Undertaker

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Undertaker

@CTundertaker

CT Quality content | predicting and sharing opinions @Polymarket

somewhere in Earth Beigetreten Şubat 2025
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Undertaker
Undertaker@CTundertaker·
Gpoly legends🩵 Explore the booming @ Polymarket Ecosystem : Cool Projects Built on the Top Prediction Market Platform @polyoptions Polymarket lets you bet on events like elections or crypto prices with simple Yes or No shares Polyoptions adds options to those bets like advanced tools for smarter trading With options you can: - Get leverage big wins with small money - Protect against losses - Bet on big swings or calm prices - Make money even in boring slow markets Example : If a market is stuck and quiet sell options to earn as time passes if it stays calm, you win No more waiting forever for events Right now : Demo site to test strategies real trading coming soon Check it : polyoptions.com Discord & Telegram for updates @joinQuantish It is an easy tool : It pulls data from many platforms + uses AI to help you trade smarter Key features: - AI agents analyze markets and suggest trades - Telegram bot for quick buys or sells from your phone - Trade Polymarket now Kalshi on fast Solana soon - Full coverage of all big markets Why use it? Spot good bets fast, track pros, trade easy without switching apps There's even a token coming Try it : quantish.live Bot : t.me/quantish_bot Docs : docs.quantish.live @PolyScalping PolyScalping is a fast tool for quick traders on Polymarket It gives real time alerts, analytics and easy trading to spot and grab deals Key perks : - Smarter limit orders : See all yours in one spot, get sounds when they fill - Market scanner : Filter by time, changes, rewards to find hot bets - Dashboard : Quick view of popular fast moving markets - Profile : Track your stats, trades and activity Why? It saves time helps you trade better without missing opportunities built for speed on Polymarket Just launched try the terminal Check it : polyscalping.org @polybroapp Polybro is a smart research tool that digs deep into these markets It gives you insights to trade better trade or fade bet for or against powered by AI has its own token Key features : - On Deck : Calendar heatmap of upcoming markets, pre researched with context - Tracks whale bets on chain moves, social buzz, viral signals - Dashboards : Custom widgets alerts for events AI agents to help - Works with Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless Why use ? Markets have tons of data Polybro turns it into easy direction Spot edges like mispriced bets or timing No more guessing get real-time intel to win more Example : See a sports slate polybro shows stats, trends, and big bets fast New web app just launched join waitlist for access codes there’s a token too Check: polybro.app @polytaleai Polytale is an AI bot on X that gives smart tips for these bets It spots hot trades and edges to win more. How it works : Mention @polytaleai with a question (e.g., NBA game odds?) It replies fast with data like odds, big bets volume, and why to bet yes or no Uses AI to scan markets 24/7 for trends and alerts Key stuff : - Real time spikes : Sees sudden money flows - Whale tracking : Follows big players moves Insights : Analyzes stats, injuries, history for plays bet suggestions Covers NBA, esports, elections, etc. built by Altcoin Atlas ₿ No sign up needed just tweet at it Check site : polytale.live for more follow for signals like fade the crowd to beat the odds @ConvergeMarkets Converge is a one stop tool that pulls them all together Compare odds from different sites in one place and trade easily Key features : - See real time prices across platforms Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless to start - Trade with no extra fees - Pro tools : Charts, filters, track your bets, spot easy wins arbitrage - Keeps your money safe no custody Why use it ? No more switching apps find the best odds fast manage all bets in one dashboard Example : See a mismatch in election odds buy low on one site sell high on another for quick profit Saves time and money for smart bettors It's in private beta now sign up for waitlist Check site: converge.market @markiumpro Markium is a tool that helps you trade smarter on these markets It gives data analytics and insights to spot good bets Key features : - Track top traders and their moves e.g., find pros with big wins - Advanced filters to search users, markets and edges - Real time news and alerts on hot topics like crypto drops or global events - Dashboards for quick views of profits, risks and trends Why use it ? Saves time hunting for info Helps beginners and pros find hidden gems, like underrated traders or mispriced bets Example : Spot a trader who turned losses into $10K wins by focusing on Elon tweets markets. Built for platforms like Polymarket Check site: markiumpro.com @polyburg Polyburg is a tool that whispers smart tips for these bets It tracks whales so you can copy their moves and win more no more guessing How it works : Telegram bot sends alerts on hot bets like high odds wins or whale buys & sells Analyzes trade history for signals e.g., 9/10 conviction means strong bet Covers NBA, boxing, esports, etc Example : Bot spotted whale bets on Anthony Joshua KO'ing Jake Paul locked 90%+ profit or OKC Thunder game at 90% odds Just follow the signals for easy gains videos show real wins Why use? Beat the market by tracking pros Free bot : t.me/polyburgbot Stop losing start burging @pizzintwatch Pentagon Pizza Watch tracks pizza orders near the Pentagon + open news to spot hints of big events Helps bettors get early signals How it works : Pizza spikes : Late night orders mean busy Pentagon possible crisis OSINT : Watches news, flights, ships for clues Links to Polymarket : Shares odds on stuff like US vs Venezuela clash or Maduro flees Tools : Site with maps, alerts, breaking feed & API soon Example : If pizza jumps 200% + news of US ships near Venezuela it signals higher odds of action Bettors use this to trade smarter not guess Fun mix of memes pizza + real data Why use? Beat the crowd on global bets Check site : t.co/ZY0M0t4QgH @Predictifybot A new tool that brings them all together makes betting easier with social fun and money tricks What it does: Links Polymarket, Kalshi, and more into one app. Trade via Telegram easy chats soon a pro web dashboard Add DeFi : Lend bets for extra cash borrow to bet big create vaults to share strategies and no more jumping apps Why use? Faster trades, better UX no clunky fees & pop-ups, social sharing of wins Spot hot bets manage everything in one spot Example: Bet on a game lend your position to earn yield while waiting Extra : Genesis NFT gives perks like lower fees, early token access, boosts for rewards and minted on Magic Eden Solana check : magiceden.io/launchpad/sola… @Auramoney Aura is a trading app that lets you bet on anything: crypto futures perps, sports games, politics, stocks, memecoins, and more All in one spot! Powered by Hyperliquid for perps and Polymarket for predictions Key features : - Trade with leverage bet big with less money - Deposit straight to Hyperliquid - Mobile app for trading on the go - Groups for sharing tips like Tokabu meme community Edgy vibe : This access should be illegal fun for gamblers How it works : Pick a market (e.g., Will Bitcoin hit $200K?) buy Yes or No shares or open a perp trade Use leverage to amp wins or losses no app switching Example : Bet on an election or sports match add leverage for extra thrill It's in invite only beta now Get codes from communities Try it: aura.money @rainmakerdotfun Rainmaker builds smart bots to help you bet smarter on sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and Novig They have a token called $RAIN for users What it does : AI analyzes games, spots good bets (e.g., sniper model made +390% on one NBA game) Auto-trades for you to make profits Holders get access to new AI tools, fast fills, and drops Built by a dev with NASA/NVIDIA experience Example : In a Wizards vs. Cavs game, AI agents turned bets into huge wins 386%+ No manual work turn on the bot it handles the rest Right now : Migrating old $RAIN to new one by Dec 26 51% done Why join? Beat the odds with AI not luck Migrate at : migrate.fun @wickdottrade Wick is a mobile app that makes this easy on your phone Trade anything anywhere no fees Key features : - Live sports bets from Polymarket - Trending games and real-time alerts - Zero fees on all predictions - Custom profit/loss (PNL) cards to track wins - Powered by tech like Privy for security and Pumpfun for fun Why use it? Bet on NBA, NFL,etc, without extra costs Example : See a hot game bet quick from app earn if you predict right Beta has spots for early users join contests in their Discord for prizes Try it : testflight.apple.com/join/Urn8rSs7 @PolyAlertHub PolyAlertHub is a tool that sends alerts to help you trade smarter It tracks big players whales, top traders, market moves, and even your own bets & no more missing out Key features : - Real time alerts : Get notified on whale buys/sells or hot trends - Track traders : Follow pros and copy their moves Market insights : See orderbooks buy/sell levels and data - Portfolio watch : Monitor your trades easily - Paper trading : Practice with fake money to test strategies Example : A whale bets big on Bitcoin rising Hub alerts you fast so you can join or fade or use paper mode to simulate without losing cash Saves time spots edges for better wins Try it: polyalerthub.com Has guides like how to paper trade @StandDOTtrade Stand is a pro tool that makes trading these bets easier and smarter. It has auto trades, live updates, alerts, and more Key features : - Track top traders and whales in real time - Get alerts on hot bets or moves - Auto buy or sell to copy pros - Dashboards for markets, your trades, and discoveries - Works with Polymarket free to use Example : See a whale bet big on an NFL game Stand alerts you, lets you copy fast or pick daily trades like Chargers win based on data Helps spot edges for better wins They share daily picks on X too Why use? Saves time boosts your betting game without guessing Try it: stand.trade @seekerlabsai Seeker Labs builds AI tools to help traders win more. It automates watching markets, tracking pros, and spotting news like a smart assistant for bets Key features : - AI agents monitor niche news, polls, odds from sportsbooks - Track winning traders and copy their moves - Curated feeds of high value info per market - Ask the AI questions with full context for quick insights Why use it? Manual checking is slow and misses stuff Seeker scales your edge e.g.,spot a poll shift early, bet before odds change Best traders already automate now you can too Early access open for active Polymarket users No token stay safe from scams @robinmarketsxyz Robin Markets helps you earn extra money on those bets while waiting and no more idle cash How it works : Deposit your shares into Robin's vaults They safely lend them out to earn USDC interest You keep control exit anytime no locks Plus get points for future rewards Example : Bet on an election stake in Robin, earn daily yield in stablecoins Genesis vault just ended claims open now Built with pros like Polygon & Yearn for safety Why use? Turn waiting into earning & easy for beginners Try it : staking.robin.markets @polyfactual polyfactual uses AI for deep research and tools in these markets They host weekly livestreams on news and updates What they do : AI analyzes markets for smart insights (e.g., trends, probabilities) API connects apps and data for easier trading Livestreams : Talk with experts on hot topics Posts : Break down events like Fed picks or Brazil votes Example : They say market prices mix many hidden factors like voter mood + news Or compare bets to movies vs music both fun not rivals got a grant from Polymarket to build more Why follow? Get easy tips on bets, AI edges and ecosystem news Try it: facts.trade for tokenized funds on Polymarket @betmoardotfun Betmoar is a Discord bot that makes trading these bets easier It's the official bot for Polymarket like a smart helper in your chat Key features : Pulls real time data : See odds, big bets (whales), order books Insights from places like UMA Discord for better decisions Runs contests : Like Genesis Cup where traders turned $200 into thousands Tracks pros so you can copy winning moves Example : Bot spots big money on a UFO market It shows you why and how to bet No more guessing get alerts and trade fast from Discord Huge : $34M+ volume in December Why use? Saves time boosts wins for beginners or pros Upcoming $BET token Try it: betmoar.fun @fireplacegg Fireplace makes this fun and easy bet with friends on the news It's like a social app for smart bets Key features : Pro tools : Track whales see charts with buys or sells get alerts Easy search : Find hot markets, top traders, insider tips fast Mobile app : Trade on phone no clunky sites Social : Share bets copy pros with one click Example : Spot a whale betting big on a news event fireplace shows their history wins, size Copy them quick to join the win orr bet with pals on Spotify trends they beat official news Why use? Better than plain Polymarket saves time boosts wins In early access : Get invite codes from posts or friends Pro version has extras like notifications Try it : fireplace.gg or pro.fireplace.gg @PredictFolio PredictFolio is a free tool to track your bets or spy on other traders wins or losses like a scorecard for Polymarket Key features: - See your own stats : Profits, volume, top bet - Analyze pros : Check their history copy smart moves - Yearly wrap up: Fun recap of your 2025 trades live now - News & insights : Weekly updates on hot markets Example : One trader turned $12 into $39K by betting big on Bitcoin PredictFolio shows how spot patterns like all in strategies Or see whales lose $650K on bad bets learn from wins & fails Why use? Get better at betting without guessing Try it : predictfolio.com @PolySpybot PolySpybot is a handy bot that alerts you to new markets on Polymarket get quick notifications so you don't miss fresh betting chances What it does : Posts daily breaking updates with pics of new markets Also chats in replies with simple opinions like I think there'll be a pump on gold prices Why use ? Saves time spot new bets early for better edges over 1,000 users get noise free alerts It's a Telegram bot : Clean, accurate, no spam & no token Try it: t.co/Cf8N0ZbSFT @PolyReward PolyReward tracks who earns the most rewards for helping these markets run smoothly called LP or liquidity providing like a leaderboard for top earners What are rewards? When you place limit orders bids to buy or sell at set prices you earn daily cash for adding options to the market It's like getting paid to stock shelves in a store No bots needed just smart orders top folks make $100–$700/day Example : One guy earned $300K+ in rewards by farming on key markets Another made $191K total trading + rewards by picking good spots and sizes They share tips : Farm volatile or new markets, use both sides, pull orders fast Why check it? See your rank learn from pros spot strategies Site shows on chain data for proof Try it : polyrewards.com @zscdao Zerosupercycle is a community group DAO = decentralized autonomous organization like a fan club that owns itself focused on making Polymarket bigger and better They build tools and share tips What they do : - Build communities on Discord & X for chats and support - Share trading strategies, spot hidden deals (arbitrage) track insiders - Post memes, news and fun stuff like branded rugs - Help members learn and win more bets Example : Members analyze markets for edges like linking Venezuela news to Doomsday Clock bets for easy profits or spot big whale moves early They just got a new CEO and launched a Discord for real time talks Why join? Connect with Polymarket pros get free insights avoid bad bets It's for beginners and experts Site: zscdao.com Discord: discord.com/invite/zscdao Polymarket isn’t just a platform anymore it’s a whole damn economy Which one are you using the most?
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izlam
izlam@bckfv_eth·
today is the day ZachXBT drops his investigation personally I expect it in a couple of hours, around 13-14 UTC based on his previous releases market situation has shifted over the past few hours - Meteora is no longer in the lead - Axiom now holds first place on Polymarket the two largest Axiom holders right now are fresh wallets: > Luminous-Female with 608k shares > predictorxyz with 477k shares those are massive positions, and people are already speculating they might be insiders no idea if that’s true but in a couple of hours, we’ll know for sure
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izlam@bckfv_eth

meteora still looks overpriced here imo recently there was a post claiming that ZachXBT allegedly created an account on polymarket and placed an insider bet that his investigation would be about meteora no any proof at all, pure engagements farming but the crowd still pumped meteora to 50–52% not all of my limit orders filled, so I couldn’t build big position but i still bought some NO shares i think there are decent entries even at these levels btw mexc moved up to 2nd place and is starting to gain momentum can’t wait for feb 26 nfa dyor

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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Gavin Newsom & Marco Rubio surge in 2028 Presidential Election odds, as VP Vance & AOC fall.
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zostaff
zostaff@zostaff·
banger release date 4% do not believe @zachxbt he clearly made it known the investigation drops on feb 26 96% of ct believed him and are waiting for the investigation 4% think zach will delay the release and want to be right i believe zach, because it is dangerous not to believe him
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zostaff@zostaff

i am waiting for 26 feb more than for my own birthday i analyzed all the comments under zach post and filtered out the noise happening on x @zachxbt wrote, most profitable business, multiple employees, internal data meteora does not fit from the start, even though most people think about it the libra story has been public for a long time from what is listed on polymarket i would choose pump fun $1b in revenue, anonymous team, employees see every token before listing zach team had plenty of time to run a detailed investigation after the meme coin hype season every investigation is not a one minute thing, so it could easily take months or the other option companies like raydium, okx, kelsier had the opportunity for insider trading and the last one is linked to libra zach loves surprises, banger soon.....

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Undertaker
Undertaker@CTundertaker·
Gpoly fam Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? ZachXBT the famous on chain detective who catches scammers teased a big investigation dropping soon looks like Feb 26, 2026 calling out one of the most profitable crypto businesses where employees allegedly used insider info to trade and make money over time Polymarket jumped on it fast and made a market where you bet on which company gets named Right now the crowd's betting like crazy over $15M+ in volume already Top contenders Yes prices ≈ probabilities: Meteora Solana liquidity protocol → leading big at around 42-47% (buy Yes ~43¢) Other → ~13% Axiom (trading terminal vibes) → ~12% Robinhood / Pump.fun → around 5-7% each Others like MEXC, Jupiter, etc way lower It's wild because the odds swing hard on rumors tweets or whale bets like Meteora spiked to 67% for a bit then dropped after their co-founder defended it Market resolves based on what ZachXBT publicly says/names in his thread or post polymarket.com/event/which-cr… Tomorrow's reveal could shake some bags either way it's peak degen cinema You watching or betting?
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Undertaker
Undertaker@CTundertaker·
@Polymarket This headline hits different Middle East summer incoming
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: U.S. military presence in the Middle East is “among the largest in more than two decades” — WaPo
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Lirratø
Lirratø@itslirrato·
Bro really skipped two lattes and flipped them into a MacBook Pro Saw zero proof of @nickshirleyy actually inside the SOTU chambers and sniped the absolute bottom > Bought "No" at 0.1¢ > Currently at 18¢ > +18,062% ROI Now he’s just taking profits on the way up No point waiting for the final answer and risking it all
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wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Alysa Liu just won Olympic gold in women's figure skating first American woman to do it in 24 years. she's 20 she almost never came back 1/ born in 2005 to a single dad who immigrated from rural China. conceived through surrogacy 2/ age 5: dad puts her on skates, inspired by Michelle Kwan – age 13: becomes the youngest U.S. women's national champion ever – age 16: competes at the 2022 Olympics. finishes 6th then quits 3/ the sport had taken everything – strict diets. controlled schedules. someone else picking her music, her costumes, her life – she moved to the Olympic Training Center as a teenager and called the rink "home for far too long" – so she walked away. said it was one of her best decisions ever 4/ she went to college. hiked to Everest Base Camp – dyed her hair. got her driver's license. lived a normal life for the first time – then in early 2024 she went skiing — felt the adrenaline again – stepped on a public rink. landed a double axel and a triple salchow like nothing – the ice wasn't done with her 5/ she came back on her own terms – new coach. she picks the music. designs the costumes. eats what she wants – platinum blonde streaks. a lip piercing. skating to Donna Summer – no one told her how to look or who to be 6/ February 2026, Milano Cortina – third after the short program. delivers a career-best free skate — 226.79 – passes Sakamoto Kaori and Nakai Ami – gold medal – the girl who quit at 16 just became Olympic champion at 20 7/ Alysa Liu didn't come back to prove anyone wrong. she came back because she finally wanted to that's the difference.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Anthropic has reportedly been given a Friday deadline to ease restrictions against the U.S. Military.
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Gorynich☄️
Gorynich☄️@Kropanchik·
.@ratio_dot_you just made every other Polymarket setup obsolete They removed the invite code requirement at signup - you can create an account without it now But if you enter it you get 10% off every trade in the app. Permanently. Every single trade Code: H8KPKMBB Here's what changes the moment you're inside: Ratio sits on top of Polymarket and exposes what the app hides: > bot probability score on every wallet > a leaderboard of real human traders only > a live feed of every move the wallets you follow make the second it happens > news feed and trending markets Stop copying bots by accident. Stop missing moves while you're sleeping Trade directly inside the app, or find a wallet worth following and mirror every trade automatically One app. Everything in one place Are you still trading blind? Downloading video guide added
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Kamala Harris announces she might run for president again in 2028.
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MopOzeu | Eternity
MopOzeu | Eternity@mopozeuX·
IPOs before 2027? I think many of you know about this market, I even wrote about some of the companies on the list. To be more precise, an IPO is definitely expected this year: > Discord - 90% > Cerebras - 90% > SpaceX - 84% > Ledger - 68% (potentially) But I decided to turn to this market not for that reason, but for another reason. Do you know anything about the Epic Games IPO? In the market, I was surprised by this jump from 19% to 65%, but now it has already sunk to 41%. I didn't find any information, what was the reason for this growth? What do you think about this?
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Undertaker
Undertaker@CTundertaker·
@Polymarket This market just woke up Hegseth not playing around
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Carver
Carver@carverfomo·
Chinese CS student posted his final project on GitHub. Title: polymarket-15min-predictor. Professor gave him a C. Said the returns were statistically impossible. The wallet linked in the code has $163K profit. The professor still doesn't know. PBot1. 13,120 predictions on Polymarket. Account bio: happy making. That's it. The code is under 400 lines. Runs on a $5 VPS. No ML. No complex math. Just pattern recognition on 15 minute windows that fire 200 times a day. His classmate found the wallet last week. Asked how a C project makes more than their professor's salary. His answer: The professor grades theory. The market grades results. 52K watching. $6,461 loaded right now. The repo got mass reported and taken down. The forks are still circulating. Would you rather have an A+ or $163K?
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Department of Homeland Security warns some Democrats in Congress are planning to bring illegal aliens as guests to tonight's SOTU.
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Alekzz
Alekzz@AIexey_Stark·
The Overfitting Problem in Quant Finance every trading strategy has to survive backtesting before it goes live. the standard way is walk-forward analysis - you optimize the strategy on old data, then test it on data it never saw. The number of test steps you get is: K = ⌊(T − W_IS) / W_OOS⌋ and the quality of the strategy is measured by: WFE = Annualized OOS Performance / Annualized IS Performance healthy values sit between 0.5 and 1.0. every time you tweak your strategy and test it again on the same historical data, you burn through statistical degrees of freedom. do this enough times and you will always find something that looks great - not because it works, but because you tried enough combinations. the Sharpe ratio makes things worse. Its standard error is: SE(SR̂) = √((1 + SR²/2) / n) and serial correlation in returns can inflate the annualized Sharpe by over 65% - meaning most strategies look far better historically than they actually are. López de Prado asked: if you tested N strategy configurations, what's the probability the best one is just a false positive? his answer was the Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio: PSR[SR̂] = Φ[ ((SR̂ − SR)√(T−1)) / √(1 − γ̂₃·SR̂ + ((γ̂₄−1)/4)·SR̂²) ]** to account for how many strategies you tested, he introduced the expected maximum Sharpe under the assumption that all strategies have zero real edge: SR̂₀ = √V[{SR̂}] · [(1−γ)Φ⁻¹(1 − 1/N) + γΦ⁻¹(1 − 1/Ne)] and the final score - the Deflated Sharpe Ratio: DSR = Φ[ ((SR̂ − SR̂₀)√(T−1)) / √(1 − γ̂₃·SR̂ + ((γ̂₄−1)/4)·SR̂*²) ]** with 5 years of daily data and more than ~45 strategy variations tested you're virtually guaranteed to find a fake winner with a strong DSR that has zero real edge going forward. the deeper fix is Combinatorial Purged Cross-Validation - a smarter backtesting method removes any training data overlapping with the test period to prevent leakage, plus an embargo of ~0.01T observations after each boundary to block serial correlation. this gives you a full distribution of out-of-sample Sharpe ratios instead of one number, and from that distribution you compute the Probability of Backtest Overfitting: PBO near 0 = genuine predictive power PBO near 1 = pure overfitting most impressive backtests are statistical illusions, and a large chunk of published academic research on market factors doesn't survive proper multiple-testing corrections. the t-statistic bar for claiming a real edge should be 3.0 — not the traditional 1.96.
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gemchanger@gemchange_ltd

x.com/i/article/2026…

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Xatacrypt
Xatacrypt@xatacrypt·
Have I Overestimated Trump's Capabilities? Does Anyone Still Remember the Greenland Deal? Trump generates so many events that it’s sometimes hard to keep up with everything The talk about Greenland is slowly fading away > Rubio held talks with representatives of Denmark and the Premier of Greenland on february 13 2026 But no clear agreements were reached Greenland government simply reminded that "the country's sovereignty is not even up for discussion" > that's all the "interesting" news on the topic right now 41% chance on Polymarket that an agreement between Trump and Greenland will be signed in 2026 > I have to admit I overestimated Trump's capabilities after all No matter how weak European leaders may seem to me, together they can be a real force Greenland situation has clearly shown that But Trump probably could have pushed the deal through if he had correctly assessed his leverage from the very beginning It would be interesting to hear your thoughts
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