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@PhotonCap $IQE some links I thought were helpful below aside from their investor relations section on their website (which is pretty solid):
Valelelelele@valeagentt
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Lawn Chair Capital
1.6K posts
Lawn Chair Capital
@LawnChairCap
Current PE Operator | ex-LMM PE | ex-IB | washed-Ivy League Athlete | Asymmetric Investor | Currently $IQE $OSS Focused | Path to $1M
Tribeca انضم Haziran 2020
789 يتبع447 المتابعون
@LawnChairCap Sure if they execute over next 12 months, but that’s never certain. Let’s hear earnings first on May 20th
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@LawnChairCap @aleabitoreddit @afasano23 Iqe is less risky, Sive is starting to look like pump to me with inappropriate activity from ex CEO shareholders and their own marketing dept. Non reg RNS about Jabil and rocket emojis from their own X account and passing off Nasdaq possibilities as actual listing are red flags
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Yeah $SIVE raised ~$13.65M from a bunch of institutional investors, which is strongly bullish. For such a tiny portion of the float ~2.5% too.
And it's likely used for NASDAQ listing (extremely positive).
Extremely positive + Extremely positive = high conviction in management execution.
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@SpolianskyLaw @runners271851 Well said, I’m looking for the edge compute names like $OSS to move profits if this ever gets going
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I am still holding an overweight core position, yes. I have been swing trading a smaller less meaningful position.
I still like the assets; thesis remains intact and we should get AI revenue this quarter.
Aside from selling $3 puts in my wife’s account, I am not adding any more here and if those shares get assigned to me.
I am looking to see how high the market pumps this. I expect to double digits before the AI cycle implodes…. And it’s absolutely going to fucking implode one day - probably this decade.
Other than the massive compute needed for training, the inference is inevitably going to the edge and there will be a terrible bear market when efficiency increases 50x and the price for compute drops 90%.
Next time you see this thing pump and you get euphoric. Run away and never look back.
This founder isn’t it, and the market knows that. Michel should be looking to offload this company to a larger player for $10/share.
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$DGXX 🚨🚨🚨
After seeing what Bird did by just announcing AI pivot. I’m changing my target. I expect $20 by June once AI revenue is announced. The announcement will highlight that we’ve completed our pivot and finally making revenue from the GPUs.
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@aleabitoreddit @Cheva28789724 Right I made a mistake on $IQE and sold it early, it was boring and not playing thesis so thought to switch to others. It played better at the end.
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My $IQE call… might actually outperform my legendary $AXTI thesis soon?
It’s only been 2 months:
Now it's up over +316% after institutions started publicly buying… and keeps going up.
Fun time for critical chokepoints like $ALRIB, $SIVE, and $SOI recently in Europe.
Probably expect them all to compound another triple digits from here, even after all their rallies.
Retail is just extremely early for the first time.
So, expect a lot of institutional capital to pour into these critical supply chains companies soon, especially $SIVE after Nasdaq listing.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
Not exactly! I'm just a tad more familiar with photonic supply chains than I am with energy so I like picking potential winners. Just wanted to introduce $IQE into the equation like i did with $AXTI, so I could do a "Did you Listen Anon?" post 3 months later if it turns out well.
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@SpolianskyLaw @runners271851 Do you still own this dogshit michael?
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Lawn Chair Capital أُعيد تغريده
@PolarizingLit People miss that it was a DUAL announcement too today with $SIVE:
1. They raised ~$13M+ from long term institutional investors (so no more balance sheet concerns).
2. Then they're pursuing US NASDAQ listing too.
50% gap up is undervaluing the news.
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Lawn Chair Capital أُعيد تغريده
$SIVE might be a longer hold than I thought. This is an EASY 10 bagger tbh
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
@PolarizingLit People miss that it was a DUAL announcement too today with $SIVE: 1. They raised ~$13M+ from long term institutional investors (so no more balance sheet concerns). 2. Then they're pursuing US NASDAQ listing too. 50% gap up is undervaluing the news.
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@Lib_Capital @InvestingTmr @BobbaPaddop Yeah gotta be holding strong, if not adding into this next update. Let’s hope those Lazard IB guys are earning their bonuses…
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@LawnChairCap @InvestingTmr @BobbaPaddop Margins have indeed been slim over the past couple of years. We will have to see to in the next set of results what degree of operating leverage can kick in with increased revenue.
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Largest holding: $IQE going from mostly smartphone & base stations (GaAs RF & VCSELs) --> upgraded smartphone (BOLED VCSEL, GaN), upgraded base station (GaN RF & SiPh), EV (GaN power & PV & LiDAR), space (PV & RF), wearable (SiPh), VR/AR (MicroLED), and energy (PV & TPV).
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@aleabitoreddit @StormDirac Wow this is insane, 54k shares of $SIVEF let’s ride mfs
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$SIVE executing US NASDAQ listing from Reuters.
Welcome to America Sivers.
I said Sivers looks like it should be valued at $2B+ soon based on today's fundamentals.
And US institutions will likely be piling into the laser supplier for $MRVL and $JBL once it's on NASDAQ.
This comes after a highly bullish 2.5% raise today from new "international institutional investors" to likely fund regulatory/audit requirements for the listing.
"The investors in the Directed Share Issue comprise of a limited number of Swedish and international institutional and other qualified investors"
We’ll likely going to see a parabolic ride up from the news.
In just the last three days:
-> $JBL 1.6T to use $SIVE
-> $SIVE new US/international institutional investors
-> $SIVE looks to be listed on NASDAQ.
We're witnessing the birth of the next $LITE.
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Shouldn’t be $IQE in my opinion until the news and story on Taiwan come out. That’s been the thesis from the start. Also illiquid private investments aren’t as exciting imo, I don’t love my exposure there, as it’s just so long dated and means less given my age and cash needs. Also even though the cap tables stacked, doesn’t that mean that they may have more capital to be wrong with? Double edged sword in my opinion.
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Guys, I've decided to sell 75%-100% of two of my high-growth holdings:
> To get in on the latest funding round for an AI startup in London (AI financial advice)
> I'd be on the cap table alongside some pretty famous tech investors. Names you'll all know
90% sure which positions I'll sell, but interested to see what people think.
Poll in comments/quote tweet:
> $IQE / $SIVE / $SOI / $AAOI
(And yes, I know I'd be missing out on multi-year gains with these stocks lol)
However, I personally see massive ROI in scaling an AI business alongside famous tech investors
Probably bigger ROI when factoring in potential deal flow coming my way in the future?
> Poll set for 7 days out, but will need to make my final decision before the weekend
(And no, I won't be sharing any bear cases for the stocks I sell - I'm bullish on all four names mentioned)
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@LawnChairCap In terms of tech depth (aka margins & replaceability) of InP epi for SiPh & CPO, it's really not that great. Just ask Landmark.
You'll likely see a boost in revenue for $IQE in the nearterm, but margins are likely meh & it will fade quickly. Photonics-SOI and LNOI is different.
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