Theo

I have an important announcement to share today. I am joining @VoteHub for the 2026 election cycle, where I will be contributing toto primary and general election coverage across the country. I am very excited for the opportunity, and I am grateful to @GarrettHerrin and the team for bringing me on ahead of a cycle this consequential. My work will focus on primary elections summer early on, and on general election races up and down the ballot into November. I am looking forward to getting started, and I will have a lot more to share in the weeks ahead. Thank you to everyone who has supported the work so far.

Which margin was closer? (2024 presidential election)

Biden won Bronx 83-15 so it is safe to say that there is an ongoing trend connected to demographics. Bronx is 56% Hispanic.

Working on a detailed analysis for this seat, coming this afternoon.

I’m curious of Conservative voters’ behavior for this election. Green and LD voters will most likely will lean towards Burnham.

This is not a great internal to release for Goldman.

@dazzy_rueng Marist also shows a lead for Democrats that is above 10%

@The0_o7 prolly faux weighting cause no other poll shows that

Last AtlasIntel poll was from December and it was D+16.

D+8 is the new D+6

@ryanjmccomb Desperately in need of a reputable pollster to poll this race

Dire for Steyer

This type of coalition does not look impossible for Osborn. Democrats, Independents and some Republicans.

All of Osborn’s internals were around +1 and -1, take it with a grain of salt but this is important.

@peltolamentum I needed some money so I maxed out all the taxes. It wasn’t election time so nothing happened.

They didn’t like my short term tax plan.

This isn’t a hot take for anyone born after 1960s

This midterm election features a lot of independent candidates. A lot of data for future campaigns on coalitions.

@the_LAdemocrat Cities Skylines Election mod

@The0_o7 Game?

Personal note—VoteHub recently celebrated its 2nd anniversary. Since then, we’ve grown to 10 employees + several contributors. Thanks to all who have supported us, including you in the audience, as we work to build the best election media experience out there. 2/2 🧵

It’s been a busy time at VoteHub, culminating in the launch of our forecast last week. Major thanks to Luke, Varun, Ryan, Lauren, Merric, Jaxon, Austin, Zoe, and Zachary for their hard work on it. I’m honored I get to work with such a talented group of people. 1/2 🧵