@WarMonitor3 Air assets don't stop missiles. They would need to set up AD equipment. But they would not be able to do it while under fire.
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OSINT_Strong
2.9K posts
OSINT_Strong
@OSINT_Strong
Intelligence analyst of 38 years.
SF, CA, USA انضم Şubat 2026
1K يتبع83 المتابعون
US Kharg Island operation assessment-FT:
-Kharg Island used as a bargaining chip to reopen strait of Hormuz Irans economic backbone.
-Troops landed on island via helicopter either marines or paratroopers, hug coast and seize key oil infrastructure for cover and to prevent Iranian artillery fires.
-Operation highly risky as within Iranian drone and artillery fires, likely all US air assets would be redirected to provide air cover for landed troops.
-Still not enough troops, likely to be a raid rather than a long form operation.
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>hormuz shut for a month now
>ukraine blows up 40% of russia's oil export capacity
>wti $90
i don't get it.
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No, that won't happen. There is little point of seizing it, it doesn't have oil other than what Iran pipes there and they would sooner blow it up than turn it over. The MEU ships will NOT pass through the Strait.
hussien livermoer@HLivermoer
بنظرم با شکست مذاکرات احتمالی و ادعایی در جمعه، از بامداد شنبه عملیات تصرف جزیره خارک توسط واحدهای تفنگداران دریایی و لشکر ۸۲ هوابرد با نیرویی به استعداد ۷۷۰۰ نفر( ۴۵۰۰ تفنگدار دریایی و ۳۰۰۰ لشکر۸۲) در عرض کمتر از ۶ ساعت انجام خواهد شد بطوری که با کمترین مقاومت ممکن از سوی نیروهای نظامی ساکن جزیره باشد. تصرف این گلوگاه مهم نفتی ایران میتواند طی کمتر از ۳۰ روز جمهوری اسلامی رو به ورشکستگی مالی برساند تا پرچم تسلیم را بالا ببرد زیرا که ۹۰ درصد صادرات نفت ایران از این جزیره انجام میشود و خط لوله گوره جاسک تنها توانایی عبور دادن ۱۰ درصد صادرات ۱.۵ میلیون بشکهای ج.ا به چین را دارد. احتمال انجام عملیات را با توجه اشراف ج.ا بر آبهای تنگههرمز همچنان ۵۰ ۵۰ میدانم. ریسک عبور ناوهای تفنگداران دریایی آمریکا از تنگه هرمز همچنان بالاست. بقول ترامپ خواهیم دید چه خواهد شد.
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@HLivermoer No, that won't happen. There is little point of seizing it, it doesn't have oil other than what Iran pipes there and they would sooner blow it up than turn it over. The MEU ships will NOT pass through the Strait.
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بنظرم با شکست مذاکرات احتمالی و ادعایی در جمعه، از بامداد شنبه عملیات تصرف جزیره خارک توسط واحدهای تفنگداران دریایی و لشکر ۸۲ هوابرد با نیرویی به استعداد ۷۷۰۰ نفر( ۴۵۰۰ تفنگدار دریایی و ۳۰۰۰ لشکر۸۲) در عرض کمتر از ۶ ساعت انجام خواهد شد بطوری که با کمترین مقاومت ممکن از سوی نیروهای نظامی ساکن جزیره باشد. تصرف این گلوگاه مهم نفتی ایران میتواند طی کمتر از ۳۰ روز جمهوری اسلامی رو به ورشکستگی مالی برساند تا پرچم تسلیم را بالا ببرد زیرا که ۹۰ درصد صادرات نفت ایران از این جزیره انجام میشود و خط لوله گوره جاسک تنها توانایی عبور دادن ۱۰ درصد صادرات ۱.۵ میلیون بشکهای ج.ا به چین را دارد. احتمال انجام عملیات را با توجه اشراف ج.ا بر آبهای تنگههرمز همچنان ۵۰ ۵۰ میدانم. ریسک عبور ناوهای تفنگداران دریایی آمریکا از تنگه هرمز همچنان بالاست. بقول ترامپ خواهیم دید چه خواهد شد.
فارسی
Iran: give me reparations for the war
Trump: give me reparations for the war
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
Talking to Iranians who have fled to Armenia, I have heard largely the same. One a few days ago told me: "I don't know anyone who was killed in the strikes. I know 22 people who were killed by the regime in January."
Karim Sadjadpour@ksadjadpour
1. NPR’s @EmilyZFeng has been interviewing Iranians who’ve recently fled to Turkey. She reports that “most people told us they supported the strikes.” npr.org/2026/03/24/nx-…
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🚨 A-10 WARTHOGS AND APACHES ENTER THE FIGHT IN HORMUZ
U.S. forces have escalated operations in the Strait of Hormuz.
According to statements attributed to General Dan “Razin” Caine:
A-10 Warthogs are now actively targeting Iranian fast attack boats
AH-64 Apache gunships are engaging drones and militia-linked threats
This is a significant shift.
The A-10 is built for one purpose:
Close-range destruction of ground and surface targets.
And now it’s being used to hunt fast-moving vessels in one of the world’s most critical waterways.
At the same time, Apaches are expanding operations across the southern flank and into Iraq — targeting threats before they can escalate.
This marks a new phase:
Not just strikes from above…
But persistent, close-range battlefield control.
And in a chokepoint like Hormuz—
That changes everything.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
🇮🇷 Iranian soldiers in underground trenches on Kharg Island are posting photos and stating that they are ready to repel a possible US landing- 👇
🔹 Judging by the photo, the Iranians have already received FPV kamikaze drones produced by the Chinese company Shenzhen Beizao Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. This model is equipped with a 5.8 GHz frequency video transmission antenna.
🔹 The only threat that the US would face in a land operation - unlike Iranian standard conventional weapons - is precisely the large-scale use of medium-range FPV kamikaze drones within asymmetric warfare and ambushes carried out by operators… Otherwise, Iran does not have armored vehicles on land, nor can it offer organized resistance within the framework of standard infantry tactics against the US elite amphibious and land forces - especially considering they will have 100% air support…
🔹 Thus, if the US suffers losses in land clashes during the capture of the Strait of Hormuz islands, the vast majority will be caused by ambushes carried out by Iranian FPV drones… It is likely that Russian operators experienced in the Ukraine war are already on site.
See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
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@angertab They will level Kharg island if they lose it. They Iran loses long term because of the rebuild time.
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Why does everyone assume that the USA wants to put boots on Kharg Island?
There is no strategic importance of Marines/Soldiers taking the island. The USA can isolate it from the sky. A-10's and Apaches are operating freely over the Persian Gulf and the Straight of Hormuz.
We can knock out these tiny bunkers from the sky, shut down the airfield from the sky, and have a complete blockade on the island, from the sky.
Sending in troops would be symbolic, stupid, and certainly wouldn't be advisable.
The more likely scenario, the 8k-10k troops are going to be isolating uranium enrichment sites inside of Iran while special ops take care of business on the objectives. Not occupying Iran, storming a beach, or a pointless island, ensuring the destruction of actual strategic targets.
Visioner@visionergeo
🇮🇷 Iranian soldiers in underground trenches on Kharg Island are posting photos and stating that they are ready to repel a possible US landing- 👇 🔹 Judging by the photo, the Iranians have already received FPV kamikaze drones produced by the Chinese company Shenzhen Beizao Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. This model is equipped with a 5.8 GHz frequency video transmission antenna. 🔹 The only threat that the US would face in a land operation - unlike Iranian standard conventional weapons - is precisely the large-scale use of medium-range FPV kamikaze drones within asymmetric warfare and ambushes carried out by operators… Otherwise, Iran does not have armored vehicles on land, nor can it offer organized resistance within the framework of standard infantry tactics against the US elite amphibious and land forces - especially considering they will have 100% air support… 🔹 Thus, if the US suffers losses in land clashes during the capture of the Strait of Hormuz islands, the vast majority will be caused by ambushes carried out by Iranian FPV drones… It is likely that Russian operators experienced in the Ukraine war are already on site. See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
BREAKING: Iran has "tightened control" over the Strait of Hormuz and is now demanding detailed crew, cargo, and voyage information from ships seeking safe passage.
Details include:
1. Approvals for ships seeking to pass through the Strait of Hormuz are being handled by the IRGC
2. Tolls to pass through have hit $2 million, mainly for high-value vessels like oil and gas tankers
3. The increase in control signals Iran's "growing grip" on the key trade route
4. Traffic remains limited, mostly involving Iranian or China-linked ships hugging Iran’s coast
Asia's energy crisis is intensifying.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
These are all signs of weakness. Their leadership has been decimated, whatever is left is hiding in bunkers and one faction does not know what the other is doing and is fighting for power with tother via press releases for internal consumption. A few more days of this comedy and the negotiating side will simply tell the US where the hardliners are and....kaboom.
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
🚨 *IRAN DOES NOT ACCEPT CEASEFIRE, SAYS US TALKS ILLOGICAL: FARS
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
Just a normal day in occupied, pre-war Iran.
This is what the "No war with Iran" people supp: the suffering and oppression of 90 million Iranians by Muslim Nazis.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
The political take is Trump wants an offramp. I just don’t buy it. This is his final act and his magnum opus. He doesn’t want a legacy of kicking the can down the road, only for it to materialize into a greater threat later. I think he’s out to finish them. And I think before his term is over, this regime will be long gone.
Richard Goldberg@rich_goldberg
Xi, Putin and Khamenei will all have this photo on their desks. They will look at it over and over again and it will drive their next moves ahead of an increasingly likely Trump return to office. An historic projection of personal strength with big national security implications.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
CLAIM:
Trump: “We have already won the war. We destroyed Iran's entire navy and air force.”
FACTS:
Iran's navy and air force were a joke. Their true power remains in ballistic missiles and nuclear capabilities.
🚀 Missiles:
- Above-ground: Facilities have been destroyed.
- Underground: Massive "missile cities" remain fully functional. Israel and the US are bombing the entrances, but they are being reopened within days.
☢️ Nuclear:
They still possess 460 kg of highly enriched uranium, enough for 11 nuclear bombs. These stockpiles remain untouched by current strikes.
Stopping the war now would be far from a victory.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
🚨مجری فاکس نیوز همین الان از این آقای سفیر که تو اسراییل هست پرسید آیا قالیباف یا عراقچی میرن برای مذاکره با آمریکا؟
گفت نه، عراقچی قدرتی نداره، قالیباف هم جز انقلابیون قدیمی مغز خرابه. میگه آمریکا داره با سران نظامی سپاهی که قدرت رو در دست دارن و مذهبی نیستن صحبت میکنه.
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OSINT_Strong أُعيد تغريده
🛑🚨كل المواقع والكهوف والمخابىء يتم كشفها الان ونشرها على التواصل الإجتماعي وبعدها ضربها أمام الشاشات ونشر النتائج على المنصات الإعلامية
لكي يعرف العالم أجمع ان هذا النظام الإرهابي كان يخطط لشن اكبر هجوم بالدمار الشامل لكل دول المنطقة وحتى أوروبا وكان يحضر لهذا الهجوم منتصف هذا العام إذا لم يسمح له بإمتلاك القنبلة النووية
ولو لا التدخل الأمريكي الإسرائيلي بضربة استباقية لما كان احد متواجد على التواصل أصلا يكتب تعليقات أصلاً
#مرصاد_لهم_بالمرصاد
#إيران
العربية
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@OSINT_Strong @worldaffairs911 @pati_marins64 Dollars to corrupt Venezuelan leadership so they put on a show. Where’s the video of Maduro’s arrest? They’ll brag about blowing up the smallest of boats but won’t show their masterpiece?
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U.S-Israel Preparation for Ground Invasion of Iran
The mobilization of 8,000 to 12,000 soldiers and operators, with approximately 6,000 to 8,000 from special forces and the remainder from divisional rapid-response elements.
Total estimated elite troops mobilized (U.S. + Israel):
8,000 to 12,000 soldiers and operators, with approximately 6,000 to 8,000 from special forces and the remainder from divisional rapid-response elements.
Israel: approximately 2,000 to 3,000
U.S.: approximately 6,000 to 9,000
1. Israeli Special Forces and Elite Units
198th Paratroopers Division “Ha-Esh” (Fire Division)
Elite airborne division of the IDF, specialized in deep aerial insertion into hostile territory without immediate reliance on ground supply lines. It includes the Oz Commando Brigade (Maglan, Duvdevan, and Egoz) and paratrooper brigades.
Estimated mobilized strength: 2,000 to 4,000 soldiers.
Role in Iran: Primary airborne invasion force, with the capacity to seize and hold terrain after deployment by transport aircraft.
Read more:
open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…
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@HaroldWren22 Still not sure why they weren't there to begin with.
One of Trump's few mistakes it seems.
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The US Marines are coming. They’re bringing infantry, amphibious capabilities, attack helicopters, F-35b’s & a shitload of pain. The straits are subject to iranian regime threat only until the US Marines Corps arrive.
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil
🚨 UPDATE: Iran says only “non-hostile” vessels will be allowed safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz—provided they comply with its security rules and do not support actions against the regime. The statement, issued via the International Maritime Organization, signals Tehran’s intent to control one of the world’s most critical shipping routes. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil.
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