exo
2.9K posts

exo
@ExodiaCrypto
attracted to speculative markets 📉 // hmu in dm's always happy to talk shop
Hidden HYPE Village انضم Haziran 2020
2.4K يتبع378 المتابعون

@macrocephalopod @therobotjames this short book is great too from the "required reading" section there. super fun read


English

@therobotjames Are you linking people to this article? I’ve never built a serious sports betting model (I built plenty of shitty ones). But if I was going to, I’d basically base it on the system in this pdf: gwern.net/doc/statistics…
English

follow up to this.
how to use betting market odds to tell you what you're missing in your betting model.
the market knows a lot of stuff that you don't know.
by comparing your predictions to those of the markets, you can identify those things, and improve your models.
Robot James 🤖🏖@therobotjames
getting edge in sports betting markets with novel information or better models . . . i've been writing things about sports betting. this is about getting edge by predicting outcomes better than the market. it's really really fkin hard - but i'm gonna talk about it anyway
English

@simpelyfe absolutely fkn not. a good diet is the one u stick to, keto is hell. eat normal & track or get reta if can't be bothered. if u just need to cut a bit a nice trick is to drink a protein shake before every meal,get a flavor u like to rly stick to it. i call it poor man's reta
English
exo أُعيد تغريده

Macro predictions and game plan.
It seems I've been spot on over the past 1-2 years on general trends that played out, so I'll share what I plan to do personally.
1. BTC is going to underperform everything in the medium term.
Reason: BTC has proved itself not to be a good hedge against inflation and world chaos. Nothing new is expected from the 'crypto president' and the next administration probably won't be as complacent. Also, DATs are going to have to sell their leveraged BTC at some point. It's still a long way to go, but everyone is watching and knows it will come eventually.
2. US stocks are probably going to find a reason to have one last rally to ATH or near it — just enough to trigger some final momentum buying before the rope is cut and we start the generational crash we thought could never happen again.
Reason: The Iran situation is going to have a very significant impact on inflation. This will make it very unlikely for the FED to be able to cut rates in the short/medium term. Investors are going to realize that 1) stocks are overpriced (high PE ratios, leverage, etc.) and 2) there is no safety net anymore. So it will naturally fall. Then, in the medium/long term, the FED will be forced to lower interest rates, print again, and we will probably recover some — to the detriment of the USD.
Game plan:
> Short BTC (self-evident)
> Wait for a new ATH on stocks or a few months trading near ATH with momentum funds buying in, then start buying volatility ETFs as they will compound nicely in a crash (e.g. VXX)
> Buy up gold and silver on pullbacks, as they should outperform due to global instability and the medium-term resumption of money printing.
Thinking about how to engineer a vault that could reflect this view, and offer some added alpha to it.
Would it be something you would be interested in?
Also lmk where you think I'm wrong in my view 🙏
English

@MartinShkreli @jordaaash martin ur right but why u gotta ruin the positive placebo for these guys lol, at least it's something
English

@jordaaash you're being played, these are inert substances
English

I'm on the peptide train.
After a week of BPC-157 (8 injections, 500mcg subcutaneous abdominal), persistent ankle tendon pain from a snowboarding injury a year ago is barely noticeable, and ankle mobility is significantly improved.
Chronic tech neck and shoulder pain is also much less present. No other significant lifestyle changes. Will still be on this cycle another 11 weeks, but seems positive with no observable side effects so far.
Yesterday I added TB-500 (1 injection, 2mg) as well, and in a week or two, I plan to add GHK-Cu assuming the first two are well-tolerated. I also plan to move to local injections of BPC-157 near injury sites while continuing systemically.
English

@ExodiaCrypto @ConcaveMMT @pranavvk @therobotjames @liquiditygoblin Your pee pee is quite distinctive, with the genital warts and errything
English

@ConcaveMMT @pranavvk @therobotjames @liquiditygoblin Gonna take me a minute to blur the faces of notable fintwit ppl who probably dont wanna be seen getting down with their bad selves
Anyone know how to do that easily?
English

@HyperTrendLabs @liquiditygoblin finally some quality posts on this page kekw
English

This is our quant. Our quantitative. His name is @liquiditygoblin

VNTGPRN@VNTGPRN
See ya soon, Cannes!
English

If you can reply to this, you're gonna make it and are part of Hyperliquid fam
If you can't reply, leave a like if you want to be part of $HYPE twitter so I follow you
Testing something.

katexbt.hl@katexbt
If you can reply to this, you're gonna make it. If you can't reply, leave a like so I know who you are. Testing something.
English

@degennQuant how much is the cash back % could someone link the docs pls
English

Did someone say $HYPE cashback on the Liquid bank?

louis, cy@rightclcksaveas
what's next? liquid banking referral links and $HYPE cashback
English

















