OddStats

You all can't possibly be this fucking stupid.

@Impervious38 Toward the ends and toward the bottoms. Frankly, you should have guessed that, knowing that if they happened at the peaks, I'd have put up a chart scaring the shit out of people.

@OddStats What part of the cycle did these previous 9 events occur? Was it before, during or after the major drawdowns?

▪ This is now the 14th time in the past 25 years ▪ That QQQ has had five +1% days and five -1% days ▪ Within a 12 trading day span Would you like to know in which years the other events happened? 2022 2020 2018 2011 2008 2003 2002 2001 9 of 13 were in screaming bear markets.

@CryptiQ73 No fucking shit? What is this, your first fucking day here?

@OddStats Cherry-picking data

@svendnelson It did, didn't it.

@OddStats That all came together nicely 😂

QQQ opened this morning within 0.1% of its open two days ago. Yesterday, it opened within 0.1% of its open two days before that. But those two sets of opens were at least 0.25% apart from each other. Confused? You should be. This is nonsense. But the next-day returns?

@BackFromMargin @WuffettBarken Been dropping literally since I posted my tweet, actually.

@OddStats @WuffettBarken I still don't get how oil keeps rising today and index doesn't give a shit, really surprising given the recent inverse correlation

You're going to see a lot of stats today like "When CPI falls below 4%..." "Last time CPI estimates were this far off..." But what you should really know is, oil is already back in the 80s after being in the 60s/low 70s for a good chunk of this month's CPI data and that, if it stays up here, CPI is likely to jump right back up soon. Why am I telling you this? Because the last time CPI dropped ▪ From 4.2% ▪ To under 4% ▪ But then jumped BACK to 4.2% ▪ Round trip in 6 months or less Why, that would be 2008.

@FeastOnWhales Of course they do. I'll be dead before I pay for followers or views.

@OddStats I believe X has a feature where you can buy fans or at the very least get more views. Everyone has to buy in a little nowadays 😉

Ok, I'm not gonna lie. Hide your wife and kids. Look at these 20 day forward max draw downs. Do you even care what this table is about? I didn't think so, but I'll explain it in the next tweet down anyway because, while it looks nuts, if you think about it, it's not. [1/3]

@MikeBurgersburg @edzitron Oh, I'm the worst account on this site by a ton.

@edzitron @OddStats Hate that guy

Enjoying discussing finance with @OddStats

@edzitron Nothing is a coincidence, Ed.

@OddStats Silver you say? interesting.

@penecks Ew. Good point. I'll find someone else to quote next time.

@OddStats Um mommy, is this an undisclosed polymarket ad??

@edzitron Excellent.

@edzitron You drive a hard and likely carcinogenic bargain, Zitron. Ok look. You can sit in the lobby and mumble angrily at my followers in a measured and deliberate tone, but NO MORE SILVER LININGS.

@OddStats i'm afraid my benefactors have already gotten that deal. You may have a single diet coke

@AnAppealToHeav8 @DissidentClint It's something.

@OddStats @nikitabier @DissidentClint At least I see your posts.

We're rolling out a small tweak to boost visibility of your posts to your mutuals (people who you follow back). We noticed this data was missing from the algo and it made your friends appear less in your replies. This resulted in the reply section feeling more like a battleground with people you don't recognize. This should also help clusters form around interests more easily, which many people have asked for.

@edzitron YES. THANK YOU. That's more like it. You can stay, but I get 50% of your merch sales.

@OddStats You’re right, I apologize. Anyway - Nolan’s the dark knight came out July 18 2008, and months later the market crashed. Nolan’s the odyssey comes out July 17 2026. I think we all know what that means

@edzitron Ed, I'm trying to scare people here with unscientific small sample nonsense. If you're going to try to get my most gullible customers excited about something, at least try to have a financial angle or a personal agenda. Thank you.

@OddStats The year the dark knight came out? Sign me up

@goy_division_ You learn to buy as many light bulbs and boxes of cheese as you can when the store has them in stock. Eventually you get used to it.

@OddStats don't worry, living in a permanent crisis in a third world country agenda isn't that scary

@WuffettBarken Correct. Why anyone would be excited about these numbers knowing that oil is already back up is beyond me.

@OddStats The market is forward looking while CPI is last month's news.