OSINT_Strong

7.4K posts

OSINT_Strong

OSINT_Strong

@OSINT_Strong

Analyst of 38 years. San Francisco-based. World traveler to 30+ countries including the Middle East. #FreeIran 🇺🇸♥️🇮🇷

SF, CA, USA Katılım Şubat 2026
2.7K Takip Edilen389 Takipçiler
OSINT_Strong
OSINT_Strong@OSINT_Strong·
good insight about why talks produce so little progress
Reza Behrouz@RBehrouzDO

In the Islamic Republic system, the Minister of Foreign Affairs is a disguise for the regime’s chief propagandist who is tasked with manipulating the international community and shaping Western society’s thinking by exploiting societal and political divisions. The intent is to control the narrative in favor of the regime through targeting left-leaning media and isolationist podcast industry by saying precisely what they crave to hear. @JZarif was the inventor of this methodology. In the case of @araghchi, he is also tasked with spearheading a campaign of procrastination, prolongation and deception, which he calls “diplomacy.” He probably assumes a conciliatory position in his communications with @SEPeaceMissions on Signal, while in the international arena, he takes on a more belligerent tone and visage. That is the main reason why the so-called negotiations between the regime and the @realDonaldTrump Administration never go anywhere. It is a deception operation led by Araghchi. The Islamic Republic regime will not raise the white flag and capitulate until the mastermind behind this duplicitous campaign is eliminated.

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Armin Navabi
Armin Navabi@ArminNavabi·
🚨 URGENT: The Islamic Republic is now broadcasting gun training on State TV! The regime is actively instructing pro-regime civilians on how to use firearms, laying the groundwork to arm loyalists to shoot and suppress anti-regime Iranians in the event of an uprising. This unprecedented and desperate move reveals two critical pieces of intelligence about the regime's current mindset, based on internal data they possess that we don't: 1. They believe an uprising is imminent. The regime’s actions telegraph their internal intelligence. By rushing to publicly prepare and arm loyalist civilians, they are showing their hand: they fear a major uprising is rapidly approaching. 2. Their official forces are severely weakened. The regime no longer believes it can suppress a massive revolt using its official security apparatus alone. Following the severe damage to their military and suppression capabilities from recent events, including Operation Epic Fury and sustained strikes by the US and Israel, their infrastructure is fractured. If you were wondering whether recent military and economic pressure actually damaged the regime's ability to crack down on its own people, here is your answer. Going on national television to publicly encourage civilians to take up arms against their neighbors is a glaring act of desperation. It proves the Islamic Republic knows it is currently too weak to survive the next wave of protests with its traditional forces. Please share to spread awareness. The world needs to understand exactly what the regime is preparing for and just how fragile their hold on power has become.
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OSINT_Strong
OSINT_Strong@OSINT_Strong·
@varrock The British are just standing by as their girls are permanently scarred for life
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الدكتور منصور المالك 🇸🇦 Mansour Almalik
🚨 قادتهم فطسوا 🚨اكثر من ٣٣ الف ضربة جوية على كامل أراضيهم 🚨قوتهم البحرية في قاع البحر 🚨طائراتهم لم تطلع متر واحد 🚨دفعاتهم الجوية دمرت 🚨مخازن الصواريخ والمسيرات ومصانعها دمرت 🚨٣٠ الف مصنع ومستودع ومقر حكومي تم تدميره 🚨مواقعهم النووية مدمرة 🚨عملتهم تساوي صفر 🚨اقتصادهم منهار 🚨🚨🚨 ويقولون انتصرنا .
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Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
BREAKING: UAE discloses it’s building an additional second pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. The new pipeline will be finished in 2027 and will double the country’s export capacity in Fujairah (the current pipeline has a capacity of 1.5-1.8m b/d)
Javier Blas tweet media
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S.L. Kanthan
S.L. Kanthan@Kanthan2030·
China says that Strait of Hormuz should be free and open — without militarization and tolls — after Xi meets with Trump. Within an hour, Iran allows a couple of Chinese ships to pass thru the Strait. 🤣 The Iranian regime is losing leverage rapidly.
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OSINT_Strong
OSINT_Strong@OSINT_Strong·
Holy crap
جعفر سلمان@JaffarSalman73

في أثناء الهجمات الإيرانية على #البحرين كانت هناك محاولة لاستهداف خزانات الأمونيا في #سترة، وهذا الأمر يضعنا أمام تساؤلات لا مفر منها: - هل كانت #إيران تجهل أن سترة منطقة شيعية؟ الجواب: لا، فهي تعرف مناطق البحرين جيدًا - هل كانت تعرف أن استهداف خزان أمونيا سيتسبب في مجزرة كيميائية سينتج عها مقتل الآلاف؟ الجواب: نعم، فالجميع يعرفون هذا الأمر. - هل كانت إيران تأمل بأن استهداف الخزانات سيقلب موازين الحرب ويجعلها منتصرة؟ الجواب: لا، فهي تعرف أن استهداف الخزانات لن يحقق لها نصر. - لماذا كانت تستهدف الخزانات رغم ما قد ينتج عن ذلك من مقتل الآلاف؟ الجواب: لأنها تريد رفع كلفة الحرب على الجميع، ولأجل الخروج بعدها لاتهام أمريكا أو إسرائيل (أو حتى البحرين) بأنها ضربت الخزانات من أجل اتهام إيران. - ما هي قيمة كل تلك الأرواح التي كانت ستُزهق بالتنسبة لإيران؟ الجواب: قيمتها الفعلية لا تتعدى قيمة رسالة سياسية ودعاية تحاول تسويقها لشعبها وأتباعها. لذلك اقول لمن لايزال متردد في فهم إيران، هذه هي قيمتنا الفعلية بالنسبة لإيران، فأرواحنا لا تساوي إلا قيمة دعاية يحاولون الاستفادة منها، فهل نتعظ؟ #حقيقة

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Luke George
Luke George@MrLukeGeorge·
If Trump doesn't have the stomach to finish the IRGC, then at least let Israel off the leash!
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William Stickevers
William Stickevers@wstickevers·
Phase 2 Imminent: The U.S. military appears to be preparing for another round of strikes on Iran — far more aggressive and destructive than the last. These attacks could begin as early as Monday. Trump has already warned that his patience is wearing thin. And now that the China trip is over, the White House has a much freer hand to make major moves without disrupting a sensitive diplomatic schedule. Behind the scenes, Iran reportedly keeps walking back commitments it makes in private. That may be the final trigger.
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Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich@newtgingrich·
The decisions being made right now about Iran will shape the safety of America and the world for a generation. We must win the Battle of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz: gingrich360.net/p/president-tr…
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Ken Gardner
Ken Gardner@KenGardner11·
Mr. President, you're back in the White House. Your business with China is done. There is a new moon tonight in Iran. It's time.
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Saeed Amiri 🇦🇪 ♕
The Iran deal was an epic failure. It didn’t stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions or its terrorism sponsorship, it only delayed the threat for a while. In return, Iran got billions in cash to fund its terrorist proxies & agendas. Basicaly it was a temporary pause for a permanent payoff. BAD DEAL. Obama’s softness and naive faith in diplomacy with a regime that chants ‘Death to America’ only emboldened it and left the world less safe.
Open Source Intel@Osint613

Obama on his Iran deal: We pulled it off without firing a missile. We got 97% of their enriched uranium out. There’s no dispute that it worked, and we didn’t have to kill a whole bunch of people or shut down the Strait of Hormuz.

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Reza Behrouz
Reza Behrouz@RBehrouzDO·
Military victory is not congruent to political victory, which at this critical juncture, is more crucial for President @realDonaldTrump. If the Islamic Republic regime survives in any shape or form, the Trump Administration will suffer a political defeat. Heading to midterm elections, a political win is what the President and the @GOP needs. You can put lipstick on a pig and claim it is pretty, but you can’t force it into a beauty pageant.
Fox News@FoxNews

NEW: President Trump clashes with a reporter on Air Force One during a feisty exchange about the U.S. military action in Iran as well as the regime's current capabilities: "I had a total military victory. But the fake news guys like you write incorrectly. You're a fake guy. And guys like you write about it incorrectly. We had a total military victory. We knocked out their entire navy. We knocked out their entire Air force."

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Ari Fleischer
Ari Fleischer@AriFleischer·
As President Trump returns from China and the midterms approach, he has a serious political problem oh his hands. It’s not the Iran War. It’s the cease fire. The situation in Iran is a muddle. Yes, we militarily have set back Iran significantly. But the core issue remains - a fanatical Iranian leadership is in place that wants to rebuild and do further damage to the US and our allies. The cease fire has not only given them time to dig out and launch more missiles, it’s led to an inconclusive, unfinished stalemate. As anyone who has ever removed a hornet’s nest knows, you better remove it all or you’re leaving behind a bunch of angry hornets who will sting you. It’s time to remove it all. The third-tier leadership has to go. We need to keep striking until a new government takes over that is peaceful. The people need to be armed. They’re on our side. We need to empower them against the regime. The blockade must remain until the regime is no more. Squeeze Iran so they have little to no oil revenue. Democrats will never support the war. They protest the regime, but will do nothing about it. Independents and Republicans who support POTUS want a clear cut, overwhelming victory in which the troops and ships can come home. The status quo is not good for peace, or for the President’s needs at home. Get this done and get it over with. It’s time.
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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
🚨 BLOOMBERG: UAE BREAKS WITH THE GULF OVER IRAN According to Bloomberg, the UAE tried to get Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and other Gulf states to join a coordinated military response to Iranian strikes. They refused. That frustration reportedly helped push Abu Dhabi to leave OPEC and deepen security ties with Israel. The message is clear: When Iran attacks, some Gulf states want de-escalation. The UAE wants deterrence.
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil

REPORT The UAE is set to declare war on Iran. They are expected to lead an Arab coalition to overthrow the Iranian regime within 24 hours

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The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷@TheIranWatcher·
🚨 Environmental disaster unfolding along Iran’s Persian Gulf coastline after an estimated 80,000 barrels of oil spilled into the sea near Kharg Island. This video shows thick oil sludge and contamination coating parts of the coastline as dark slicks spread through Gulf waters, creating a severe environmental hazard and devastating marine life and coastal ecosystems. Satellite imagery over recent days revealed massive oil slicks stretching across dozens of square kilometers near Iran’s main oil export hub, raising fears of long-term ecological damage across the region. The Islamic Republic bears full responsibility for the environmental destruction, years of negligence, unsafe infrastructure, and the broader instability surrounding Iran’s oil and maritime operations.
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷@TheIranWatcher

🚨 An estimated 80,000 barrels of oil have spilled into the Persian Gulf from Iran’s Kharg Island export terminal. A major reason is the regime’s chronic lack of modern oil storage infrastructure. Decades of mismanagement, corruption, and misplaced priorities left Iran with limited onshore storage capacity. With the U.S. naval blockade restricting exports, oil reportedly backed up rapidly, forcing excessive pressure on aging pipelines and increased reliance on old tankers as floating storage. Leaks like this are a predictable result. The environmental toll on the Persian Gulf could be severe: ⚪️ Oil contaminates and poisons birds, sea turtles, fish, and marine mammals, potentially triggering large-scale die-offs ⚪️ It damages mangroves, coral reefs, and seagrass in one of the world’s most fragile semi-enclosed seas ⚪️ Long-term pollution threatens fisheries, water quality, and coastal ecosystems across the region Kharg Island is Iran’s main oil export hub, handling the vast majority of the regime’s crude exports. Any disruption, accident, or infrastructure failure there carries major economic and environmental consequences. The spill also exposes deeper problems inside Iran’s oil sector. Years of regime-at-fault sanctions, corruption, underinvestment, and neglected infrastructure have left critical facilities aging and vulnerable. Iran’s environment and wildlife continue paying the price for decades of regime corruption and neglect, while billions flow into the IRGC, proxy warfare, and missile programs instead of critical infrastructure and environmental protection.

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dan linnaeus
dan linnaeus@DanLinnaeus·
Eight hundred and fifty thousand ethnically cleansed following the establishment of Israel. Not from Israel. Not Arabs. Jews. From the entire Middle East and North Africa. Today, when the Palestinian Liberation Organization tells the world about the ‘catastrophe’ of failing to destroy Israel with five armies in 1948, it uses images of Yemenite Jews fleeing to Israel for safety. The clip they used is not from 1952; it shows the tail end of Operation On Wings of Eagles, also known as Magic Carpet, between 1949 and 1950, when roughly 49,000 Yemenite Jews were airlifted to Israel after a wave of pogroms in Aden and severe deterioration of conditions across the Imamate. In the same period Operation Ezra and Nehemiah moved over 120,000 Iraqi Jews to Israel (1951–52) after Law 1 stripped their citizenship and Law 5 froze their assets.
~Jachnun Supremacist~ נפתלי בן מתתיהו@JachnunEmpire

Even the PA has trouble distinguishing Palestinians from Jews.

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Zineb Riboua
Zineb Riboua@zriboua·
The United States is doing a demoralization campaign against IRGC, it’s not because the military phase has paused that the war has ended, the Lebanon-Israel talks, Operation Economic Fury, China saying publicly that the Strait of Hormuz should not be weaponized, all of these things are about isolating IRGC.
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OSINT_Strong
OSINT_Strong@OSINT_Strong·
@TheIranWatcher Iran is the girlfriend that overestimates her own power "he'll never leave me" she thinks. "I'm too pretty, he needs me".
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The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷@TheIranWatcher·
🚨 After Trump and Xi’s latest meeting, the Islamic Republic suddenly looks like a regime watching its last major lifeline slip away. Right after reports came out that China and the U.S. agreed the Strait of Hormuz needed to stay open, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi rushed out and announced the Strait was now “completely open” again. That is not confidence but a regime scrambling in panic as its leverage rapidly collapses. The Islamic Republic spent years acting like China desperately needed Iran. In reality, the relationship was always massively one-sided. U.S.-China trade is still worth over $400 billion annually even after years of tariffs, tensions, and economic rivalry. China-Iran trade is tiny by comparison, even when including shadow oil shipments and sanctions evasion. Iran’s discounted oil is useful to China, but stable economic relations with the U.S. are vastly more important to Beijing. That is the brutal reality Iran’s leadership seems to be crashing into right now. Even the heavily publicized 25-year China-Iran agreement increasingly looks less like a strategic partnership and more like a dependency arrangement where the Islamic Republic became economically beholden to Beijing while receiving far less in return than originally advertised. China gets heavily discounted oil, leverage, and access. Iran gets deeper dependence, sanctions exposure, shrinking alternatives, and an economy increasingly tied to Beijing’s calculations. And when China has to choose between a $400+ billion relationship with the U.S. or a heavily sanctioned Iran selling discounted oil through shadow networks, the answer was always obvious. For decades, the Islamic Republic relied on three big cards: ⚪️ Threatening Hormuz ⚪️ Selling cheap oil to China ⚪️ Using proxy militias and instability as leverage Now all three are weakening at once. The Islamic Republic increasingly looks like a regime that badly overestimated how important it actually was to China.
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷 tweet media
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