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The new background photo is Lee Kwan Yew because I recently read his book "Third World to First".
Retweets =/= endorsements.
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Tim Liptrot
3.9K posts
Tim Liptrot
@TimothyLiptrot
Comparative politics student @GUGovt @georgetown طالب دكتوراه علم السياسة المقارن في جامعة جورج تاون.
Washington, DC انضم Aralık 2011
633 يتبع229 المتابعون
Has anyone actually built anything with GasTown? Even if it is insecure poor performing slop, has anyone made something new or novel yet
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@SpaceKoala Where do you think the optimal point for society is? Do you think it is left of, right of, or one the revenue maximizing point?
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The iron law of the Laffer curve is that whoever brings it up never thinks they're on the left side of the curve.
Wall Street Mav@WallStreetMav
The leftists think they can just raise taxes and more money comes in for them to spend. Despite all of the evidence of wealth leaving when they raise taxes, they still do it. They simply lack the ability to change direction. The same thing is happening in Europe and Canada.
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Sensible idea to try to split the regime. We'll see if it works, but theoretically plausible.
Colby Badhwar@ColbyBadhwar
Notable absence of Artesh leadership among those killed; only IRGC commanders have been targeted.
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But maybe freedom of navigation is now the default state? If the US bombing campaign ends, would Iran continue the sound tolls? I suspect yes, but others disagree. I think we will find out.
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I am surprised that so many Europeans think that freedom of navigation is the default state, not something that took work to produce.
Young is obviously right about the Greenland issue.
Mike Young@micyoung75
The Denmark detail is the one that should stop people cold. NATO allies had to genuinely war-game shooting down American planes. Some of their military leaders still haven't fully processed having run that exercise. The most popular app in the country identified American products to avoid buying. And now Trump is demanding - his word - those same allies solve the Strait of Hormuz problem his war created. NATO invoked Article 5 once. For us. Their soldiers died in Afghanistan. He told reporters they stayed "a little back." Their governments remember that. They've drawn the conclusions and they aren't reversible.
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It was crazy to do this for a 6/10 movie you never even hear people talk about The Machinist (2004) anymore just about weight loss
Severus@SeverusChud
>Woman feels oppressed after being politely asked to suck in her gut for a photoshoot Meanwhile Christian Bale:
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@TheMindScourge "The world will simply not put up with" what are they gonna do about it? Write a strongly worded letter to Mojtaba? I don't think any other states are willing to actually fight over this except maybe India, but they've already gotten passage.
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The Iranian toll on Hormuz will be temporary. Maybe a few years. The world will simply not put up with a permanent tax imposed by the IRGC
It’s easy to forget that the way things are is not the way things have to be. Hormuz is easy, so that’s what we’ve used. But now Hormuz is hard. So we need something else, something better. We will not be controlled indefinitely by the regime in Tehran
Bypass solutions - more pipeline capacity, to Yanbu or Oman or elsewhere - is part of this. Extra production outside the Gulf - bad for the Gulf states, but taking 20% of production offline is a huge opportunity for producers elsewhere - is another part. The California wells now producing oil is just a small facet of this.
Increased EV demand is another. This would have happened anywhere, but will now be accelerated. Probably some coal to gas, in places like China or India. Putting some more office work into the work from home/Zoom category is another
The point is, the problem will be solved
Like I posted a few days ago, Iran has this very big power locally. But it *is* strictly local. Iran is embedded into this larger system that it does not control, and will be increasingly turned against its interests
I once said that Hormuz is a thing you don’t have to worry about, and this is what I meant. The problem will be solved. Entire states and trillions of dollars of capital will ensure that this is so
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Tim Liptrot أُعيد تغريده
Does the British public really value bats at £300,000 a pop?
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Interesting. Did something happen in Iraq in 1991 that prevented militaries from confronting U.S. forces in such a manner again? Hmmm
Zhao DaShuai 东北进修🇨🇳 Commentary@zhao_dashuai
The US military has not fought a corps-sized maneuver warfare against an regular military in 35 years. (Iraq 1991) They have not fought a corps-sized maneuver warfare against a peer enemy for 73 years. (Korea 1953). They are not going to survive invading the fortress of Iran.
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@JulianWaller Oh she thinks it's causal both ways so whatever.
The autocratic theory and evidence in the article is awfully short but yeah I guess it's just to score a point about U.S. tax debates so whatever
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@JulianWaller Also the X and Y graphs are swapped. Democracy is the IV, so should be the X-axis.
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Absolutely fascinated by the think-tanker who apparently wrote an entire book saying authoritarian regimes tax less than democracies and it's because they're scared.
We're reaching levels of 'correlation is not causation' never seen before.
Foreign Affairs@ForeignAffairs
Read Vanessa Williamson on how the Trump administration is making it more difficult “for the U.S. government to raise money from the populace”—and how Trump’s approach to taxation could shape the future of U.S. democracy: foreignaffairs.com/give-me-libert…
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Reminder that diplomacy and military power are not exclusive alternatives, but two tools that are best used together. Foreswearing force makes diplomacy empty, foreswearing diplomacy makes force pointless. I recommend Kissinger's Diplomacy for a longer treatment of the issue.
Gérard Araud@GerardAraud
Iran even with « degraded capabilities » would remain a threat for KSA. Geography won’t change. Furthermore, it will quickly rebuild its forces. Simply said, KSA can’t afford a hostile Iran in its environment. Time to call diplomats….
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@m7albae @CityBureaucrat @shahanSean So you couldn't sell land and buy a herd of cattle or provision a trade fleet, for example, unlike companies. The activity you do is fixed by the original contract.
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@m7albae @CityBureaucrat @shahanSean Yeah I was trying to be succinct. IIRC awqaf were always banned from switching activities, diversifying, and often had other stuff like fixed interest rates.
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It's common (?) knowledge that president Reagan cited Ibn Khaldun for his tax policies, but what I didn't know is that the NYTimes (2 Oct 1981 A26) contacted Franz Rosenthal and asked him if Reagan understood him correctly. Apparently Prof. Rosenthal confirmed that he did!
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@CityBureaucrat @shahanSean Kuran blames Islamic law specifically, but it's a broader problem
1. No one in the society thought that innovation in social organization of production was worth thinking about
2. Any structure that could think about it (governors, lenders) were routinely sacked by the Sultan
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@CityBureaucrat @shahanSean You can read more about this in Timur Kuran's book. I strongly recommend jstor.org/stable/j.ctt7t…
Despite the restrictive system, there was a supply curve because *people* could move (also they could hide assets)
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@CityBureaucrat @shahanSean In a Marxist framework, capitalism implies high firm agency and firms strongly influencing politics. Muslim societies pre-1800s gave shockingly little agency to their "firms". The most common "firm"-type was the awqaf and it usually could not even sell/buy land.
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Why… why do a quarter of the Amish use powered lawnmowers
𝖓𝖎𝖓𝖊 🕯@atlanticesque
Washing machines are the *only* modern invention which every single Amish group has embraced at least to some extent Washing clothes is truly the worst chore without modern technology, bar none
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