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JP Morgan and Goldman open up 1.8T of private equity markets to short sellers?
Stock markets head towards the danger zone.
And what is going on when it comes to yields?
That and more in today's show: 👇👇👇
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fxevolution
5K posts
fxevolution
@fxevolution
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Australia Melbourne 加入时间 Eylül 2011
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fxevolution 已转推
9 of 11 S&P 500 sectors are now below their 50-day moving average.
“The longer-term uptrend still holds in many sectors. But the short-term trend has rolled over and the damage is starting to spread.”
- @granthawkridge
🔖 stockmarketmedia.com/2026-03-19/mos…
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fxevolution 已转推
So… the most crowded trade of the last 5 years just got a short button.
Goldman + JPM now enabling bets against private credit.
$1.8T, illiquid, opaque… and suddenly tradable.
Everyone loved it when it only went up.
Let’s see how it behaves with two-way flow.
source: investing.com
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fxevolution 已转推
Yesterday, the $VIX closed below its 10-day moving average. 👇🏼
Duality Research@DualityResearch
We’ve been saying that as long as the VIX is hanging out below its 10-day moving average, markets tend to stay calm. That’s what’s kept us long through this monster rally, and it’s still our go-to for spotting risk early. Annualized S&P 500 returns... ...when VIX is below its 10-DMA: 2025 YTD: +60% Last 5 years: +26% ...when VIX is above its 10-DMA: 2025 YTD: -42% Last 5 years: +4%
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Stock markets suffer the worst day of breadth selling in 2026.
Jerome powell and the FED spook the markets.
And we have a quadruple witching event coming in options!
That and more in today's show down below: 👇👇👇
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Early video dropping in a few minutes guys, that was a big day!
Do you think markets will hit the 50WMA?
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Nice post by Duality, give him a follow!
Duality Research@DualityResearch
Rolling 30-day flows across all Bitcoin ETFs — which we usually lean on to spot tactical tops — have flipped sharply positive, reaching their strongest levels since October after spending months deep in negative territory. We wrote about this in our Monday note (link in reply).
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Every sector and industry group closed in the red today, the worst breadth day of the year so far.
All eyes now on the weekly 50MA. 👀
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fxevolution 已转推
this is what an “air pocket” in cash flows looks like
say goodbye to buy backs for a couple yrs
campbellramble.ai/p/the-air-pock…
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fxevolution 已转推
When bond yields start gaining upward momentum, equity returns tend to diminish.
@granthawkridge
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fxevolution 已转推
Every time oil prices surged 50%+ above trend, a recession followed.
Every. Single. Time.
We just crossed that threshold again.
This isn't a prediction. It's history rhyming.
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The Stock Market Has Started To Rebound!
But what do credit markets tell us about the history of what is going on?
That and more in today's show: 👇👇👇
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An update on a critical chart:
Gasoline prices continue to climb, but attention should now shift to food prices, which have yet to follow.
Expect policymakers to call it transitory again, even as resource prices — despite volatility — remain elevated by historical standards.
substack.com/home/post/p-19…
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@TaviCosta Nice one as always @TaviCosta , shared and reposted on the daily show.
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fxevolution 已转推
The bond market is getting twitchy.
Over the past 20 years, when credit spreads blew out but the S&P 500 wasn't even beyond a pullback yet, it was 3-for-3 in bear markets.
h/t @sentimentrader
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