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OddStats
OddStats@OddStats·
Ok, I'm not gonna lie. Hide your wife and kids. Look at these 20 day forward max draw downs. Do you even care what this table is about? I didn't think so, but I'll explain it in the next tweet down anyway because, while it looks nuts, if you think about it, it's not. [1/3]
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OddStats
OddStats@OddStats·
Ok, so dig this. And try to follow me, because like I said, this isn't as crazy as it may seem at first. And let's get this out of the way: no matter what you do here? You WILL lose money. In the past 10 trading days, QQQ has alternated its Big Days (those that are 1% or more in either direction): -1% +1% -1% +1% -1% Keep in mind, there were days with smaller returns mixed in there; meaning those Big Days weren't five consecutive days in a row, but the days that WERE big alternated as above. Point is...even though some regular days were sprinkled in, the five most recent BIG MOVE DAYS on QQQ in the past two weeks alternated swings. What's weird, is that this usually happens when QQQ is in a correction or a bear market, which as of this second, it is not. While the one-month-forward-returns have been surprisingly good in 5 of the 8 previous events, check out those fucking max 20 day draw downs mid day. All 8 prior events saw massive fireworks, some in both directions, over the next month. The 3 in the 0DTE era? Were three of the SCARIEST ones. Can you feel your nipples tingling and your portfolio value dropping? FUCK. YEAH. [2/3]
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OddStats
OddStats@OddStats·
Is this the single most irresponsible thing I've ever tweeted? Almost certainly. [3/3]
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OddStats@OddStats·
@RobPJS Remember when this account was actually entertaining and not just an old man desperately grasping at the past?
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