@apsk32 watch this cycle flip the script.. disappointing to start but rips to $180k+ into 2027

@DurdenBTC I think that's possible. But if we do, we'd be ~2.5 years ahead of the power curve. I'd expect Bitcoin to underperform after that.

@apsk32 @DurdenBTC underperform what year?

@TylerDivv @apsk32 @DurdenBTC I believe what he means is that if it were to rip that high; it would be overextended based on this power curve extrapolation and to 'fit' it would underperform for a few years.

@tankov1ch @TylerDivv @DurdenBTC Yes, exactly this.

@apsk32 @tankov1ch @DurdenBTC can you be more specific with a scenario?

On 1 Feb 2027 Bitcoin is worth $180,000. That is 2.2 years ahead of the power curve fit. On 1 Feb 2029 Bitcoin is only 1 year ahead of the power curve fit, which corresponds to a price of $224,800. That's an average yearly gain of 11.8% over two years, which would be disappointing for many. More plainly, if the power curve remains a good forecast of Bitcoin's future price, then frontloading gains means we will need to stall for a while so that the trendline can catch up.