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LockManJay
LockManJay@LockManJay·
NBA Prop Sunday May 24th Wemby Over 24.5 Points Victor Wembanyama has already shown this matchup isn’t too big for him offensively. In this series against OKC, he’s averaging 29.3 points per game on 18.7 field goal attempts, clearing this 24.5 line in 2 of the 3 meetings while dropping outings of 41 and 26 points. Even in the one miss, he still put up 21 points, so the volume and usage have remained consistent throughout the series. That’s the biggest takeaway here - the offense is clearly running through him regardless of matchup difficulty. The shot volume is what makes this over so appealing. Nearly 19 field goal attempts per game against the Thunder is elite usage, especially for a player who also generates offense at the free throw line and in transition. Wemby averages 5.8 points from free throws alone and another 5.1 points in transition, which gives him easy scoring opportunities before half court defense can even get set. Add in his ability to score from spot up situations, cuts, post ups, and isolation possessions, and it becomes extremely difficult to scheme him out for four quarters. OKC’s defense ranks near the top of the league against centers, but Wemby’s scoring profile is unique because he attacks from every level of the floor. He’s shown positive efficiency from three point range and around the rim in this matchup while continuing to create mismatches with his size and mobility. More importantly, opposing centers have still produced against OKC recently, and Wembanyama already proved he can punish this exact defense At the end of the day, this prop comes down to opportunity and offensive role. A player averaging nearly 30 points per game in the series on massive shot volume only needs an average scoring night to clear 24.5. With San Antonio continuing to lean on him as the clear offensive centerpiece, the upside for another 25+ performance is very real. #nbaprop #nbabet #nbapick #sportsbetting #gamblingX
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