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VoidReader
708 posts

VoidReader
@VoidReader_
Trading narratives on @Polymarket DAO member @zscdao
انضم Temmuz 2021
21 يتبع127 المتابعون

@VoidReader_ holy thats like 3.4k per click on polymarket
this guy is max xmrfed roguelite not even joking
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@xatacrypt @smaaaaliy That's right, the ability to properly manage capital is already 90% of success
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Capital Management - The Most Important Skill for Polymarket Traders
You almost certainly lose money without it
I recently wrote about the importance of strategies in prediction markets
Like any other market, prediction markets require a comprehensive approach
@smaaaaliy described 5 basic skills of a successful Polymarket trader
I'd highlight 2 of them:
> Proper capital management - the important skill for any trader
Good market analysis will not save your money if you don't have solid risk management
> The ability to find reliable information is also a crucial skill
Previously, I often wrote market analyses
and I constantly saw how much fake news there is
These things sound obvious. But many users just ignore them
Smaliy@smaaaaliy
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On Polymarket, edge usually comes from discipline, not conviction.
Rules, data, pricing, risk.
That is where the money is.
Smaliy@smaaaaliy
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What will the interest rate be by the end of the year
Right now it’s 3,75%
The market predicts at least 2 cuts by year end, which is significant
Recent events are not great and delay the rate cuts, but I don’t think it will stay unchanged until year end
Right now we have a chance to buy NO at 3,75% on the market
Looks like easy 28% on size
What do you think about this market?


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@nofadsec If you believe the sites that predict the rate, it is already very low about 1.75%
Now it is held on purpose so as not to dump it quickly, because it will also be bad
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@VoidReader_ Interesting setup.
If the market is already pricing at least two cuts by year-end, then the real question is whether recent macro noise is delay or true repricing.
That is where the edge is.
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@VoidReader_ $12k in a single day from 5‑minute BTC markets is edge‑level
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$12k in one day trading BTC markets
This trader made it in just 288 predictions
All profits came from one single day
All trades were on 5 minute markets
People are still sleeping on this
While others are already farming it
High activity
Fast decisions
Pure execution
This is what 5m markets can look like when it clicks
Wallet: 0xeebde7a0e019a63e6b476eb425505b7b3e6eba30
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If you had bet your car on this…
you’d have two today
3 days ago I said:
Backpack FDV below $300M had the edge
Odds were ~56%
It didn’t look obvious
That’s exactly why it worked
Most people chased hype
Smart money faded it
Market resolved
Position won
Proof:

Duckchain@OleksandrZaha11
I almost sold my bike to bet on this market Not the 99% one The 45% one Here’s why 👇 This market is actually very clean $100–200M → almost guaranteed $500M+ → unlikely The real battle is at $300M (45%) That’s where uncertainty lives Launch hype can push price up but holding high FDV is much harder My lean: slight edge on NO above $300M
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Apple will stay ahead of Google this month
I bought Yes on Apple. The gap is almost $200B.
I don’t see a fast change in the next 6 days. Even the AI segment is unlikely to help much.
so I boutht at 0.82
The main risk is that it’s not only about Google going up, Apple could also drop and flip the market
market link: polymarket.com/event/2nd-larg…

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@smaaaaliy looks like complete savagery, but the profit speaks for itself
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@VoidReader_ he's truly the guy with the steel balls
trading 5min markets and enter at 15-20 cents sounds like a super random thing to me
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New BTC market. Candle predictions.
Really interesting mechanics here.
The winner is the best candle of the day, not just the direction.
So the question is how to actually play this market.
Right now liquidity is still low, and chasing YES makes no sense.
The chance that your exact candle wins is pretty small.
A much smarter approach is simple.
Avoid the most volatile hours.
Avoid hours with news.
It is much better to take a safe 5–10% profit than risk everything.
Those candles always have the biggest competition.
Less competition = better odds.
Simple rules, but this is exactly where the edge is.


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@AlwarezIvan yes politics is not a very stable market but sometimes the most logical
I make a lot of posts about these kinds of markets
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@VoidReader_ It is amazing how politics on Polymarket is becoming a no-risk place
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$47k from politics without high risk
This Polymarket trader made $46.5k
88.9% win rate across 17 positions
Very selective approach
He only takes near guaranteed setups and aims for 5–10% per trade
No chasing big wins
Just stacking consistent gains
Played the Iran situation and oil price moves perfectly
This is what a numbers-based strategy looks like
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@DmitriyUngarov we will implement everything, the main thing is to start
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