this after a year of "We need our own Joe Rogan to turn young men to the left" There finally is one, attracts all sorts of idiots to his streams, half of the party is on board and the other half is condemning

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@nick_field90 Nah, Piker is a POS that abuses his dog, spews bullshit, called Russia's annexation of Ukraine a "totally justifiable act" (he's a huge tankie), platformed a Yemenis terrorist, seems to admire aspects of the PRC and admires Noam Chomsky, a known genocide denier.
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Nick Field
Nick Field@nick_field90·
My only take is that this is a pivot away from McMorrow's usual brand of being younger and hipper than your average politican x.com/PollTracker202…
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

Mallory McMorrow on Hasan Piker in interview with the Jewish Insider: “It is somebody who says extremely offensive things in order to generate clicks and views and followers, which is not entirely different from somebody like Nick Fuentes.” “Pikar is a provocateur, to put it lightly, who says things that are misogynistic and antisemitic, and said that the United States deserved 9/11.” McMorrow is seeking the Democratic nomination for US Senate in Michigan

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@electionsjoe An incumbent governor only having 44% support this far out isn't great for Lombardo. But yes, it will be close either way. But Lombardo is going to have a hell of a fight given the state of the Nevada's economy.
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Doug 已转推
Mr. Beat
Mr. Beat@beatmastermatt·
Yes, we're the Baddies
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@PA_Supremacist Texas is just much cheaper to live in than Florida. People moved to Florida thinking it'd be cheaper but it sure as shit ain't.
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Pennsylvania/Philadelphia Supremacist🇺🇸🇺🇦🇬🇱
Pennsylvania/Philadelphia Supremacist🇺🇸🇺🇦🇬🇱@PA_Supremacist·
The longer the decade has gone on it’s become clear that people moving to Texas in big numbers was a long term trend. Florida, not so much. It’s quite possible that in the next census Texas grows (definitely happening) and Florida doesn’t (maybe even shrink if it gets even worse)
James🗳@_fat_ugly_rat_

We knew that Florida as a whole took a nosedive in population growth last year but some of these county specific numbers are awful Orange: +7K (+0.5%) Hillsborough: +2.9K (+0.2%) Palm Beach: +1.5K (+0.1%) Broward: -372 (-0.02%) Miami-Dade: -10.1K (-0.4%) Pinellas: -11.8K (-1.2%)

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 Unfortunately for the Republicans they almost never run moderates. Even Collins is moving further to the right with things like the SAVE Act.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
When both aisles run a moderate candidate, independents look more likely to vote Republican than Democrat. I am gathering evidence on this.
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Doug
Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
I still think Pappas wins by 5-7 points. We are looking at a Blue Wave in November and Sanunu is in the Epstein Files, nor can he distance himself from Trump since he needs Trump's voters to have *any chance* of winning. emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-…
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 @AlexBalderas118 I looked it up and you are correct. They may have changed it at one point, since in '61 John Tower won in a runoff in the Special Election to fill LBJ's seat.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
I wonder if we will ever see a poll with 20s % approval for Trump.
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@AnthonyMEmerson Helps that he's also much more popular in his state than Mills is in Maine.
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Anthony Emerson❤️🌲🦞🇾🇪🌹
Anthony Emerson❤️🌲🦞🇾🇪🌹@AnthonyMEmerson·
Unlike Mills, Cooper got in the NC Sen race super early and thus consolidated support quickly. Mills dithered, which allowed a vacuum to open up, which Platner gladly filled. And now she's paying the price.
Maine Politics@ME_Politics_

Janet Mills must be so annoyed looking at the NC Senate race. Her friend Roy Cooper breezed through the primary and can now focus on his general election. Meanwhile, Mills is fighting for her political life alongside her favorability dropping 10+ pts #MEpolitics

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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 True, but he would still hold sway with many Republican voters, and his endorsement, or lack thereof, would matter a lot. Whether the Republican like it or not, they've tied themselves to him. If he goes down they go down.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
@NewEnglandDLM If the Republicans think 2028 will be a trouble for them, They may also vote to impeach Trump. Trump is an 80 year old man with no future in politics — He is term limited with less than 40% approvals.
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 @AlexBalderas118 I think Texas does runoffs for their General Elections, so Talarico would need to get 50.01% of the popular vote to win in the first round. I don't know if the Libertarian taking votes from Cornyn would matter that much if there is a runoff system.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
@NewEnglandDLM @AlexBalderas118 Paxton performs better than Cornyn due the Libertarian candidate being so high when Cornyn is the nominee. It is virtually tied when Paxton is the nominee. But Paxton increases polarization so it may get more difficult to leave party lines. But again --There aren't many polls.
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Doug
Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 He has a stranglehold on the base though, and that's what scares the Republicans and why they didn't convict him during his second Impeachment. I just don't know if I can see Trump falling through his floor of 35%. But, boots on the ground *might* be able do it.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
@NewEnglandDLM If Democrats win the midterm in a landslide, we may see Republicans abandoning him.
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@PA_Supremacist I'll believe it when I see it. The state has been decided by less than a point in three straight Presidential elections, and the Senate race in 2022 was decided by 1 point.
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Doug@NewEnglandDLM·
@The0_o7 @AlexBalderas118 Does that take into account Paxton being the nominee? Guy is toxic and might lower the threshold for Talarico.
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Theo
Theo@The0_o7·
@AlexBalderas118 D+9.5 makes the Texas senate race R+0.4, virtually and literally tied.
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发现

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