The Boston View
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@TheBostonView
Made in Massachusetts | “When it is dark enough, you can see the stars.”
BREAKING President Trump tells the FT: — He wants to seize Iran’s oil: “To be honest with you, my favourite thing is to take the oil in Iran.” — Specifically considering taking Kharg Island, Iran’s main oil export hub — Compares it to Venezuela, saying the U.S. could control oil there “indefinitely” — Trump claims Iran has no real defense there: “I don’t think they have any defence. We could take it very easily.” — Acknowledges it would require occupation: “It would also mean we had to be there for a while.” — Trump claims scale of bombing: “We’ve bombed 13,000 targets… we’ve got about 3,000 targets left.” — Claims “regime change” has effectively already happened — Describes new leadership as “a totally different group of people… very professional” FULL STORY: bit.ly/4lW8Hdr
Do you think Trump is intentionally destroying America or do you just think he’s incompetent?
trump can’t reopen the strait of hormuz with an air campaign. and the iranians aren’t going to accept that outcome willingly. ground troops are coming.
I have 5 different bets at @kalshi that directionally play on the same thesis: rapidly draining political power of Trump, the GOP, and GOP's prospects in the mid-terms. Had these on for about 2 months now, and the "portfolio" is hitting new ATH tonight.
The Hormuz blockade strategy is from 40 years ago. It only made sense back when it actually hurt the USA. Now that we have cheap shale oil, the strategy is obsolete because Iran blockading the rest of the world's oil doesn't actually hurt the USA.
When the public's disapproval of a war after just 4 weeks reaches the same levels of disgust that took several years to form during the Iraq war, then you need to stop thinking of the 2026 mid-terms as "voters will make their minds up in 6 months." No. The midterms are now.
My guess as to how this proceeds: Trump walks away, "Mission Accomplished", leaves Strait as a problem for ROW. Iran tolls it, arguing the toll funds are needed to rebuild the country. But they are generous w/ deals and avoid tolling it to a point that provokes crisis or outrage.
U.S. Vice President Vance: We have achieved the majority of our military objectives in Iran, and it can be said that all of these objectives have been achieved.
