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PolyBets

@Relaccsed

Prediction Markets combined with OSINT news

انضم Şubat 2018
98 يتبع405 المتابعون
تغريدة مثبتة
PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Polymarket odds currently place an US invasion of Iran at 70%. But they are missing something. The US has moved in several special operations units, like Navy Seals. The odds for their utilization to Kharg Island is insanely high. Though it's being lowely priced despite it being a primary target for special operation units. Current odds for an US invasion to seize Kharg? 30% for April. polymarket.com/event/kharg-is…
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
SUSPICIOUS ACCOUNT PURCHASING YES SHARES ===== Profile: @fairy-tail?via=ai-polymarket" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@fairy-tail?vi… A newly created account is purchasing yes shares on the BitBoy convicted market. On-chain analysis show that this account was funded yesterday from a MEXC hot wallet. I have not found the precise account yet, but it is definitely an active Polymarket disputes player.
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Is this market a generational scam? "BitBoy convicted by March 31, 2026?" Several anonymous users have bought YES in size, even though the market is supposed to resolve tomorrow. polymarket.com/event/bitboy-c… I was unable to find anything, not even a trial date. Let's see!
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
@outcomenoble @Polymarket Actually a really ridiculous clarification. Even the broadcasters spoke about the Polymarket regarding this when he broke his mouse in the beginning. I lost $500 as well
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
US SpecOps are moving into the Middle East. Hundreds of US Special Ops military personnel, including Navy SEALs and Army Rangers, are now in the Middle East. Is "Operation Kharg Island" coming soon? polymarket.com/event/kharg-is…
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Why did I enter this position? The folks at UMA were leaning towards YES. I also found evidence of Trump saying a call occurred while the Chinese chose not to confirm it, nor deny it, when being asked directly. The price of Y was at 25c. So I bought. It’s now at 80c.
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Force
Force@OnyshchukInvest·
If you have (- )PNL on @Polymarket You will get a big airdrop $POLY I AM RIGHT OR COOKED 😀
Force tweet media
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
The IDF has intercepted another 2 drones sent by Yemen. The odds may be undervalued, for an Israeli response against Yemen for these attacks. polymarket.com/event/israel-s… Certainly a market to watch..
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Seyed Abbas Araghchi
ՀՀ կառավարության և ժողովրդի աջակցությունը Իրանի ժողովրդին` իրանցիների տեղափոխման և մարդասիրական օգնության հարցերում, մեծ գնահատանքի է արժանի։ Իրանի և Հայաստանի դարավոր կապը դժվար պահին կրկին ցույց տվեց իր ամրությունը, և եղբայրական այս քայլերը կմնան Իրանի ժողովրդի հիշողության մեջ։
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
US forces in Iran, crazy odds spike. Polymarket just placed the odds at 50% for US forces to be in Iran by the end of this month. Is it due to the massive strikes (indicative of an incoming invasion), does somebody know something, or is it just delusions? polymarket.com/event/us-force…
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PolyBets أُعيد تغريده
PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
OVERVALUED MARKET! Senior Iranian Official tells Reuters that there are NO arrangements for negotiations in place and no plan for talks appear realistic at the current stage. This market is still wrongly pricing a meeting this month at 17% Market: polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Caution, these videos were apparently debunked
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Iran military action against Israel. I will vote YES on UMA, given that video evidence of the cluster munitions hitting has surfaced.
PolyBets tweet media
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PolyBets
PolyBets@Relaccsed·
Hezbollah military action against Israel. NO. All sources cite the police. The police was only dispatched at 8AM, while the alleged strike happened shortly after midnight. No time of impact, even a rough estimate, is provided anywhere. I think it's plausible someone found the remnants of a drone, called the emergency line in the morning, which got the police dispatched. Which can mean that the drone could be from previous days as well. (There were also drone alerts for the previous day in this area.)
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