
Csonic
224 posts

Csonic
@CSonic_69
Full time reply guy, proud mid-curver, reliable buyer of local tops. This acct will be Crypto focused until the end of the run, then back to LP investing.





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WOW. This would be historic: Both Elon Musk and Coinbase's CEO have now proposed putting ALL US spending on blockchain. This means $6.9 TRILLION of US spending PER YEAR would be placed on a decentralized ledger. What does this mean? Let us explain. (a thread)




Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle — but tbh, I think I’m gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just can’t really be expecting significant further downside when we’re coming into 2023 support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3, seeing momentum exhaustion on altcoin dominance at cyclical lows, 200wMA in USD and pre-election support vs QQQ between 360wMA and 200wMA, which have been historically rewarding areas to allocate Obviously, my view on alts is that in order to see *sustained and broad-based* outperformance (PvE) you need both the business cycle recovery & global M2 outpacing global GDP — and we’re not quite there yet That said, I think we’re close to seeing both and the market will likely front-run this somewhat, so I’m happy to rotate some BTC into more alts here with the expectation that I’ll eat some drawdown over the next week or two I categorically do not believe we are late cycle for all of the reasons outlined in previous posts; rather, I still believe the first half of this cycle was ETF-driven with rotational/PVP/‘hot ball of money’ dynamics in alts precisely because we are not in the same environment as 2017/2021 — but I believe that environment lies ahead and second half of the cycle will be debasement-driven, as long as the Dollar plays ball In that environment, alts will outperform BTC and whilst I wouldn’t be surprised to see more capitulation short-term, rotating now when *all* post-election positioning has been wiped out seems like a decent bet





Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle — but tbh, I think I’m gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just can’t really be expecting significant further downside when we’re coming into 2023 support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3, seeing momentum exhaustion on altcoin dominance at cyclical lows, 200wMA in USD and pre-election support vs QQQ between 360wMA and 200wMA, which have been historically rewarding areas to allocate Obviously, my view on alts is that in order to see *sustained and broad-based* outperformance (PvE) you need both the business cycle recovery & global M2 outpacing global GDP — and we’re not quite there yet That said, I think we’re close to seeing both and the market will likely front-run this somewhat, so I’m happy to rotate some BTC into more alts here with the expectation that I’ll eat some drawdown over the next week or two I categorically do not believe we are late cycle for all of the reasons outlined in previous posts; rather, I still believe the first half of this cycle was ETF-driven with rotational/PVP/‘hot ball of money’ dynamics in alts precisely because we are not in the same environment as 2017/2021 — but I believe that environment lies ahead and second half of the cycle will be debasement-driven, as long as the Dollar plays ball In that environment, alts will outperform BTC and whilst I wouldn’t be surprised to see more capitulation short-term, rotating now when *all* post-election positioning has been wiped out seems like a decent bet

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