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The ideological position of winners under different voting systems, shown in 2 dimensions.
Along the left you can see, FPP, FPP with a primary, and RCV (in order).
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Limelihood ⏸️ Function 🔸🔸🔸
42.9K posts
Limelihood ⏸️ Function 🔸🔸🔸
@StatsLime
Les échos des bords de la Meuse, Halte là, on ne passe pas!
Katılım Ağustos 2019
3K Takip Edilen1.4K Takipçiler
@estherzelda0514 Correct but see here—the issue is party activists are even more extreme
Limelihood ⏸️ Function 🔸🔸🔸@StatsLime
@napientek @CathyYoung63 Empirically, it turns out smoke-filled rooms are full of even bigger lunatics! Party elites are also very extreme compared to the electorate: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/are…
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Yet another exhibit in an infinite of why primaries are useless and should be abolished. The two most competitive Senate races in two of the most moderate states both have the least moderate Dem candidates against Republicans that excel at presenting themselves as moderates.
I despise the DSA. Honestly, they can all fuck off. Preventing Trump from having another two years to do whatever he wants with Senate approval is literally existential to the future of America and they're so proud of themselves for making it so much harder to stop Trump.
For what? What does this accomplish? NYC mayor is fine, that city was always going to go blue, but Michigan and Maine, seriously? This is reckless as driving drunk and blindfolded. I have to stop myself from thinking about it, or I'll get as mad as I did when people (probably the same people) pissed their pants about Biden's age and Clinton's emails as if Trump didn't matter.
Election Time@ElectionTime_
🚨BREAKING: Republicans' odds to flipping the Michigan US Senate seat JUMP OVERNIGHT. Michigan - 2026 US Senate 🟥Mike Rogers 44.3% (+3.7) 🟦Abdul El-Sayed 40.6% Polling average via Pollsmax.com. Abdul El-Sayed has become the Democratic frontrunner, and compared to his primary opponents—Mallory McMorrow and Haley Stevens—he performs by far the worst against Mike Rogers. If El-Sayed ends up being the nominee, Republicans will be the heavy favorites to flip Michigan's US Senate seat later this year.
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@LinkofSunshine I don’t think this is literally the only reason and honestly, I don’t even trust this is a net positive given we have literally one anecdote of this working and theoretically you’d expect the opposite
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Literally the only reason Silicon Valley exists is because noncompetes were banned in California and that let competition transfer smoothly
Jim Walden@jimfornyc
Welcome to New New York. Where we find every opportunity to chase businesses away. shortstopmedia.substack.com/p/new-york-mov…
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@hemabe @StefanFSchubert IDK if this explains all of it, but I think this is a measurement issue b/c grip strength is probably log-normal and constrained to be positive. a constant coefficient of variation will create a higher variance for groups with a higher mean
Try plotting the logarithm instead
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What’s fascinating is that when you convert this into bell curves (done here using ChatGPT), the phenomenon observed in IQ research reemerges: the standard deviation (i.e., the extremes to the left and right of the mean) is greater for men than for women. The data for women is much more consistent than that for men.
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In a study of hand-grip strength, 90% of women produced less force than 95% of men
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@stefanbackstrom Yep, that’s what I meant, although it really depends on the specifics—I’m happy to support policies that can effectively address discrimination, but I also think it’s 100% OK if a woman wants to stay at home to take care of the kids or house. It really depends on the details!
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@StatsLime Right — I was not sure what point the graph was meant to illustrate.
As for the conclusion, you yourself just said that women already work as much as men. What you mean is that a higher share of their work needs to be paid — which I don’t think many disagree with.
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Good news: men already do half of all work within households! You can just calculate the statistics! All this data is public!
Jill Filipovic@JillFilipovic
Men routinely overestimate the amount of childcare and housework they do. Women underestimate how much they do and overestimate how much their husbands do. One solution: dads should commit to doing 70% of the work and it’ll wind up closer to 50-50.
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@TheZvi I think the real loophole play here is to balance the sex ratios by not hiring women for non-warehouse positions
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Clearly, if you can't contract it out, the solution is you hire people for a mix, where everyone spends some time in the warehouse and some time in retail, since otherwise you'd have to pay them so much more.
Alec Stapp@AlecStapp
A UK court said these jobs were "equal" under Equality Act 2010:
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It’s almost like this quasi-legally enshrined two-round system is bad and leads to extremism or something
#2024_United_States_presidential_election" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center_sq…
Election Time@ElectionTime_
🚨BREAKING: Republicans' odds to flipping the Michigan US Senate seat JUMP OVERNIGHT. Michigan - 2026 US Senate 🟥Mike Rogers 44.3% (+3.7) 🟦Abdul El-Sayed 40.6% Polling average via Pollsmax.com. Abdul El-Sayed has become the Democratic frontrunner, and compared to his primary opponents—Mallory McMorrow and Haley Stevens—he performs by far the worst against Mike Rogers. If El-Sayed ends up being the nominee, Republicans will be the heavy favorites to flip Michigan's US Senate seat later this year.
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@stefanbackstrom You’re right men do less housework! I don’t think there’s anything wrong with saying we want a more equal division of housework, but I think we should be clear that if we want that, the way you’d have to do it is more women working
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@stefanbackstrom Sorry for wording it a bit poorly—by “within households” I meant comparing married men vs. women!
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@incrosaison2 @stefanbackstrom My brother in Christ I made the graph
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@stefanbackstrom @StatsLime *of unpaid work.
But yeah op can't read a graph.
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Limelihood ⏸️ Function 🔸🔸🔸 retweetledi
@Stop_RCV And 99.99% are unaware of the no-show paradox
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“A poll commissioned by Opportunity DC found 43 percent of District voters were unaware ranked-choice voting is coming and that roughly two-thirds of Black voters had not heard about the change.”
hillrag.com/2026/04/09/the…
FairVote@fairvote
On June 16, Washington, DC will use ranked choice voting for the 1st time. RCV is helping voters navigate several crowded races, & encouraging candidates to run more positive campaigns. That includes the city’s 1st cross-endorsement between 2 candidates. fairvote.org/how-ranked-cho…
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@AliceFromQueens Regardless of whether he’ll bring communism, I don’t think capitalism is when you fill up potholes
And the guy hasn’t even been in office for a year
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So many of you insisted to me that Mamdani would bring dysfunctional government, “communism,” higher crime, decarceration, capital flight, stores shutting down…
Will any of you learn a single thing from being completely wrong and kind of nasty about it?
No. You won’t.
Quick Thoughts@lthlnkso
Mamdani in NYC closed a lot of potholes in March. But, March is always a big month for pothole closures. Does the increased closure rate continue in April? Seems so. To find an April with more pothole closures you have to go back to 2017.
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We need to declare tax and benefit cliffs to be unconstitutional. A tax rate exceeding 100% is a cruel and unusual punishment, uncompensated taking, and violates freedom of contract
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi
Tax or benefit cliffs are almost always stupid policy, they punish people for earning or paying slightly more, creating irrational incentives and unfair outcomes Unsurprisingly, San Francisco tax code is completely full of them
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Limelihood ⏸️ Function 🔸🔸🔸 retweetledi
"You'd all be speaking German if it wasn't for me."- German teacher with low self esteem.
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@cremieuxrecueil I don’t really think redistricting is a place where this intuition applies: like, everyone agrees congressional districts should be drawn to reflect communities of interest, and race clearly divides communities with different interests
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The reciprocal obligations of parents towards children in their youth and children towards parents in their old age has been the foundation of human existence for millennia and they didn't just evaporate upon the invention of the 401(k).
Concerned citizen@Lurker01234
@sonyasupposedly I'm so confused why people think that it's their kids duty or whatever to care for them in old age. Save money. Hire people. Your kids don't want to be responsible for wiping you.
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@RFishBlueFish Both of them are in the same category of “clearly high IQ but not applying it in the area of truth-seeking about politics”
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@GrantrGregory @cremieuxrecueil This isn’t self-reported, it’s time diary data
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@StatsLime @cremieuxrecueil It’s funny to use self-reported time use data to refute a post about men overestimating the amount of time they spend doing stuff.
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@StatsLime Did you do this analysis of American Time Use Survey (ATUS)?
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