Diego the GIFMASTER
2.6K posts

Diego the GIFMASTER
@GIFMASTER_
Former ⚽ player | Fitness | Gold scalper 📈 daily | BTC 2016 | Crypto & tech analyst 📊 | Real estate
Guadeloupe انضم Nisan 2021
313 يتبع2.3K المتابعون
تغريدة مثبتة

That was meant sarcastically. Thats why I added "lol" at the end with the GIF.
Nevertheless, I didnt believe that gold would undergo such a rapid correction in this short of time.
Now we wait and see... stay calm... i am still not sure that ISM will rise exponentially.
And i dont think that Bitcoin has bottomed out yet.
Gold is correcting, but theres still no rotation to Bitcoin.
Today we see the relationship between gold and Bitcoin in favor of Bitcoin... but that doesnt necessarily mean anything... it remains to be seen how sustainable this is.
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You do not need to overcomplicate it.
I don't understand why everyone finds its so hard to see these things.
Well, I do, because emotions rule 99% of people.
But anyone can line up these three fundamental macro charts and analyse where we are.
It literally takes two minutes.
In every single cycle we have had:
1. GOLD tops as ISM moves into expansion
2. Bitcoin tops between 476d and 517d after
It is very clear to see that.
And it is not a coincidence this happens, it happens for fundamental macro reasons.
GOLD is a strong risk off asset that performs well in economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
When ISM breaks into expansion, that uncertainty is removed and GOLD finds its top, as ISM continues to expand.
An expanding economy improves liquidity conditions and that is why Bitcoin then has its turn.
Again, this is not a random chart that has no intrinsic link.
These three charts represent different stages of a macro cycle and when you put them together, it becomes clear.
Take a look at this again now...
Do either GOLD or ISM look like they are anywhere near a position that signals Bitcoin having 9 months of a bear market left?
Not at all.

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Diego the GIFMASTER أُعيد تغريده

@EatTheRich_Off What is your main view on gold now, since we are now back in the demand zone? We broke out from the falling wedge, but interestingly there was no much volume, to keep going the move upwards and got rejected at close to $5242 resistance.
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Pretty funny haemorrhaging followers for trades that play out to the T
Markets don’t care about your feelings
The fact people are still so upset about the idea gold could sell off tells me this is likely only the first leg down before a retrace and even deeper macro pullback
When people stop paying attention and getting butthurt about gold behaving the way all financial markets do then we’ll likely find our bottom again
EAT THE RICH TRADING@EatTheRich_Off
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@Bitcoinsensus The price of gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic and geopolitical news.
For this reason, I expect gold to reach a new all-time high this year, even if your cup and handle target on macro has been reached.
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#Gold has peformed one of the greatest breakouts in history.
Huge breakout of a macro cup and handle pattern. 📈🔥
Could $BTC be next ? (NFA)

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@AltcoinSherpa Yep, exactly, there is a low money inflow and no interest. So bad sentiment.
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Diego the GIFMASTER أُعيد تغريده


LOL 😂
How many times people should buy the dips?! Dont follow these guys. This is how you get rekt.
The bear market will continue for several more months.
Sell in May, come back in October. That's what the big investors are thinking. You can expect a relief in March/April and on that to catch something for a trade. But thats all before continuing lower.
Summer will be boring as always. Save your money to be ready in Q4 2026.
For long-term investments, I would only invest in Bitcoin.
Altcoins only for short-term speculation, preferably low caps.
But never plan on investing in altcoins for the long term. It's all rubbish.
#Bitcoin $BTC #BTC #Crypto
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Btw.:
x.com/GIFMASTER_/sta…
This is how you lose by following analysts like these.
We'll soon be below $1 MCap. lol
This guy is just arrogant and reacts aggressively to criticism.
It's interesting that he calls himself a "full-time crypto." There's no such thing.
I have multiple income streams. Focusing solely on crypto is like constantly pushing your way through manor houses full of dust, bricks, etc. This attitude is like an addiction, dependent on a drug.
He should devote more time to his wife/girlfriend.
This guy is completely uptight.
Diego the GIFMASTER@GIFMASTER_
@Sykodelic_ $1 Mio MCap soon.........and then possibility to go even below $1 Mio, depending from sentiment in the markets. $GRAY
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He doesn't even know what he's doing.
He talks about not being influenced by emotions, but instead, he's being influenced by them.
He's been bullish since August/September. He can't even think straight with all that bullishness.
He should learn to observe the market neutrally. If he can do that, then he's welcome to write his novel-like posts.
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Closed long at Break even.
Not seeing the follow through I wanted.
Will look to re-enter on a reclaim of $65,500 or a sweep of the lows.
No need to risk it.
Wait for some clearer direction and we can re-enter easily.

Sykodelic 🔪@Sykodelic_
Still holding onto the long here. Currently in tiny profit but close to B/E. Want to see us get back above $64,450 and hold it. Coinbase Premium has been on a gradual increase since $60k and its flipping green. If we cant get back above $64,450 and push, will cut it and wait for either a sweep of the lows or a reclaim.
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How is asking a question hate?
You’re a public profile with a decent following. If you don’t like questions or criticism, turn your profile private.
You have no problem criticising other people’s posts, but call it disrespect and hate the moment it happens to you. Cmon dude.
And maybe don’t speak to your followers like this and they might respect you more.

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This for those that don’t understand.
There is a big difference between a low time frame trade and a high time frame bottom.
You can think a HTF bottom is forming, whilst also managing your levels on a LTF trade.
I opened my trade at $64,500, anticipating $72,000.
However, on a trade, you aim to limit downside and thus, liquidation.
If the trade idea doesn’t play out how you expect, it’s a smart thing to do to cut it before losses…
And wait for a more key level, lower or higher, to reevaluate and go again.
Trading is all about risk management.
If we head to sweep lower, my initial trade would have been liquidated.
Now, as the first day of the trade hasn’t produced the movement I wanted… I can wait for either lower to happen or a level reclaim, and have higher accuracy.
It’s strange the amount of hate I get for sharing this kind of stuff.
HTF and LTF are totally different.
I buy spot bags in value areas but I will trade in any area.
Hope that helps.
Ardi@ArdiNSC
@Sykodelic_ I’m confused. Why would you close your longs if you’re so confident this is the bottom?
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@Sykodelic_ This guy talking about risk management after riding his spot bag down -90% from October 😂🤣😂🤣
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Here is my thesis.
Broken down and put forward with key charts that I think show the greatest signal of it.
A lot of people don't understand why I think what I do... why I am targeting a continued cycle and new highs this year...
When surely a prolonged bear market seems obvious?
Overall, this chart highlights almost all the key differences we have seen within this cycle that have to be accounted for, and explained.
But most notably, in my view, it shows us exactly where we are in the cycle right now...
Even if it looks a little different to what most of us expected.
It looks a little complex so let's break it down(there is a TLDR at the end if you're lazy, but i recommend reading it all) :)
Firstly, at the top, we have BTC/TOTALES*100. This is basically Bitcoin Dominance but with stables removed.
The stables market has grown so much since 2021 so we need to remove to get an accurate picture. This chart is BTC divided by TOTAL with stables removed.
The first and most important thing we can see overall here, is that Dominance is still within the same cycle it started after the 2021 top.
As of yet, it has not broken down to any significant degree.
And that was the main difference this cycle that has confused most people.
Most people think the 4 year cycle is ruling things, and we just had a weak cycle for the first time ever.
But from where I see it, that is not true.
If we jump down to the ISM/PMI at the bottom, we can see that this is still within the same cycle, it just was in contraction for a much longer period of time than ever before.
Is it a coincidence that we had the weakest "cycle" ever during the only cycle in which Bitcoin made new highs, and dominance did not break down, whilst within business cycle contraction?
I think not.
What this means, imo, is that we are within a lengthened business cycle that has, in turn, created a longer Bitcoin cycle.
And the only reason Bitcoin managed to make new highs within this business cycle contraction, for the first time, is due to institutional and government adoption, that we have only ever had within this cycle.
This is why alts never truly got going(other than isolated runs), because it wasn't true expansion, due to business cycle contraction.
Alts need highly liquidity positive environment to thrive, which we have not had.
The overall backdrop was not there, even though Bitcoin made new highs.
Which is the main thing that has thrown everybody off into believing that we are entering a 4 year cycle style bear market here.
But you only have to look at Dominance to see that we are looking nothing like that kind of bear market. The cycle is actually still ongoing.
Now, lets look at Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Bitcoin is in a highly different scenario to last cycle. Ethereum is actually in a very similar position right now, but has had a very different cycle path so far.
Again, it is my belief that this is because of institutional and government adoption.
We have not made new sustained, true expansion highs, because we have been in overall contraction the whole time, until now.
And this is why BTC.D, even without stables, hasn't broken down yet.
The real chart that should be used for the cycle is BTC.D, not just Bitcoin.
So whats next?
Well, what we can see here is that Dominance rises just before it falls.
And its main period of collapse actually comes after Bitcoin breaks into price discovery, not once its finished its run.
We can see that when Bitcoin goes from orange dot to green dot, dominance rises.
Then, when it truly breaks out and doesn't look back, dominance collapses as the rest of the market runs.
And this all happens once, and only once, ISM is well and truly in expansion.
Then, finally, the actual cycle top comes after dominance breaks down, and ISM is heading towards contraction again.
TLDR
- Crypto isn't in a weak/failed 4 year cycle, it's in a lengthened cycle tied to an unusually prolonged business cycle contraction.
- Adjusted BTC Dominance (BTC/TOTALES*100, stables excluded) is still in the same bull phase range since 2021 top, no major breakdown yet (58-59% range currently).
- ISM Manufacturing PMI stayed in deep contraction far longer than any prior cycle = weakest looking crypto cycle ever.
- BTC still hit new ATHs during contraction for first time ever thanks to institutional + government adoption (ETFs, reserves talk, etc.)
- Alts never rallied because true liquidity/expansion never arrived and alts need strong ISM expansion (>50 and rising) to thrive.
- Dominance stays elevated until real price discovery begins; big drop (altseason trigger) typically happens after BTC breaks out sustainably and ISM enters solid expansion.
- Recent ISM rebound (52.6 in Jan 2026) signals we're likely entering/approaching that expansion phase = bull cycle continues, potential broader market rotation ahead in 2026.
This is why it is my view we have had a mid cycle top, driven by an unusual BTC run within overall contraction...
And now as we actually enter overall broader expansion, Bitcoin is going to continue higher within this lengthened ISM business cycle.
Just when everyone is only looking at the tress, thinking this is a standard 4 year cycle, when the forest is a far grander picture.
This is an absolute first for Bitcoin, and the cycle being so different has made it a challenging one to call...
It has misled me also.
But I think this thesis has pretty heavy weight and is backed within a very concise and detailed overall market position as i have put forward here.
Its not just about Bitcoin.
Hope that clears up where my head is at.

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@DrProfitCrypto @saylor He doesnt care about your thoughts lol
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I warned @saylor many times that constantly buying Bitcoin nonstop and backing it with his own company shares is playing with fire. I tried to be a helpful friend, tried to help him see the risk, he decided to ignore and backfire on my warnings by calling my warnings nothing but crap, which is something I want to recall now:
Since those warnings, Strategy is down around 75% from its highs and Bitcoin dropped about 52% from its peak. His reported average BTC entry is around $76k and with BTC currently near $66k that puts the position roughly 13% below cost. Since they started buying in 2020, they never realized meaningful profits, never made serious strategic selling decisions, and since 2020 they are overall -13% in loss. Meanwhile their stock is in a non stop continued downside move and reached -75% so far. MSTR investors are suffering the volatility. Saylor was already one of the biggest losers of the dot-com bubble in 2000. I even told him that with the current AI bubble he risks repeating history in 2026. Instead of reducing exposure, he doubled down and kept buying more BTC while ignoring warning signs. I truly wish MSTR and Saylor the best, but I cannot understand how reckless this trading approach is in such a late-cycle environment. Markets reward discipline, not blind believe in Bitcoin. There is always time to buy and time to sell. I hope he will listen next time instead of mocking my warnings.
Best regards, DrProfit.

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