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@quantLR

Managing L/S Book. Fear causes hesitation, and hesitation will cause your worst fears to come true. I don’t trade for direction, I trade for distribution.

加入时间 Ağustos 2021
469 关注785 粉丝
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7@quantLR·
@BillAckman Also, $FNMA and $FMCC, have compounded equity like machines: Fannie from $47M net worth in 2021 to $109B by end-2025. Freddie to $70.4B. Retained earnings, not taxpayer handouts. Costs falling. Revenue machine intact. lrmi.ai/p/operation-gh…
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
And Fannie and Freddie are stupidly cheap. Asymmetry at its best. They could be a 10X and it could happen soon.
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
Some of the highest quality businesses in the world are trading at extremely cheap prices. Ignore the MSM. One of the most one-sided wars in history that will end well for the U.S. and the world. And we have the potential for a large peace dividend. One of the best times in a long time to buy quality. Ignore the bears.
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Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry·
Well, I can vouch for this. I forgot I had made this pic public in the past.
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭@ThierryBorgeat

Michael Burry @michaeljburry read a Wall Street book from the 1870s. Every time institutions or people acted like they do today, he marked the page with a red sticky. The book is basically a porcupine. Human nature doesn't change. Greed doesn't change. Fear doesn't change. Leverage doesn't change. The crash always comes. Only the asset class has a different name. Railroads in 1870. Stocks in 1929. Dot-coms in 2000. Mortgages in 2008. What's the red sticky for today?

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7@quantLR·
ACKMAN DROPS THE 10X BOMB ON $FNMA $FMCC — BURRY NODS: RARE HELL IN THIS MARKET These GSE zombies have compounded equity like machines: Fannie from $47M net worth in 2021 to $109B by end-2025. Freddie to $70.4B. Retained earnings, not taxpayer handouts. Costs falling. Revenue machine intact. I call this Operation Ghost Charter. I cover this more in-depth for free in my latest post: lrmi.ai/p/operation-gh… @michaeljburry @BillAckman
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7@quantLR·
$APP AppLovin is the most structurally mis-categorized large-cap in the market today — the buy-side's mental model of a "gaming ad network" is being quietly dismantled quarter by quarter as Foroughi builds what is effectively a universal commerce OS for a billion daily users. The GenAI creative rollout in H1 2026 and the e-commerce platform GA are the two catalysts that could force institutional re-categorization from "premium ad tech" to "second-tier internet platform" — at which point comparable-set valuation math implies substantial re-rating. The combination of 84% EBITDA margins, 91% FCF growth, $3.28B of active buyback conviction, and a named conversion rate ceiling that is nearly 4x current levels makes this the highest asymmetry setup in large-cap tech right now.
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7@quantLR·
@blknoiz06 Glad I opened my $NVDA puts on Friday lol & $SMH
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Ansem
Ansem@blknoiz06·
this looks like aids squared
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7@quantLR·
@WillOHara131 @spotgamma Agreed. Bessent is calling for Oil below $90 2H of ‘26. It’s going to happen
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Will O'Hara, CMT
Will O'Hara, CMT@WillOHara131·
@quantLR @spotgamma Buy rumor sell the news. If we put boots on ground maybe another spike but 120 is probably the high for now. The higher oil goes the more demand destruction there will be to the global economy
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7@quantLR·
@WillOHara131 @spotgamma Closest analog for this oil run is Russia v. Ukraine, best probable move is mimicking that outcome and oil downside soon
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Will O'Hara, CMT
Will O'Hara, CMT@WillOHara131·
@spotgamma Just like Russia Ukraine war, oil peaked at 130 and went down from there
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7@quantLR·
@HyperTechInvest I remember buying $MU sub $100 years ago. At the time, being one of the only major US memory players, I knew the administration would have their back.
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Daniel Romero
Daniel Romero@HyperTechInvest·
This week, Trump had a meeting with $MU's CEO, Sanjay Mehrotra. Could the US take a stake in $MU, just as they did with $INTC?
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7@quantLR·
@based16z Never will get fired buying $AAPL
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7@quantLR·
$MP Materials is the single most structurally mis-categorized company in the U.S. public markets today! A de facto defense-industrial and physical AI infrastructure platform masquerading as a loss-making rare earth miner, with $650M+ in contracted EBITDA backed by the Pentagon, Apple, and GM, a GBD technology breakthrough reducing heavy rare earth dependence by 60%, and a CEO who — as a former hedge fund manager — is explicitly calling the market's attention to a NdPr supply squeeze that has not yet been priced. The thesis is time-sensitive because the convergence of physical AI demand, China export control dynamics, and the GM magnet revenue inflection all point toward a forced re-categorization event in the next 12–18 months. @MPMaterials
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Zephyr
Zephyr@zephyr_z9·
US is going to get a major cyberoffense boost in the next 9-15 months And unlike nukes (used twice) or 5th gen fighter jets (deployed sparsely), they will be repeatedly used and deployed daily No other country has an answer to this (China will be 6-9 months behind if the current trajectory holds) youtube.com/watch?v=1sd26p…
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7@quantLR·
@TMTLongShort This is Extremely bullish $CRWD $PANW $S Market has these names wrong
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
Watch this and tell me the pentagon won’t move heaven and earth to make sure it has priority access to these capabilities. Slow rolling access will directly cost American lives. Letting China distill models will cost American lives. Shipping China GPUs at scale will cost American lives. There is a brief window where we will have cyber supremacy and access to every politician on earths communication and systems. Complete god view. It’s a brief window. Analogous to Enigma and Turing during WW2. I hope Washington doesn’t fucking squander the opportunity and Dario puts aside his ego for five seconds so we can establish hegemony before devolving back to our petty domestic squabbling 🫡
Zephyr@zephyr_z9

US is going to get a major cyberoffense boost in the next 9-15 months And unlike nukes (used twice) or 5th gen fighter jets (deployed sparsely), they will be repeatedly used and deployed daily No other country has an answer to this (China will be 6-9 months behind if the current trajectory holds) youtube.com/watch?v=1sd26p…

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7@quantLR·
@Tazerface16 Means low supply for massively high demand lol
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Christopher David
Christopher David@Tazerface16·
Worked in semiconductors for many years. Usage of helium for making computer chips is ubiquitous and required. We just blew up 30% of the world supply. No helium means no AI chips. No AI chips means no AI data centers. No data centers means no AI bubble. =Market crash.
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7@quantLR·
Aritzia is producing roughly 3x the revenue Lulu was per store. This is massive, and they plan to build 2x more stores! $ATZAF $ATZ $LULU lrmi.ai/p/aritzia-is-w…
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