J R

6.9K posts

J R

J R

@JRileyMW

Map and redistricting nerd. BOS/NE super fan. Matthew 6:5-6.

Beigetreten Mart 2009
596 Folgt739 Follower
J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 @SER1897 So how should voters reconcile legitimate concerns about candidates' "character" issues, or their belief that their failures in office would bring about the extinction of the Democratic Party? I feel like if Dems win in '28, that's their one "do-over" and they won't get another.
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NickFrank40
NickFrank40@NickyFrank30·
@SER1897 Do they think it will convince people not to vote for him in the primary? Because it won’t. This type of this is blackmail. It’s abusive behavior against other Democrats and why nobody likes them.
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Stephen Robinson (Bluesky at @playtyperguy.com)
Stephen Robinson (Bluesky at @playtyperguy.com)@SER1897·
A lot of trans people have said they won’t vote for Newsom under any circumstance. I think that’s a mistake (considering that any Republican would be worse on trans rights). But many people I respect insist this is the only way to make it clear how seriously they take the issue.
Shannon Watts@shannonrwatts

Hasan Piker says he'll vote for a third party candidate if the Democratic nominee is Gavin Newsom. Reminder that Piker is not a Democrat, but a millionaire who makes money by fomenting political discord. newsweek.com/hasan-piker-de…

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J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 Interesting take -- that's what most people/news outlets are saying. But others spun it as deliberately teaching Malinowski (and other Ds with similar stances) a "lesson" by ensuring the eventual D nominee was the "weakest" in the general.
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J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 In any case, it feels very much like the Texas primaries and the sentiment expressed by The Bulwark's voter-focus groups, where most voters didn't care about the labels and just wanted someone "who can win."
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NickFrank40@NickyFrank30·
@JRileyMW That style of ConservaDem wasn’t even competing in these districts.
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NickFrank40@NickyFrank30·
Absolute disaster for the Left in Chicago. At least they’ll probably get Stratton, but Pritzker is definitely more responsible for that.
Taniel@Taniel

Chicago's 4 open primaries: #IL02: Donna Miller up on Jesse Jackson Jr. 41/30 (40%+ in). #IL07: La Shawn Ford up on Melissa Conyears-Ervin 23/20 20% (half in). #IL08: Melissa Bean up on Junaid Ahmed 33/25 (nearly half in). #IL09: Daniel Biss up on Kat Abughazaleh 30/24 (79% in).

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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 Bean and Fine definitely gave those vibes.
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J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 I mean, I just have a hard time seeing Stratton, Biss, Ford, and even Miller pulling a Henry Cuellar or Notorious MGP/Sinema-Manchin move when they get to Washington.
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NickFrank40@NickyFrank30·
@JRileyMW “Normie” left leaning liberals is a win for Conservadems in districts this blue
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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@umichvoter If Kat has moved to Rogers Park, she'd be living well within the confines of the 9th District.
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umichvoter
umichvoter@umichvoter·
Chicago area watch guide for Tuesday 🟣 Congressional Progressive Caucus supported candidates 🔴 AIPAC supported candidates
umichvoter tweet media
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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@dunadanjets @JacobRubashkin @EmissaryOfNight Meng wins, and then has a tougher-than-expected time winning the general (as any Dem will going forward) because the D voters there vote Republican now.
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AJ Clayborne Free Palestine
AJ Clayborne Free Palestine@dunadanjets·
@JacobRubashkin @EmissaryOfNight NY-6, Grace Meng, a Dem party apparatchik who holds an important seat on approps facing a progressive challenger in a district Zohran Mamdani barely won in the 2025 Primary. New rebellious Dem primary electorate? Or will establishment authority carry the day?
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Jacob Rubashkin
Jacob Rubashkin@JacobRubashkin·
What’s one House primary that isn’t getting nearly enough attention? Drop your thoughts below:
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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
As happens to me seemingly every year, I always intend to pick a young developmental LB (and I know there are good ones), but I'm so concerned about '27 holes that I focus on other positions (edge, TE, eventual RT, RG, CB2 replacements) and by then the LBs I like are gone.
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J R@JRileyMW·
Assuming certain free agents sign and trades go as expected...
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J R@JRileyMW·
Definition of throwing darts.
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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@NickyFrank30 Collins will win. 🤷‍♂️
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NickFrank40
NickFrank40@NickyFrank30·
Mills serving one term and there being an open seat coinciding with the 2032 presidential election seems most ideal at the moment,
April is practicing self-care@April_Sassy

The best-case scenario for Democrats in Maine is vote for Janet Mills for the US Senate, the old lady, & hopefully the Dem nominee for governor wins, whether that's Hannah Pingree, Troy Jackson, or Shenna Bellows, in case Mills or King would be unable to complete their term.

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J R@JRileyMW·
Crockett was one of the few elected Ds who supported Harris AND didn't turn on her after her loss. Unsurprising Harris would back her. What Democrats of all ideologies don't understand is talking about faith may "code" as moderate, but Talarico is more lefty-populist on policy.
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J R@JRileyMW·
@mvpbrown Anybody who thinks O-line shouldn’t be first priority in the draft is smoking something.
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🪬@mvpbrown·
Patriots fans thoughts on the first half?
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J R@JRileyMW·
@GregABedard @BostonSportsBSJ 3 Up: 1. Entire defense, especially D-line. Special shoutout to Barmore. 2. Schooler. 3. Mack Hollins. 3 Down: 1. The entire O-line -- haven't been able to run the ball effectively or manhandle D-lineman all season. 2. Drake's pocket presence. 3. All non-Hollins pass catchers.
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Michael Lange
Michael Lange@MichaelLangeNYC·
Two potential permutations of a redrawn NY11. Both would be ~Harris+3. Should be lean D for 2026 & 2028, with potential to flip R during a midterm wave. Fascinating mix of urban elites and the white ethnic, suburban middle class. (h/t @maevehove + NY Supreme Court)
Michael Lange tweet mediaMichael Lange tweet media
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J R@JRileyMW·
@MichaelLangeNYC @maevehove First map seems more likely if the argument is about not diluting votes from non-whites, as the second map takes Asian and Hispanic voters from the Lower East Side and shoves them in with a Brooklyn majority-white district. In either case, I'm predicting a Malliotakis win.
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J R
J R@JRileyMW·
@allymutnick Yeah, this has all the makings of "Goldman isn't suited for a district primarily based in Staten Island" and "Malliotakis is the 2020s version of Deborah Pryce."
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Ally Mutnick
Ally Mutnick@allymutnick·
NEWS: NY lower court strikes down #NY11 but the big test will be whether it holds up on appeal If all goes well for Dems, they net one seat by dooming GOP Rep Nicole Malliotakis AND Rep Dan Goldman could avoid a primary with Brad Lander Full ruling: punchbowl.news/164002_2025_mi…
The Redistrict Network@RedistrictNet

#BREAKING: Justice Pearlman has ruled that New York’s 11th Congressional District is unconstitutional under the New York constitution. He orders the NY Redistricting Commission to reconvene and draw a new congressional map by Feb. 6, 2026.

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