
Brian Rolph Jr
12.4K posts

Brian Rolph Jr
@brianrolph3
Former Head of DTC at Spectrum Brands, other.. FB ads victim, 25M+ IG Network Sold. 2016 Crypto & Defi Maxi. Not cool enough to tweet, mainly reply.
New Jersey, USA Beigetreten Şubat 2018
914 Folgt2.1K Follower
Angehefteter Tweet

The real reason the $link team dumps tokens.. 👇🏼
There seems to be a massive misconception in the $link community that when the @chainlink team dumps the token from the CL wallet that it’s to fund growth..
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I'm definitely very close to just being done with crypto. I've really only been interested in 3 tokens for a while now: $AAVE, $ETH and $LINK.
I had to walk away from my aave position due to some of their top people showing poor judgement and self control. The recent exploit just solidified that for me. The vast majority of DeFi is dead in the water anyways. Tradfi isn't going to touch this stuff.
Ethereum decided the next most important thing to tackle is... 50 bips of inflation? Oh no, people are participating in Ethereum's security! The horror! But this is just one in a long line of bone headed focuses (L2 roadmap anyone???).
I still like LINK but the foundation is still dumping like 5-7% of the supply every year, which is a huge amount of inflation to absorb and likely one of the reasons the price action has been crap.
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@andyyy @lBattleRhino max bearish crypto including BTC more than ever before
Only time will tell.
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Volatility in crypto is different than traditional markets…yes.
Oil up, equities down, coins down more.
Oil down, equities up, coins up less.
I’ve started to develop a growing idea around the emergence of this AI trade coming to an end in Q2-Q3 this year as the major names (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX) launch their IPOs.
This will be a major, major liquidity event for the investors and completely change the state of these companies. Post IPO, of course they are public and for investors to underwrite them requires a $1T mcap base entry price with as a long-term investment opportunity.
Many of these investors will rotate into Bitcoin.
It will be a very very clear capital rotation at the peak mania for AI, and peak disillusionment of digital assets.
Patience.
The Rollup@therollupco
"Volatility in crypto is different than volatility in traditional markets. Everyone is naturally long." "Upside volatility is extremely beneficial for everyone. Downside volatility is painful for everyone. It creates bankruptcies, struggle overall for the ecosystem." "You can't thrive in a young market where the people around you are dying." — Adrien Bertholom, Portofino
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Crypto is paying a high price for years of altcoin scams and grifts. It can feel like a toxic industry where very little value is created.
It's easy to feel disillusioned and wish you were focusing on AI-related trading, businesses, or working at a startup in that sector. Many companies and investment firms have already begun the rotation out of Crypto. Don't let your apathy make you unproductive; it's your personal responsibility to continue learning about the world. If you feel the call of the wild, then go.
For the ones brave enough to stick around, not only will the risk-reward be as asymmetric as it's been in recent history, the concentration of upside in a handful of assets will make it EASIER to generate massive returns. There is less capital looking at Crypto exposure than ever before. This all changes with a rapid repricing in Bitcoin this year, which I believe is inevitable.
For a long time in Crypto, nothing felt buyable due to an excess of capital being forced to deploy in a sector with limited opportunity. We're in a new regime now.
We're reaching a similar level of apathy that I felt during 2019 and 2022. I almost quit Crypto to go back to TradFi. It's no surprise those were the years where I generated the bulk of my returns (sans Hyperliquid).
Outside of trading, if you're passionate about the space, companies that are still building during this period will be positioned to take advantage of the inevitable reacceleration of this industry. Working at top-tier companies in the space is more accessible than ever due to a shortage of people entering the field.
Don't undervalue your time.
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@BullandBaird $LINK $HYPE $BTC
I dunno - this seems like it’ll be a horrific take in 3-5 years.
Same FUD, diff cycle
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Brian Rolph Jr retweetet

@haumicharts @ethereum @solana I think you have the wrong tickers for “the plumbing of instituional and global finance”
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Not sure about HYPE specifically, think we all know the upside so if we get $20 that’s a gift from heaven. Regarding BTC / Eth etc, think macro is horrible. Never seen stocks / tech / AI run so hard and crypto can’t catch a single bid. 10/10, Aave, WLFI, etc. dark days ahead. I still think BTC tags $40-50k bottom at some point. Happy to be wrong of course.

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I think 1.5-2 years crypto bear market should be considered as base case, any shorter than 2 years is a blessing.
RunnerXBT@RunnerXBT
Nasdaq is up +20% in past 4 weeks okay all things considered, crypto is actually weak as fuck
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Love flood. Will have to give this a listen. I am becoming more bearish on BTC over the years given saylors exposure and control on supply, in addition to metals running during geopolitical crisis when BTC play is a safe haven asset / hard money.
I don’t believe Wall Street and hedge funds love the idea of saylors holdings.. I think long term it’s a net negative for one entity to hold that much of BTC supply.. in addition to security budget concerns and quantum concerns (which is a bit hilarious tbh), i dunno. Need to do my research on STRC.
$30-40k a bid just because the opportunity. But feel like if I’m going into this sector there’s many other plays worth the risk.
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great listen, particularly in regards to STRC
there are fundamental misunderstandings about Strategy and risk behind STRC that everyone in crypto should understand
the risk adjusted cash returns are excellent IF you are a Bitcoin bull long term, as your BTC conviction is the prerequisite for trusting the yield, not an exit plan in the case of liquidation (where you would NOT receive BTC directly, but residual cash after senior claims are satisfied)
however, one downside is many people who are not educated on the above will buy in expecting 11% returns on their cash without understanding the position they have unknowingly taken on Bitcoin
in terms of systemic risk, Strategy runs ~20% leverage, the preferreds are perpetual with no maturity walls, and there is no margin-call mechanism that would force BTC sales. the capital structure is specifically designed to never be a forced seller, so they are largely overblown
that being said, it continues to be one of the more important proxies for BTC price action to pay attention to and understand
Flood@ThinkingUSD
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@lindsay__stamp Yeah, I was speaking more broadly regarding RE. But agree
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@brianrolph3 I bought the house in 2020 when home prices were low and rates were low. It made perfect sense back then given the environment
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@MurrayHillGuy1 Weak argument. Almost all of those are supplements that are regulated, and produced in US facilities that follow GMP to ensure best practices and a documented supply chain.
Injectable drugs are much stronger with serious health consequences. need to be FDA approved for safety.
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@fundstrat @SBF_FTX wtf. Lol. Tell your admin to take the week off
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Brian Rolph Jr retweetet

I’ve earned 1,600 $LINK via #staking so far since inception.
Will it all be worth it in the end?
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@blknoiz06 shit my whole graduating class was sniffing OxyContin, driving drunk, and smoking cigarettes so maybe it’s lowkey progress?
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