Not Elon Musk

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Not Elon Musk

Not Elon Musk

@LivingReasonJP

انضم Ağustos 2014
148 يتبع32 المتابعون
Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@LevAkabas (3) what's the drug testing history for horse racing.
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Lev Akabas
Lev Akabas@LevAkabas·
Kentucky Derby times haven't gotten any faster since the 1960s... Why? Two theories: (1) Selective breeding has reached its limit due to reduction of genetic variation (2) People care about breaking records. Horses don't 🏇
Lev Akabas tweet media
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@samdcohn People will stop laughing when he's brought in as a hidden player gadget option.
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Sam Cohn
Sam Cohn@samdcohn·
UDFA quarterback Diego Pavia is here in Owings Mills for Ravens rookie minicamp:
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Logan Dobson
Logan Dobson@LoganDobson·
Imagine you run a 24 hour hamburger joint. You do pretty well. You sell 1000 burgers a week for $10 each, netting $5 on each. But almost all your money is made during “peak” hours when demand is highest — lunch, dinner. You net $5000 a week. Then a big change. A 24 hour factory opens across the street. The workers at the factory don’t have a set lunch hour, so they just run out for burgers whenever they feel hungry, roughly evenly distributed throughout the day and night. Burger demand surges — a little bit during those peak hours, but also at all hours of the night, mid-afternoon, early morning, all times you previously weren’t selling many burgers and your staff was mostly sitting around. With the surge in demand, you’re now selling 2000 burgers a week. You cut the price to $8 per burger (to encourage more factory customers), so you now net $6000 per week. Demand went way up, but you cut prices and are making more revenue and profit. At this point you might think I’ve told you a story about hamburgers. I’ve actually told you a story about data centers and electricity prices.
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Paul Farhi
Paul Farhi@farhip·
Lee lost the war. Grant won it, first in the west, and then by crushing Lee on his home turf. Trump is buying the “Lost Cause” image of Lee, which sought to portray him as blameless and noble. In fact, Lee supported slavery and killed countless Americans in defense of it.
Acyn@Acyn

Trump on Civil War: Why couldn't that have been settled? Maybe it could have been. Robert E. Lee was an amazing general. He took something that was supposed to end in a day and made it last four years. If Gettysburg didn’t happen, he would’ve won.

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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@michael_nielsen @RyanPGreenblatt Unclear what we're counting though. Ex there are infinitely many possible hammers, but once you have the idea of varying ex size and material most of the conceptual space is covered.
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Michael Nielsen
Michael Nielsen@michael_nielsen·
@RyanPGreenblatt This seems almost certainly wrong. The vast majority of technologies will never be developed, by ten billion civilizations over ten billion years. I of course cannot prove this (though basic counting arguments suggest it)
Michael Nielsen tweet media
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Michael Nielsen
Michael Nielsen@michael_nielsen·
Dwarkesh's point here is really striking: if two alien civilizations tech trees are different enough (which seems plausible - consider the likely differences in basic biology), then that creates very large opportunities for gains from trade. (Of course, trade itself requires certain preconditions to be met - hostile enough interactions may preclude the possibility)
Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_sp

.@michael_nielsen provides another example of how the tech tree is far vaster than we realize, and how we won't really get to explore much of it at all, even over millions of years: Think about how many interesting biological technologies are downstream of the particular way in which life evolved here on Earth. It's like we're learning about an alien civilization's tech stack. There’s an interesting implication here for thinking about the far future. There could potentially be huge gains from trade between different civilisations, if each one has radically different kinds of technology from the others. Different civilizations might have strong incentives to cooperate and trade.

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James Surowiecki
James Surowiecki@JamesSurowiecki·
Nonsense. The DOJ does not get to unilaterally decide what it means when someone uses the expression "86." It can claim (erroneously) that it always means "to murder," and then prove that claim in court. But it has no constitutional authority to define an expression's meaning.
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Jonah Goldberg
Jonah Goldberg@JonahDispatch·
Wait, they’re actually prosecuting Comey for that (dumb) tweet? Like really? That’s just so unbelievably lame.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@dannycantalk What does the predictor do if I decide via some sufficiently randomized process? (Im a one boxer though)
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DannyCanTalk 🌈
DannyCanTalk 🌈@dannycantalk·
We're done rehashing the button question. Time to rehash Newcomb's Paradox. Are you a one-boxer or a two-boxer?
DannyCanTalk 🌈 tweet media
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@kofinas Definitely a protocol change due to Trump's level of disability. He cant run (understandable given age) and fell over in the video.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@EdLatimore Massive dude that can bench 405, and knee issue that tolerates deadlift way better then squat would be my 1st guess.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@dogfoodforgirls Player gets double "destroy target creature" trigger, opponent has undying creature. Watched a whole pod agree that this lets him kill the creature then kill it again when it comes back from undying. It's not even worth trying to explain it, no one aware the stack exists.
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olivia
olivia@dogfoodforgirls·
you try to explain how priority works to a pod of casual commander players and u can genuinely feel three people trying to kill you with their mind
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@wolftivy A car horn can be blown for any real number amount of seconds as part of speech, and thus language is uncountably infinite. Though I guess this depends on whether actual time is continuous or discrete.
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Wolf Tivy
Wolf Tivy@wolftivy·
"language is uncountably infinite" I don't know what nonsense you're trying to prove or where you learned your math or computer science, but language is obviously and trivially countable.
Michael Millerman@millerman

Language is uncountably infinite. What does this mean for LLMs? If it is AGI, there's necessarily a black box (like the uncountably infinite set of real numbers between zero and one). If you can "count" it (list it, interpret it, make the black box transparent, it isn't AGI). I talked about this with @jesseposner recently, and then saw that a proof has recently been published arguing along the same lines. "...we use Gödel’s incompleteness and Turing’s undecidability of the Halting Problem theorems to prove that any sufficiently expressive formal AI system assumed presumably necessary (not sufficiently) for AGI and ASI, will display undecidable and irreducible behavior" (source: academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/arti…)

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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@Brady_H Grip strength is probably contributing some to things like reduced fall risk, even if the main causal chain here is health-->grip I'm fond of the example. "NBA players have much larger feet then average men, but an NBA scout probably spends nearly 0 time measuring feet".
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Brady Holmer
Brady Holmer@Brady_H·
Grip strength being a "proxy for overall muscle quality..." is precisely the reason you *don't* need to train grip strength.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@NateSilver538 You have to understand that Ken Martin is easily scared by new ideas.
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Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
Does it also require them to drive a horse-and-buggy to work wtf
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@JosiahHawthorne "Chinese guy who formally invited everyone to celebrate Chinese new year" moment.
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Josiah Hawthorne
Josiah Hawthorne@JosiahHawthorne·
Counterpoint: I also choose [to name the crater after] this guy's dead wife.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@sentdefender Weak presidents like Washington only won their war one time, but Trump has won the same war a bigly number of times
GIF
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OSINTdefender
OSINTdefender@sentdefender·
U.S. President Donald J. Trump tells Fox News that the Iran War is over.
OSINTdefender tweet media
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@benwfreeman1 @atrupar Went to kalshi, your first listed politics market was "straight of hormuz back to normal" So your post is the lie.
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Benjamin Freeman
Benjamin Freeman@benwfreeman1·
@atrupar To be clear, you can’t “bet on war” on Kalshi. We don’t have any war, death, or assassination markets. This is misinformation.
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Aaron Rupar
Aaron Rupar@atrupar·
Ossoff: "The president apparently promised pardons for the entire WH staff, which I guess is the kind of thing you do when you run the WH like a casino. Now, maybe the West Wing is too busy placing Kashi and Polymarket bets on the war to care, but American are getting hurt ... in Donald Trump’s America, the rich get tax cuts, the well-connected get stock tips, and everybody else makes sacrifices."
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OSINTdefender
OSINTdefender@sentdefender·
U.S. Vice President JD Vance said that “We leave here with a very simple proposal. A method of understanding that is our final and best offer.” It now appears that the talks have concluded after failing to merit any form of U.S.-Iranian convergence on positions.
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Not Elon Musk
Not Elon Musk@LivingReasonJP·
@prettycritical The tldr answer is that maintenance volumes are generally much lower then maximum progress volumes, so in lots of ways you can coast once you plateau especially if young. So it gets very goal dependent, especially if you're super locked in and still plateued.
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#3 sisterwife but #1 in his heart
#3 sisterwife but #1 in his heart@prettycritical·
on reddit, a woman asked what would happen to her body/muscles if she just kept doing the same weight forever. no one would answer her! clearly they hadn’t really ever pondered it, but instead of saying “idk” they were just like “you need to be doing progressive overload, dummy”
Zion@zionszzn

this weightlifting thing, so you’ll just be increasing the weight and going higher and higher till you carry car or what

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