LurkDeepReverseCrawl

@boriquagato @Devon_Eriksen_ everytime people on here start bragging about iq, they always stall into pathetic pedantry instead of delivering something real.

i used to help the psych department design and refine IQ tests when i was an undergrad. this ia a whole specific problem space in test design called "general case vs specific case" and it's basically "questions you get right at 115 and wrong at 140+" classic example is "2 machines can make 8 widgets in an hour. how many widgets can 3 machines make in an hour?" midwit jumps to "12" but this is not a general case answer. anyone smart says "you cannot tell from this information." maybe machine 1 makes 16 components that machine 2 assembles into 8 widgets. if both are running at max capacity, adding a 3rd machine adds nothing. if machine 2 could run at 16 widgets/hr but it supply constrained, then adding another machine 1 doubles output. ability to rapidly see that an answer is not a general case answer is actually the line where "really smart" begins and why tests for such people need to be so carefully devised. otherwsie, as you say, it's all "arguing with the test."

This is why IQ tests don't work too well on really smart people. Because sorta smart people tend to give the expected answer. And really smart people tend to point out that the question is wrong, and start arguing with the test, or trying to correct it, thereby making the test impossible to grade and annoying everyone. The expected answer to this is 72. Because 2*2*2 = 8 and 5*5*2 = 50, so 6*6*2 = 72. But the (really) correct answer is "I don't know." Because what you have is two points on a 3 dimensional graph (x,y) -> z. z = 2*x*y is one surface that can be drawn through these two points. And I suspect it's the simplest formula for a surface that can be so drawn, although I haven't bothered to check. But an infinite number of contiguous surfaces can be drawn in three dimensions that encompass these points (2,2,8) and (5,5,50). Each of these surfaces can be described by its own formula. Some of them will also touch (6,6,72). But others of them will touch (6,6, {something else entirely}) instead. This might sound really, really pedantic. But it's not. Everyone knows that the expected answer is the simple one, but that's only on a test... a fake artificial made up problem. When we start trying to do this in the real world, which, after all is what this "IQ" thing is actually for, then using the same kind of "IQ test thinking" can get you in trouble. "My 3-month-old son is now TWICE as big as when he was born. He's on track to weigh 7.5 trillion pounds by age 10." -@pronounced_kyle Fitting the simplest-formula curve, as opposed to the correct curve, makes our predictions of real-world stuff dead wrong. So this kind of test question promotes a dangerous habit of thought. But, Devon, I hear some of you ask, doesn't the principle of Occam's Razor demand that we fit the simplest curve? No. No, it does not. It does not require that we select the simplest possible answer, given what we have currently seen. It requires that we prefer hypotheses that make fewer assumption to those that make more. These are two different things entirely. If I see one black sheep, the simplest hypothesis is that all sheep are black. The hypothesis requiring the fewest assumptions is that at least one sheep is black on at least one side. You will note which of these is correct. All of this is, of course, irrelevant to questions on IQ test. But questions on an IQ test only matter as much as they are relevant to the actual universe... Where ideas like this are very relevant indeed.

@zarathustra5150 what's this bullshit?

@RupertLowe10 this is the most accurate comparison, since neither ever happened.

I want to be really clear in my response. I am not going to retract anything, I stand by every single word. Labour are calling for me to apologise. The answer is no. Industrial rape across almost every town and city in Britain. Sexual torture. Murder. Endless rape. I sat there for two weeks, listening to these girls. I heard how one girl was raped by a dog, as Muslim men bet on what the animal would do. Girls drugged and locked in cages, like rats. Another, raped by 700 men over three years. Dozens and dozens of these stories through our inquiry, and we are barely scratching the surface. This was allowed to happen EXACTLY because politicians were cowards, refusing to discuss it. I will not make that same mistake. I said what I said, and I meant it. The Labour Party have blood on their hands, yet they think they can demand an apology from me for highlighting the systemic evil they allowed to infect our entire country? They can piss off. I am angry about it. Furious. When you hear directly from these girls about what they have been through, it changes the way you see politics. Forever. Our report will be out very soon. When that happens, I don’t want any apologies from the Labour Party. I don’t care about that. I want to see those politicians responsible for covering up this atrocity behind bars for what they have done to these girls.

@Glokta2 @JDHaltigan also yes, covid policies brought heavy lives disruption, much like in war-time, greatly deepening existing friction trends.

@JDHaltigan I don't really see how it is, when women became the majority in many fields already in 2000s, yet the supposed effects of "feminisation" only manifested in late 2010s or 2020 smartphones, social media, lockdowns seem more convincing

Excellent discourse. The feminization hypothesis is most definitely p < .00001 in Sociology. Make no mistake about this. No amount of wishful thinking is going to change this reality. The feminization of all our sense-making institutions is a national crisis.

@Glokta2 @JDHaltigan absolutely, tech disruption always drives these changes. new generations experience wealthier lives and become more soft, hence feminizing. female\male demographics is just a part of it.

@ashleytrubin feminization is not the cause, it's the effect. cause is generational gap brought by tech disruption and consequent living standards rise.

I really don't want the feminization hypothesis to be right, but when you see results like these (from Horowitz et al. 2018's survey of soc faculty -- 14% response rate)...

@BoringBiz_ he just bought a house in argentina and the anti-western folks made it into an apocalyptic story.

Let me get this straight Peter Thiel was an early Silicon Valley donor to Trump, who currently sits as President of the United States He hand picked JD Vance, who goes on to become VP and is still in that position His friend and former cofounder, Elon Musk, is the richest man on the planet and is about to do the biggest IPO ever in history His fund was one of the earliest backers of Space X, amongst many other successful investments Literally everything he wished for has happened. Everyone he wanted in power is currently in power. But, he is now leaving the country to move to Argentina. What am I missing here?

@ianbremmer US objectives were: 1. regime change - partially done 2. no nuclear program - done 3. regional peace - done 2 and a half out of 3. not bad.

no regime change in iran, no handpicking of the next supreme leader. no dismantling of iran’s proxies, no restrictions on its ballistic missile and drone programs. an agreement to downblend the highly enriched uranium inside iran. the destruction of iran’s navy, but an emboldened iran that is prepared to disrupt the strait. throw in the cost in lives, the global economy, and the global treasure, and the reputational damage to the united states…and president trump has some serious explaining to do.   next up: cuba

@RetroCoast they pulled an Apple but everyone dislikes it because they didn't put on years of brainwashing through marketing.

2027 Ferrari Luce This electric vehicle costs $640k but is being panned by critics who say it looks like a Hyundai What do you think of the new Ferrari Luce?

@_The_Prophet__ sorry but he is 100% correct on this.

⚡️O’Leary is right that Apple sells brand premium, but he is wrong that the premium is pure irrationality. He is doing the classic spreadsheet-brain move: collapse the laptop into “same functionality.” That only works if functionality means “can browse the web, write documents, send email, run apps.” By that definition, yes, a cheap Windows laptop can do many of the same basic tasks. But people do not pay Apple only for task execution. They pay for friction reduction. Build quality. Battery life. trackpad. screen. speakers. thermals. resale value. operating system. iPhone integration. AirDrop. iMessage. FaceTime. continuity. low-maintenance ownership. fewer driver/software headaches. high trust at purchase. support network. ecosystem memory. status. identity. aesthetic coherence. That entire stack is the product. The genius of Apple is that it turned hidden friction into visible willingness to pay. Most people do not want to optimize every spec. They want the object to feel good, work reliably, integrate with their life, and signal taste. Apple monetized that better than almost any company in history. The cheap Windows comparison also breaks because the $350 machine usually carries compromises: worse screen, worse battery, worse chassis, worse trackpad, worse longevity, worse resale, more bloat, weaker integration, and a less coherent ownership experience. It can be a rational buy for many people. It is not the same category experience. The deeper read: Apple is a trust machine. Consumers outsource complexity to the brand. They do not want to research twenty laptops. They want to buy the known good thing. That saves cognitive labor. In a world of infinite options, trusted simplicity is worth a premium. The risk for Apple is that AI could weaken the old device-centered ecosystem if the primary interface shifts from apps/devices to agentic operating layers. If people start living inside AI agents that work across platforms, Apple’s hardware/software lock-in gets tested. Apple still has enormous consumer trust, but it has to make the AI layer feel Apple-native or the premium starts looking more cosmetic. Final compression: Apple’s moat is not specs. It is trust, taste, ecosystem, and reduced friction. O’Leary sees the brand tax. He underweights why people willingly pay it.

@Nichola17893554 @jaegermedia1 started good and jumped the shark on season 3. terrible series

@jaegermedia1 Breaking Bad. Well, actually it started strong and ended stronger. The final season was incredible.

Is there a single TV show that started strong and actually finished strong? Seems every show eventually ends up getting the Game of Thrones treatment.

@jaegermedia1 GOT started good and ended awesome.

@GaryMarcus come on now don't be tragic. it's a very useful tool. AGI in 50 years

this sh*t isn’t even funny anymore. it’s a trillion dollar embarrassment.

@_The_Prophet__ real question is: would instagram pay me to use it?

⚡️Would you pay for Instagram?

@uncreativetom how dare you criticize the biggest marketing fraud in history?

love that the eu forced Apple to proudly display in store that their iPads are built shitty

@SawyerMerritt this is a flop, but at least it's not a monstrosity like the luce

New $180,000 all-electric Mercedes AMG GT 4-Door Coupe EV spotted in the wild. It's.....something lol

@TMTLongShort he was talking about relocating to Dubai before 2024.

When an investor I know is smarter than me is on the other side of a trade I don’t sleep well.

@cremieuxrecueil 311k followers. crazy.

England just had its hottest day in May in 250 years. It's too hot.

@dytomane @SteveOnSpeed @yonann dont really know about it lately, but what i said have been obvious forever. for 1800$ you can buy an ultra high end pc. there's no going up, unless you wanna brag.

@DeepLurkCrawl @SteveOnSpeed @yonann Still no. Price to performance MacBooks usually the same or even better now. The rising cost of memory and storage did not affect Macbook prices as much as Windows laptops. Plus M chips still quite far ahead of anything you could get on other laptops.

Kevin O'Leary says Apple's genius is making people pay 5x more for a laptop they could buy for $350 "you can buy an Apple laptop, average price about $1,800, or you can buy the same functionality for $350 on a Windows laptop" "but you still pay $1,800. Why? Brand" "you're paying a 5x multiple in some cases for something that is exactly like a Windows machine" "I put that out to people, they say, yeah, but it's not an Apple. So there is the genius of Jobs"

@NoFilterSkin it's just because dogs are much more agreeable, they literally worship their human. cats are cats.

Why do dog people hate cats so much? I’ve never met a cat person who hates dogs in the same way.