Micro2Macr0
181.2K posts

Micro2Macr0
@Micro2Macr0
Macro Economist - Self-made multimillionaire - Formerly Retired at 42 - Always trying to find companies and investments that are solving tomorrows problems



BREAKING: The S&P 500 erases losses and turns green as US oil prices fall below $93/barrel.

Current vibes inside Iran. This is not a country being "indiscriminately carpet bombed" as you can clearly see. Everyone knows they are not the targets for airstrikes, and that it's a war against the oppressive regime. They trust America and Israel to target mullahs only.



@CuriousPejjy We'll have 4-5 before the week ends. We're at 2-3 right now




🚨🇺🇸🇯🇵 Trump is expected to press Japan hard for military and logistical support in Iran war during their White House meeting. Japan has no real choice but to comply. The country literally owes its existence to the United States as the U.S. could raze the rest of it to the ground and annihilate every major city with nuclear fire in 1945.

I want to be clear about what I’m arguing and what I’m not. I am not arguing that Trump planned this from the beginning. The P&I club withdrawal was a cascading system failure that no central planner could have predicted or orchestrated. What I am arguing is that the administration has, whether by design or adaptation, assembled the tools to exploit this moment. The DFC facility is the option. The incomplete P&I coverage is the strike price. The Jones Act waiver and Venezuela sanctions easing are hedge positions. The Navy’s deliberate pace is time decay working in America’s favor. The strongest version of this thesis is not “Trump is playing 4D chess.” It’s that the administration holds more options than anyone realizes, and the insurance mechanism, not the Navy, is the real lever of power. The man who launched the SHIPS Act, tariffed Chinese shipping, killed the IMO carbon tax vote, brought CMA CGM to the Oval Office, signed the most ambitious Maritime Executive Order in decades, and then made the U.S. government the insurer of last resort for the world’s most important shipping lane does not lack a maritime strategy.


The US is ironically relatively "shielded" from rising oil prices abroad. Crude oil prices in Oman are trading at a +$70 premium to WTI crude, hitting record highs. Meanwhile, the US gets less than 8% of its oil from the Persian Gulf, at just 500,000 barrels per day. As a result, the US is actually seeing relatively *low* oil prices at home while foreign buyers are paying $150+/barrel in some cases. According to @KobeissiLetter, US oil companies are now set to make an additional $60+ billion this year if oil prices sustain current levels. US oil giants will realize record profits.











