Ignatius J. Reilly

726 posts

Ignatius J. Reilly

Ignatius J. Reilly

@MittRomney_stan

NJ moderate conservative * mostly here to look at maps/data * I have the occasional mildly intelligent comment

Beigetreten Nisan 2022
32 Folgt18 Follower
Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@_fat_ugly_rat_ 2004 was flukey, and W ran a close race in NJ because the War on Terror was top of mind here post-9/11. 2024’s close result was borne out of a longer term national realignment of non-white voters toward the GOP. I think long term, NJ trends right even if in 2028 Dems do well.
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James🗳
James🗳@_fat_ugly_rat_·
Where do we think New Jersey ends up post-2024? Is it gonna be like 2004 where it was briefly close and it bounces back for Dems or will it remain close going forward?
James🗳 tweet mediaJames🗳 tweet media
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@tomas_s242 “I’m a liberal who supports gay people except when I’m using gayness as an insult”
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SoFlo Democrat 🇺🇦☀️
SoFlo Democrat 🇺🇦☀️@tomas_s242·
we all talk about lindsay graham being closeted but have we ever looked at this guy
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@upzonenj If you’re a Democrat, then yes. She wouldn’t give up Princeton or Plainfield in redistricting just so her district could be 65% Dem instead of 60% Dem. And because those towns would back her strongly if she were primaried.
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Patrick Ruffini
Patrick Ruffini@PatrickRuffini·
Things are getting to a point where you begin to wonder if there’s an opening for a radical anti-partisan in 2028–and maybe even a third party performance rivaling Ross Perot.
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@jmaxmann Whitman was likely the worst governor NJ has had since the Great Depression and as EPA director claimed the air in Lower Manhattan was safe to breath after 9/11 (it wasn't). But she doesn't like Trump and endorses Democrats, so now she's celebrated.
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DakotaGirl495
DakotaGirl495@Indyboy495·
@lauren_peller Rehab is a good theory; he’s incapacitated, & must be removed from his seat, but @SpeakerJohnson doesn’t want to lose majority. Maggot party in the house comprised of alcoholics, sexual & domestic abusers, racists. Speaker Mike Johnson, a closeted gay, is perfectly OK with that.
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Lauren Peller
Lauren Peller@lauren_peller·
Speaker Johnson said in a statement provided to ABC News that he spoke to NJ GOP Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. by phone on Thursday, and that he is dealing with an unspecified "personal health matter” and “expects to be back to 100% very soon.”
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@danieljohnbryan @wildstein The state’s “a leg tapped at both ends” by Philly and NYC as Ben Franklin once said, and the population is relatively transient. People move here from elsewhere then move away when they retire.
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Daniel Bryan
Daniel Bryan@danieljohnbryan·
"New Jersey may be the largest news desert in the nation" - @wildstein this morning, and he's right How is it possible that a state of 9.5m residents, the 2nd wealthiest state in the US and top 10 most educated, has such a weak media economy?
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@davidslosttt I would unpack the NW Jersey district a little and make the Bergen County/NE district more competitive. NJ is a blue state, but not overwhelmingly so. A 7-5 map best reflects the statewide party preferences.
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@bayshore_beagle @PurpleHeartMan I agree about Murphy. But more than staleness, I think Jack's issue was that many voters still didn't know who he was in 2025 despite his years of campaigning! And that allowed Sherrill to define him as a opioid promoting, pedophile protecting, tax raising Trump imitator.
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BayshoreBeagle
BayshoreBeagle@bayshore_beagle·
@MittRomney_stan @PurpleHeartMan He was too stale by 2025 was much easier running against liberal covid enforcer plutocrat Murphy vs the somewhat more moderate and fresh Sherrill
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Rumper 💜
Rumper 💜@PurpleHeartMan·
I’m still shocked how did Jack Ciattarelli lose by so much last year
Rumper 💜 tweet media
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@PurpleHeartMan 4) Sherrill (veteran and prosecutor) was more likable than Jack (businessman). I also think Jack was just a poor candidate. Sure, he was very hardworking, but he had been running for governor essentially since 2015 and still let Sherrill define him as a MAGA creep. 2/2
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@PurpleHeartMan 1) Sherrill ran a very aggressive campaign, seriously stretching the truth about Jack's record; 2) Jack did himself no favors by running as more of a MAGA Republican than he did in 2021; 3) WWC and Latino voters swung back toward Dems; 1/2
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@MicahJRasmussen It was a Trump era special election on a Thursday in April and she put up a relatively weak showing in her home county.
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Micah Rasmussen
Micah Rasmussen@MicahJRasmussen·
Electoral coalitions do shift, but what cannot be denied is that no candidate for federal or statewide office has carried NJ11 by a bigger margin than Mejia's 19.5 percent since Rodney Frelinghuysen's 25.2 percent win over Mark Dunec in 2014.
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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@MattRooneyNJ @JonBramnick It was a special election on a Thursday in April with very low turnout, a Republican in the WH, and cross-over voting all but dead in federal elections. Every needs to just calm down lol
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Matt Rooney
Matt Rooney@MattRooneyNJ·
Joe Kyrillos lost in 2012 by 20 points. Kim Guadagno lost in 2017 by 15 points. Hugin in 2018? 12. The list of double-digits losses extends back three decades! Trump in 24? Just 5 points. So maybe... just maybe, @JonBramnick, the problem is the NJGOP? Perhaps look in a mirror?
Jon Bramnick@JonBramnick

Joe Hathaway was a terrific candidate. He suffered a “Jack type loss”. This was another example of passion against the Trump administration. The “jack type losses” will continue until voters are convinced we are the “New Jersey Republican Party” with our historic principles.

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Ignatius J. Reilly
Ignatius J. Reilly@MittRomney_stan·
@ChazNuttycombe Andy Ogles for being a complete asshole while representing a slice of gerrymandered-to-hell Nashville.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombe·
I do wonder what the 2026 equivalent of these could be but 2018 was such a big part of the Trump realignment. I don't think there's any congressional R who won re-election by double digits in 2024 who could lose by double digits.
vo@vanillaopinions

this was also crazy

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Entdecken

@_fat_ugly_rat_ @tomas_s242 @upzonenj @PatrickRuffini @jmaxmann @Indyboy495 @lauren_peller @SpeakerJohnson