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Christopher Cain
Christopher Cain@PythonTrader·
Some S&P 500 valuation charts... TLDR; SPX valuations aren't as crazy as they look at first glance Big diff between market cap weighted and equal weight valuations (forward P/E). Ratio close to highest in this data. EW valuations are right around medians (compared to itself)
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Christopher Cain
Christopher Cain@PythonTrader·
Disty of forward P/Es for SPX members paints a moderate picture. 285 trade below 20x. 185 trade below 15x. Big right skew here.
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Christopher Cain
Christopher Cain@PythonTrader·
Forward ROE at highest in this data (since 2006). Somewhat justifies valuations. Of the 244 months in our sample, 45 exhibited higher valuations, but those periods had a median forward ROE of just 18.3%, or 290 bps lower.
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Christopher Cain
Christopher Cain@PythonTrader·
Same deal with margins. Forward profit margins highest since 2000. 67 months in our 316-month sample traded at higher valuations. However, those periods carried a median forward margin of just 12%, 340 bps below today.
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Christopher Cain
Christopher Cain@PythonTrader·
Value Factor valuation ratio, aka the ratio between the cheapest and the more expensive stocks, remains below averages. Cheap quintile in SPX trades around 13% the valuations of expensive.
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