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Tamilnadu assembly elections 2026. New update after today's trip. 1. Tamilnadu 234 seats. 2. Voters heard in TN- 31543 voters. 3. NDA-8 seats, getting decimated completely. The women vote has just collapsed. In today's trip, they got just 18.3% women votes. However in many rural areas, the male vote for NDA is number 1 at some 37%/38%, but the collapse of woman vote is pushing NDA deep in red territory. 4. DMK- 25 seats, just about surviving. 5. TVK- 156 seats. Being powered by women, youngsters, middle aged couples, Chennai middle class, urban town voters, sections of minorities, neutral change desiring voters. Children of non voting age are pressurizing parents to vote TVK and that is having effect. 6. Balance 45 seats undecided. 7. TVK seems demolishing NDA in all its strongholds of Salem, Namakkal, Coimbatore, Tiruppur, seats in Madurai, Theni. 8. TVK is winning some urban seats in Delta. 9. In Chennai and greater Chennai, TVK leads over DMK, may win 60% seats minimum. 10. The belt from Chennai to Bangalore is seeing a big TVK wave and most seats are being won by TVK. 11. In the end, some good MLAs with strong local connect may be surviving this change wave in TN like Periyakaruppan in Tirupattur (Sivaganga), Periyasami (Athoor), Chakrapani (Oddanchatram), Ramachandran (Thalli), Vijaybhaskar (Viralimalai). Note Tirupattur Sivaganga is still TVK in my excel due to strong town women vote preference for TVK, but my gut instinct says DMK will hold this seat. 12. Getting lot of irritated trolls commenting that polls at bus stands, tea stalls are not surveys, my reply is people at bus stands are voters, people at tea stalls are voters, voters are just voters everywhere. 13. TVK leads in 3 minority seats of Vaniyambadi, Ambur and Kadayanallur. 14. Tiruvannamalai may be the shocker of a loss for DMK strongman to TVK. 15. The BJP candidate list might come out by Diwali looking at the tensions. BJP needs to replace its current TN chief and reappoint Annamalai with full freedom. BJP needs to move away from elite Gurumurthies, Rajagopalans, RDuraiswamis. Amit Shah strategy below the Vindhyas towards South India is worse than Titanic, he needs to retire or give up TN strategy. Upper caste elites sitting in AC homes will not be able to relate to voters on the streets of Tamilnadu, the one guy who was able to orrinary street voters relate is Annamalai. 16. Easter weekend coming up and yours truly will be on ground again. Today met a Sivakasi voter in Thalli region, a lady who is voting TVK and says she recognizes Keerthana who is TVK candidate as some kind of social worker. 17. Thanks for all interactions. Fascinating elections with opinion polls giving wins to all parties. 18. Agni, CVoter and Vamsi say DMK will win. 19. News18 (VoteVibe), IdhamValam, Savyasachi say Nda edge. 20. Edwin and myself say TVK wins.

Capitalism was kept in check by the Soviet Union till the 1990s. So many nice policies that western governments in Europe and US implemented were out of fear of communism, fear that people may revolt. Once that threat was gone, the politicians started favoring corporates more and more. Ever since then, capitalism has slowly become completely unhinged because of zero competition. The world needs a strong pushback against these monopolist corporate powers.

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