Carlos

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Carlos

Carlos

@bluecirclehead

I like coffee. A lot. Economist. DC has the worst restaurants in the world

Washington, DC Beigetreten Mart 2008
2.8K Folgt481 Follower
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
@BenedictEvans Instagram killed food blogs
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Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️@bennpeifert·
If you support Trump now, history will remember you as a deeply evil person, part of a deeply evil failed attempt to destroy America. And yes, you will fail.
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Mike Konczal
Mike Konczal@mtkonczal·
@DavidBeckworth I don't typing DSGE equations into the black box of LLMs can replace the graduate learning experience of typing DSGE equations into the black box of Dynare.
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prof-g
prof-g@prof_g·
you're a math researcher. you understand what's coming. do you: 1) write up as much as possible now while you still can assist, putting all your time into working w/AIs to produce? 2) draft up as many crazy ideas into sketch/outlines as possible, wait two years, then say "go!"
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
@JesusFerna7026 Una foto de uno de los mejores quesos que he tomado alguna vez: El Teyedu, de Pepe Bada. Cabrales, madurado en las cuevas de Tielve:
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
September 8, always the hardest day to live away from where one’s heart lies.
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
@dieworkwear The furniture collection is incredible 🥂
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derek guy
derek guy@dieworkwear·
So many people here hate modernist architecture but I'm convinced they don't even know what it is. Oscar Niemeyer's 1964 Strick House in Santa Monica is up for sale ($16M) and it's incredible. 1911 La Mesa Dr. Santa Monica, CA 90402
derek guy tweet mediaderek guy tweet mediaderek guy tweet mediaderek guy tweet media
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Dr Kareem Carr
Dr Kareem Carr@kareem_carr·
Happy to announce I successfully defended my dissertation at Harvard yesterday and I’m now a PhD.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
🎓 Today I delivered the final lecture of @Penn_Exchange’s Foundations of Economic Thought summer course by focusing on the evolution of macroeconomics from 1970 to 2000: 🔗 sites.google.com/view/foundatio… 🧠 Unsurprisingly, @UMN_Econ features prominently in the story (although @penneconomics also shows up quite a few times). 📑 You can find the slide deck here: sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/ET_5_…
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Daniel Litt
Daniel Litt@littmath·
>sympathetic response to my post about crank disproofs of the Hodge conjecture >click on respondent's profile >nonsense proof of the Riemann hypothesis
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
@bennpeifert Would you allocate time in your teams for asset pricing research that models not only predictability but causal relationships?
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Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)
Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)@__paleologo·
The latest Odd Lots episode with your truly is out. Thanks to @tracyalloway and @TheStalwart for inviting me again, and for the lovely live audience. Abstract below and link in reply.
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Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️@bennpeifert·
Friend of mine got pitched an infrastructure fund "with a 5 sharpe, 2% volatility" by a deadass serious person the other day. Cliff crashed through the window with a crowbar
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Jason Harrison
Jason Harrison@nominalthoughts·
You don’t need a rice cooker
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
@prof_g by far the most important part is “iterate until convergence”
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prof-g
prof-g@prof_g·
workflow of the past 24 hours... * start a convo w/GPT-o3 about math research idea [X] * it gives 7 good potential ideas; pick one & ask to develop * feed -o3 output to gemini-2.5-pro; it finds errors & writes feedback * paste feedback into -o3 and say asses & respond * paste response into gemini; it finds more problems * iterate until convergence * feed the consensus idea w/detailed report to grok-3 * grok finds gaping error, fixes by taking things in different direction (!!!) * gemini agrees: big problems, now ameliorated * output final consensus report * paste into claude-3.7 and ask it to outline a paper * approve outline; request latex following my style/notation conventions * claude outputs 30 pages of dense latex, section by section, one-shot (!) ==== is this correct/watertight? (surely not) is this genuinely novel? (pretty sure yes) is this the future? (no, it's the present) ==== everybody underestimates not only what is coming but what can currently be done w/existing tools.
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Carlos
Carlos@bluecirclehead·
This piece would have sparked a major political scandal in normal times. Not anymore. Nothing will happen, but at least we have a record of this. wapo.st/3YV66G2
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Ricardo Reis
Ricardo Reis@R2Rsquared·
Why didn’t electrical engineers forecast the Iberian electricity crisis?
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Neil Renic
Neil Renic@NC_Renic·
A PhD is a valuable qualification, signalling to future employers your ability to work hard while mentally unwell
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