Drops don’t actually matter in wide receiver evaluation. It has essentially 0 correlation to NFL success. There isn’t a single elite receiver in the NFL that has a sub-5% drop rate in college. ———————————— Player (Career Drop Rate in College) Puka Nacua (8.5%) Ja’Marr Chase (7.8%) Justin Jefferson (7.3%) Malik Nabers (7.3%) Garrett Wilson (7.1%) Zay Flowere (10.4%) Brian Thomas Jr. (9.3%) Jordan Addison (9.5%) DK Metcalf (9.5%) ———————————— Then you get to the actual translatability of the stat itself and it gets more muddy George Pickens had the best drop rate in college of any 1,000+ yard receiver of the last decade at 2.2%. He’s actually struggled with drops in the NFL with a 7% drop rate including a season with a 12% drop rate in 2024. CeeDee Lamb has 4 seasons with a drop rate >9% in the NFL after having 0 in college. Hasn’t kept him from being great. In fact, Amon-Ra had a higher drop rate in college than Lamb, but his drop rate in the NFL is 3% compared to Lamb’s 7.6%. If Concepcion struggles to translate to the NFL, it will have nothing to do with his high drop rate.