@alldspeed @lofi_hop @JoePostingg If your argument is Mississippi might be more competitive, I'll bite. But that money that goes to MS comes out of TX or IA, where Dems are just throwing good money away if they spend there.
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J R
7.2K posts
J R
@JRileyMW
Map and redistricting nerd. BOS/NE super fan. Matthew 6:5-6.
Katılım Mart 2009
595 Takip Edilen744 Takipçiler
@lofi_hop @JoePostingg This was our gubernatorial election a year and a half ago.
In special our special legislative elections six months ago, Democrats outperformed well into double digits.
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I am a Platner moderate, I think he's bad and stupid and Democrats should have nominated someone else, but also Senate control is way more important than whatever nonsense people are worried about.
Tim@trouble_man90
If he and supporters would just own that he’s a deeply stupid individual, that would help, but them pretending that he’s done nothing untoward at all is insulting
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@CNLiberalism Seemed to have worked out for Vance, Britt, Budd, and Schmitt.
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The 2022 Class of Senate Republican candidates would like a word on “supporting whichever chucklefuck makes it out of a primary”
Rob Flaherty@Rob_Flaherty
Does feel kind of odd to be the Chairman of an org called “Majority Democrats” and then endorse against both Democrats and a Majority
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Regardless of what Auchincloss did, I think Democrats, just from a policy perspective, should ask more questions of @jasonvpoulos about UBI and ways to support those who lose their jobs due to AI. Democrats are going to have to confront the job-loss issue at some point.
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@MattBoxer94 It's either him or two Republicans in the general. None of the other Democrats even hit double digits in polling. Anybody waiting for a Becerra type surge -- unless Becerra endorses, which he won't -- is engaging in wishful thinking.
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@birenbomb Both of whom actually live in TX-24. But the Constitution doesn't require you to live in the district you represent.
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The Dallas County early vote in #TX33, which pits Rep. Julie Johnson (D) against former Rep. Colin Allred (D)
Allred: 7,924 (55%)
Johnson: 5,985 (45%)
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@TheChrisSuprun @juliejohnsonTX Both Johnson AND Allred live in Texas-24 (Johnson in Farmers Branch, Allred in the "M Streets"). The district they represented was split into TX-24, TX-32 and TX-33. They chose TX-33 district b/c TX-24 is solidly R and they're both too liberal for an East Texas-centric TX-32.
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Explain it to me like I'm 5.
@juliejohnsonTX represents #TX32. She lives in #TX24 where she could have made the race competitive.
Instead she moved to #TX33 for an easy run expecting her #LGBTQ backstory and history of doing nothing in incumbency to let her coast to victory?!?
GIF
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@MattBoxer94 Depends on whether they're registered Democrats. BP is pretty Republican generally.
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@whoseurlefty @firebornnn It's giving me the same vibes as when Khanna took down Mike Honda. I knew it was right, but all I could think was: "There's a distinct possibility this new guy is a shill for Big Tech and will stab us in the back, Joe Lieberman-style." Menefee could easily be blue-seat Fetterman.
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@firebornnn Why can't Al Green die in his seat like other geriatric Dems?
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@LeftyWinter Sad too but we need new faces and younger people in the Democratic Party! And he’s the only candidate who has David hoggs endorsement
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@bourgeoisbantu Yeah, the leadership of "Strong Schools Now" are basically DFER retreads.
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This appears to be a reiteration of DFER. No thanks!
Jessica functions to serve the whim of out of state financiers, like her buddy Jacque.
I ranked Greg and now I need another ballot.
Martin Austermuhle@maustermuhle
Daily D.C. mailer report: Got one today from the Affordable Future D.C. independent expenditure committee supporting @LisaJRaymond and @GregoryJackson in the At-Large D.C. Council race. The committee is funded by @StrongSchlsNow Action Fund.
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@NickyFrank30 I really wish there were a lot more polling available for NY primaries (which seem to be more competitive this year), and not just the Lander-Goldman race.
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@JRileyMW Davidson seems to be the favorite at this point, and internally I’ve heard she polls the best against Lawler
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@NickyFrank30 So are NY Dems going to do anything to ensure Conley or Effie don't tank their chances of ousting Lawler? Nat'l Dems pushed Conley, who's now taking fire from former opponents.
Timmy Facciola@TimmyFacciola_
NEW: Peter Chatzky and John Sullivan endorse Beth Davidson in the NY-17 Democratic primary. They lay out their reasoning, as well as their concerns about Cait Conley's record, on this week's episode of Judgement Call:
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@MadLibHatter I keep joking they're a Bobby Scott retirement away from the following map, in which VA-01 doesn't take in any of Henrico or Richmond.
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@JRileyMW Well technically is I was trying to match current VA-2 margins but needed VA-1 to get bluer without going into Richmond
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Would you accept this Virginia redraw of the current map?
2020 / 2024 / 2021
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@Nebraskademsoc @MadLibHatter The new SC-02 is R+7, the same as news SC-01. That's a big lift even in a wave year. The new SC-06 is only R+3 or so. Much swingier/competitive.
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@Rybread_26 Sometimes I wonder if this is just a stalking-horse campaign to get up her name recognition and run for mayor in 2030 against whoever wins this year.
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Truly, what on this list can Brooke accomplish in Congress
CarlxxMarx@HipsterRoberts
Brooke Pinto’s campaign is so awesome. Is anything she’s running on related to the office she’s running for? No. Does she have a track record of achieving these things in her current office, where it is relevant? Also no. What an awesome way to approach stuff
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@MichaelLangeNYC The "pre-push" part of the Torres/Blake poll of 60-15 seems accurate; we already got the NY-07, NY-10 and NY-12 polls. I would really like to see a poll of this district and NY-08 just to get a broader picture of how strong establishment candidates in NY are faring.
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If Espaillat loses on June 23rd, we should all revisit when he backed a challenger to State Sen. Robert Jackson in August 2022.
Jackson won by 25 points, aided by a huge turnout difference between Whites west of Broadway & Latinos east of Broadway.
The first crack in the armor?
Holly Pretsky@hollypret
DSA congressional candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier is rallying in Washington Heights with local leaders including state Sen. Robert Jackson, Uptown Community Dems, Inwood Indivisible. She’s challenging Rep. Adriano Espaillat.
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@DiehardOsfan55 @MadLibHatter Not an objectionable map for everything except VA-02 and VA-03 -- and would depend on which precincts in Norfolk/Chesapeake are being selected and for what purpose.
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@MadLibHatter My fair map is just a cleaner version of this. I would be happy with this map if every other state had fair maps as well, but given what Republicans are doing, anything less than 10-1 is unacceptable for 2028.
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J R retweetledi
NEW: Washington, DC is spending taxpayer money producing talk shows for local celebrities covering crews, cameras, studio space and staff but cannot provide @7NewsDC with records showing exactly how much is being spent.
A 7News I-Team investigation found D.C.’s Office of Cable Television, Film, Music, and Entertainment, which operated last year on a roughly $15 million budget, lacks detailed accounting records for productions including shows hosted by D.C. legend Donnie Simpson and veteran journalist Carol Joynt.
Neither Simpson nor Joynt is accused of wrongdoing but D.C. Councilmember Matthew Frumin says he’s been pressing OCTFME officials to explain how much taxpayer money is being spent and what return the public is getting on that investment.
Listen to DC Councilmember Frumin about the on-going issue tax payers might be hearing about for the very first time.
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