JAV 🇫🇮

1.2K posts

JAV 🇫🇮

JAV 🇫🇮

@SuomiObserver

Finland Beigetreten Mart 2022
90 Folgt21 Follower
JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@krystalball Lebanon should have stopped attacking Israel. Now it is too late
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@dlLambo Denying the enemy access to the area is not a war crime but a reasonable response on continuous attacks on Israel by Lebanon - Israel doesn’t need to know if it is done by Hezbollah, regular Lebanese army or Martians
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Daniel Lambert
Daniel Lambert@dlLambo·
The IDF has now destroyed 7 bridges over the Litani river. Blatant war crimes to seize a massive chunk of Lebanon. And the world is talking about empty ambulances in high questionable circumstances... When will they be stopped - they're destroying the world.
Daniel Lambert tweet media
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@DrEliDavid The guy is the most motivated to get the deal and finally become the boss
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Dr. Eli David
Dr. Eli David@DrEliDavid·
Trump: “We're dealing with a top person, most respected leader in Iran” 👇 Ghalibaf ran for presidency 4 times, losing every time: 🔸2005: Lost to Ahmadinejad 🔸2013: Lost to Rouhani 🔸2017: Lost to Rouhani 🔸2024: Lost to Pezeshkian Ghalibaf is top loser, least respected 🤡
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@IlvesToomas @MykhailoRohoza US won’t start nuclear war because of you or us. Europe could try to fight if they knew what this verb means. Let’s hope that Ukraine will keep Russia busy until Putin dies or Russian economy is too week to sustain another war
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toomas hendrik ilves
toomas hendrik ilves@IlvesToomas·
The Baltic States are in NATO. They are not Ukraine An attack on one of them means war on Russia. Real missiles raining on Russian cities, infrastructure, ports, airports, rail. It wouldn’t be just a drone war. Russia would look like any of the cities it has destroyed in Ukraine. but writ large. That’s the difference between being in NATO and not. It’s why Ukraine wants to be in NATO. Now enough of the scare-mongering and faux concern. Worry instead that posts like this make the Baltic States worry more about ourselves and less about you.
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Mykhailo Rohoza
Mykhailo Rohoza@MykhailoRohoza·
An attack on the Baltic countries is вполне real, and here’s why. There are at least THREE reasons for such a move. The first and main one: Russia risks NOTHING. No matter how events unfold with the occupation of the Baltic states, Russia will not end up worse off. Sanctions are already in place. Europe is no longer buying its oil products and gas. Weapons are being supplied to Ukraine anyway. From a purely military standpoint, Russia also risks nothing. It has nuclear weapons, so if it succeeds and occupies the Baltics or parts of them, no one will be able to push it out. And if it loses, it won’t lose its own territory—it will simply retreat back to its borders, and NATO will not invade Russian territory because of those same nuclear weapons. So why not try? The second reason lies in the broader war aims. The goals of the Russian Federation go far beyond occupying the Baltics. First and foremost, Russia is interested in the collapse of NATO and the EU. From this perspective, any territorial gain in the Baltics would count as a victory. Even if Russia does not capture Vilnius or Tallinn, but only a few border villages, it would still be seen as a victory, because it would demonstrate NATO’s inability to protect its members. So again—why not try? The third reason: Russia has sufficient forces and resources in the potential conflict zone to accomplish military objectives and achieve an acceptable outcome. In the Leningrad Military District, there is a combat-ready grouping of about 70,000 troops, which can easily be reinforced with reserves from the Ukrainian front. This force is mechanized, with around 700 tanks and a large amount of armored vehicles. Separately, it’s worth noting the drone component, which has no real equivalent in NATO and could radically shift the balance of power in the event of an invasion. If the forces are sufficient—then why not try? As of now, the situation looks like this: Russia has enough capabilities to pursue its objectives in the Baltics and faces no clearly bad сценарии under any development of events. The situation is very similar to the one before the invasion of Ukraine—especially considering the recently introduced law allowing Putin to “protect Russians abroad.” The Baltic countries have helped us more than anyone else, and I sincerely wish our friends never face war. But to preserve peace, one must prepare for a major war. And it is very good that our Baltic friends have learned from Ukraine’s mistakes and have built defensive lines and fortifications to repel any invasion. I truly hope that the Russian Federation will break its teeth on the Baltics just as it did on Ukraine.
Mykhailo Rohoza tweet media
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@Tr00peRR Children oppose what the teachers tell them. Is this something new? The best way is stop the left indoctrination in schools and leave the kids alone
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The Daily Sneed™
The Daily Sneed™@Tr00peRR·
‘Children and teenagers chanted the far-right slogan “foreigners out, Germany for the Germans” at a “teen disco” with participants as young as 11, underlining the extent to which political extremism has become normalised….
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@JanFredebeul What prevented the EU to do so 30, 20 or 10 years ago? Or it was sarcasm, right?
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Jan Philipp Fredebeul
Jan Philipp Fredebeul@JanFredebeul·
Europe can become the next superpower! 🇪🇺🇪🇺🇪🇺
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@thecyrusjanssen Same old story if we don’t offend anyone nobody will offend us. You absolutely have to discuss this theory with Ukrainians.
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@RonFilipkowski You cannot build a tourist paradise full of light, entertainment, alcohol, restaurants and prostitution next to the guys who want to destroy the world. The party has to be put on hold until Iran mullahs are no more
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Ron Filipkowski
Ron Filipkowski@RonFilipkowski·
Seems like the elites in UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi, etc had it pretty good heading into 2025. Economies and tourism booming, construction and infrastructure projects everywhere, economic diversification. Then they went all in with Trump and are finding out what that’s like.
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@shanaka86 With complete air superiority, attack drones could be used over the area destroying everything that moves on the ground including anything that appears from underneath for a launch.
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
BREAKING: Iran built a subway system for ballistic missiles inside a granite mountain south of Yazd. Automated rails move warheads and transporter-erector-launchers between assembly halls, storage vaults, and three to ten blast-door exits carved into the mountainside at depths reaching 500 metres. A TEL rides the tracks to an exit, surfaces, fires, and retreats underground before the strike aircraft can respond. The mountain has been under construction for two decades. The IRGC did not build a bunker. It built a weapons factory with its own internal railway, buried deeper than any conventional bomb can reach. The United States and Israel have struck Yazd Imam Hussein on March 1st, March 6th and March 17th and even earlier today! Satellite imagery shows collapsed portals, cratered ventilation shafts, and destroyed surface infrastructure. The visible damage is real. The invisible infrastructure is intact. On March 20, a long-range ballistic missile launched from the Yazd complex, failed during boost phase, and crashed near Kohistan Park inside Yazd City itself. The launch failed. The fact that it happened at all is the proof. Three weeks of precision strikes on the portals did not stop the railway behind them from delivering a missile to a surviving exit. The engineering is simple in concept and devastating in practice. Each blast door is a separate exit point. When one is destroyed, the rail system reroutes to another. When that door is struck, it is backfilled with soil and concrete by the IRGC from inside, then re-excavated when the bombing pauses. CNN satellite analysis confirmed the rail layouts. Alma Research mapped the tunnel networks. The IDF acknowledged that approximately 60 percent of launch infrastructure has been destroyed. The US estimated 50 percent of capacity remains. That remaining 50 percent rides underground rails that no bomb in the American or Israeli arsenal can reach at 500 metres through granite. The GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the largest bunker-buster ever built, penetrates approximately 60 metres of reinforced concrete or roughly 40 metres of moderate rock. Granite is harder than moderate rock. Five hundred metres is more than twelve times the weapon’s maximum penetration depth. The gap between the bomb and the tunnel is not a margin of error. It is a physical impossibility. The mountain does not care how many sorties are flown above it. The railway does not care how many portals are sealed. The geology is the defence, and the geology has been there for 300 million years. This is why the war continues. Every missile that hits Arad, Dimona, or central Israel was assembled underground, moved on rails to an exit, and fired from a door that may have been destroyed and rebuilt multiple times since February 28. The persistence of Iranian missile fire despite three weeks of intensive strikes is not resilience. It is infrastructure. The IRGC did not prepare for this war by building rockets. It prepared by building railways inside mountains. The rockets are replaceable. The railways are permanent. And the granite that protects them was formed before mammals existed. The strait is 21 miles wide. The mountain is 500 metres deep. And the railway inside it is still delivering missiles to the surface. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

The United States bombed Iran’s Imam Hussein missile base south of Yazd on March 1st, March 6th, and March 17th. On March 20th, a missile launched from the same complex, failed during boost phase, and crashed near Kohistan Park in Yazd City itself. The base is still launching. The missiles are failing. And when they fail, they fall on Iranian civilians. Three strikes on the same base in three weeks and the base is not dead. It is degraded. The difference matters. The answer is underneath 500 metres of granite. Iran’s missile bases are not buildings. They are mountains. The IRGC spent two decades carving tunnel networks into ranges south of Yazd, east of Tehran at Khojir and Parchin, and across Shahrud and Isfahan. CNN satellite analysis confirmed automated internal rail systems that move missiles like train wagons between multiple blast-door exits without surfacing. The US bombs an entrance. The missile exits a different door. The rail moves the launcher to a third. Each complex has between three and ten exits. Many have been backfilled with soil and concrete to absorb strikes, then re-excavated from inside. The tunnel depth is the variable that no amount of precision munitions can overcome. Five hundred metres of granite is beyond the penetration capability of every conventional weapon in the American arsenal. The GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the largest bunker-buster ever built, penetrates approximately 60 metres of reinforced concrete or 40 metres of moderately hard rock. Against hard granite it penetrates far less. The deepest sections of Iran’s missile cities sit at least ten times beyond that. The strikes destroy what is visible: ventilation shafts, portal frames, surface infrastructure, vehicles caught outside. They do not reach the rail networks, the assembly halls, or the storage chambers buried inside the mountain. The failed launch proves the system is degraded but not destroyed. The missile reached boost phase and then fell back onto Iranian territory near a civilian park. That is not a success for Iran. But it is not the elimination of capability either. IDF estimates suggest 60 percent of Iran’s national launcher stockpile has been eliminated. US officials place the figure closer to 50 percent remaining. The difference is the underground inventory that satellite imagery cannot see and bunker-busters cannot reach. Mobile transporter-erector-launchers mounted on eight-wheel trucks exit the tunnels, fire, and retract or reposition within minutes. The doctrine is called shoot-and-scoot. It was developed during the Iran-Iraq War when Saddam’s air force hunted Iranian Scud launchers across the western desert. The IRGC learned that mobility is cheaper than armour. A truck that moves after firing survives. A silo that stays still does not. Production facilities at Khojir, Parchin, and Shahrud have suffered 60 to 70 percent damage. But missiles built before the war and stored inside mountains before the first bomb fell are still there. The rail moves them. The blast doors open. The TEL rolls out. The missile fires. The TEL retreats. The entrance is bombed again. Inside the mountain, the next launcher is already moving to the next exit. Natanz taught the world that you cannot bomb an equation. Yazd is teaching the world that you cannot bomb a geology. The physics of fission survived five strikes because knowledge is immortal. The missiles of Yazd survived three strikes because granite is harder than any warhead designed to penetrate it. Both lessons will outlast this war. The mountain does not need orders. The rail does not need a supreme leader. And the next exit is already open. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@joni_askola How this wisest of insights changes the fact that we will soon face Russia on our own while the oil price reaching $200? 80% of Europeans hate Trump, which is OK but TDS is indeed blocking all analytical and forward thinking capabilities. "Not our war" and all that
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Joni Askola
Joni Askola@joni_askola·
Trump is finding out the hard way that you can’t tariff Europe, abandon Ukraine, praise Putin, threaten to invade Greenland, constantly insult Europe, and then expect Europe’s support in an illegal and badly planned war built on lies that he launched without warning us
Joni Askola tweet media
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@Arrogance_0024 So it is not only Trump who does not like us. What a revelation for our juvenile minds
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Daniel Foubert 🇵🇱🇫🇷
In 1956, the UK 🇬🇧 and France 🇫🇷 requested America's help to secure the Suez Canal. America 🍔 replied "FUCK OFF", humiliated its allies, made a deal with the enemies of the West, and destroyed European empires. Here is the whole story: In July 1956, Egypt nationalized the Suez Canal, controlled until then by Britain and France. They prepared a joint response with Israel, expecting at minimum passive support from Washington. That support never came. The United States refused to endorse the operation and moved rapidly to block it. The method was not rhetorical; it was financial and immediate. Washington threatened the stability of the British currency, refused emergency assistance, and signaled that it would not tolerate a prolonged intervention. At the United Nations, it backed resolutions calling for a ceasefire and withdrawal. The message was explicit: stop, or face systemic consequences. The effect was brutal. British and French forces had achieved their immediate military objectives on the ground, but the operation collapsed under American pressure. Within days, both governments were forced into a humiliating retreat. Two European powers that had dominated global trade routes for a century were publicly compelled to reverse course by their principal ally. This was not a minor disagreement inside an alliance. It was a rupture that exposed a hierarchy. The United States did not merely refuse assistance; it actively sabotaged the operation. From a European standpoint, this amounted to a direct betrayal of shared strategic interests. The consequences were immediate and long-term. Suez marked the definitive end of independent British and French power projection. After 1956, neither country could conduct a major external operation without American approval. Political elites in both capitals understood that their room for maneuver had narrowed to what Washington would tolerate. Decolonization accelerated sharply. The signal sent to colonial administrations was clear: the metropole could no longer guarantee control if challenged. In Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, independence movements gained momentum as the credibility of European authority collapsed. The imperial framework, already under strain, unraveled faster after Suez. The American role in this shift was decisive. Washington opposed the maintenance of European colonial structures because they conflicted with its own strategic objectives. It sought access, influence, and alignment in newly independent states. European empires were obstacles to that expansion. By forcing Britain and France to withdraw in Suez, the United States demonstrated that it would not support the preservation of their overseas systems. What followed was a redistribution of influence. As European control receded, American economic, financial, and security networks expanded into the same regions. Oil arrangements, military partnerships, and monetary dependence increasingly aligned with US structures. The old empires disappeared, but their space did not remain empty. Suez was therefore not only the end of a crisis. It was the moment when Western leadership shifted definitively across the Atlantic. Britain and France lost the capacity to act autonomously on the world stage, and the United States established the terms under which the rest of the West would operate.
Daniel Foubert 🇵🇱🇫🇷 tweet media
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@WarMonitor3 the kindergarten is getting pacified and organized. "Not our war" shouting is fading away
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
NATO countries are coming together to help secure the Strait of Hormuz With the UK leading a multinational effort-Mark Rutte
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@frontlinekit The greater the fall of the former glorious state the phonier and mode mob alike is the elite.
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Richard Woodruff 🇺🇦
Richard Woodruff 🇺🇦@frontlinekit·
I LOVE the French 🇫🇷 Journalist: Trump wants help from Europe to open Strait of Hormuz French Gen. Richoux: "He can go Fúck himself" "He wanted to invade Greenland and now he is begging for help from Europe".
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@joni_askola We can only shout at every corner how Trump is bad. Our brain activity is limited to this noble cause. The rest is the “not our war” principle in one form or another
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Joni Askola
Joni Askola@joni_askola·
Europe is still sleepwalking. We are not taking the war in Ukraine seriously enough. This is an existential fight for our survival. If Ukraine does not defeat the Russian military, we will inevitably be fighting them inside the EU
Joni Askola tweet media
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@Mylovanov Our president misses the point. Europeans don’t want to commit to anything even remotely resembling direct confrontation with either Russia or Iran. Our weakness is obvious to everyone and no nice words can hide it - that’s why Trump, Putin and mullahs are taking us apart
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Tymofiy Mylovanov
Tymofiy Mylovanov@Mylovanov·
“We must face reality — the West has split.” Finland’s President Stubb: “Salvage what you can” of the trans-Atlantic alliance as Trump’s policies fracture relations with Europe and weaken pressure on Russia, Telegraph. 1/
Tymofiy Mylovanov tweet media
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Collingwood 🇬🇧
Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·
Important: a big chunk of Qatari gas output and LNG train expansion was designed to feed European demand. There was a big investment programme to increase LNG supply by more than 50% by 2027. Not coincidentally, this was the date that Europe was going to ban completely the purchase of Russian gas. In other words, the Iranians are smashing Europe's entire energy plan, such as it was. The big question now is will Putin stick to form and provide Europe with the energy it needs to stave off economic disaster, or will he finally twist the knife by banning sales to Europe in anticipation of the EU ban in 2027? This is the gamble European leaders are now making. Relying on the Russians to play nice after everything. Breathtaking incompetence.
Globe Observer@_GlobeObserver

🚨🇶🇦 BREAKING: Qatar Gas CEO says 'We incurred a $20 billion loss at the facility we built for $26 billion two years ago.'

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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@acnewsitics We can see how well it worked. Thanks for Obama leniency Iran now has so many advanced missiles and hundreds of kilograms of enriched uranium
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@RasmusJarlov This is either stupidity or weakness. Read some books what happens after dictatorship is appeased. Education helps.
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Rasmus Jarlov
Rasmus Jarlov@RasmusJarlov·
I have a genius idea: Dont bomb Iran. That will keep the straight of Hormuz open. It was open and no ships were attacked by Iran before that started.
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JAV 🇫🇮
JAV 🇫🇮@SuomiObserver·
@NotWoofers Sending them back to Stone Age would suffice. We don’t care too much about many terrible regimes as long as they are not able to project any power outside their borders
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