muchleeman

2.5K posts

muchleeman

muchleeman

@muchleeman

Beigetreten Aralık 2022
324 Folgt38 Follower
WuM
WuM@WuMPraTT·
@poslerevolucije @DefensePolitics War is about logistics. Without resupplying, Iran won't be able to last like either Russia or Ukraine who can easily resupply from adjacent territories
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@eCashglobal @AMK_Mapping_ @DefensePolitics Bro doesn't know how defensive fortifications work. Even the Taliban simply hid in the mountains and they ended up outlasting the u.s long enough till the u.s pulled out. Knowing how iran makes its fortified facilities, how stupid are you to make such a statement
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Anthony ฿anks 🌐 👑
@AMK_Mapping_ @DefensePolitics The sword cuts two ways, dumbass!!! It's hard to traverse the Iranian geography offensively, but defensively its equally as hard to execute logistics, move around reinforcements and hardware etc... So its a level playing field bc Iran has home adv, but US is better equipped..
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@Zagonel85 If Iran had actually attacked us and they died actually defending us then id agree with you but that isnt the case. We literally put ourselves in a war we never had to be part of and these troops are dying for a bullshit war. Like are you expecting Iran not to kill anyone in war?
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Zagonel
Zagonel@Zagonel85·
I love my country, and my Russian heritage (and by the way wtf do you have to show for yourselves?), but I could never support Iran after they killed our boys. Never.
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@DD_Geopolitics @GeromanAT Bro not even ukraine folded this hard into their war lol. It literally took years for them to increase the ages
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DD Geopolitics
DD Geopolitics@DD_Geopolitics·
The U.S. Army has quietly raised the maximum enlistment age from 34 to 42, effective March 20, 2026. The change applies to both first-time applicants and those with prior military service. Also buried in the same update: the Army is eliminating the waiver requirement for a single marijuana conviction or drug paraphernalia conviction.
DD Geopolitics tweet media
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@Megatron_ron So basically almost the exact same terms from before the war. Yea nah. Iran just isnt gonna take it seriously cuz its quite evidently clear the u.s and israel will hit them again in the future
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Megatron
Megatron@Megatron_ron·
BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 The 15-point plan the US will propose to Iran, according to Israeli Channel 12: 1. Removal of all sanctions on Iran. 2. US assistance in advancing and developing a civilian nuclear project (electricity generation). 3. Removal of the threat of sanctions being reimposed. 4. Iran’s nuclear programme is frozen under a defined framework. 5. Enriched uranium to remain, but under supervision and agreed limits. 6. Missile programme to be addressed at a later stage, with limits on quantity and range. 7. Use of nuclear programmes restricted to civilian/defensive purposes only. 8. Development of existing nuclear capabilities halted. 9. No further expansion of enrichment capabilities. 10. No production of weapons-grade nuclear material on Iranian soil. 11. All enriched material to be handed over to the IAEA within an agreed timeline. 12. Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow to be taken out of use (destroyed). 13. International monitoring and verification mechanisms enforced. 14. Gradual implementation tied to compliance. 15.Additional regional and security understandings between the parties.
Megatron tweet media
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@DD_Geopolitics Bro these are almost the exact same terms from before the war started. Why tf would Iran take this seriously. Note that only the u.s and israel are talking ceasefire right now while iran keeps ignoring anything they do
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DD Geopolitics
DD Geopolitics@DD_Geopolitics·
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 USA BEGGING FOR A CEASEFIRE? Israel's Channel 12 has published the U.S. 15-point plan to end the war with Iran. 1. Removal of all sanctions on Iran. 2. US assistance in advancing and developing a civilian nuclear project (electricity generation). 3. Removal of the threat of sanctions being reimposed. 4. Iran’s nuclear programme is frozen under a defined framework. 5. Enriched uranium to remain, but under supervision and agreed limits. 6. Missile programme to be addressed at a later stage, with limits on quantity and range. 7. Use of nuclear programmes restricted to civilian/defensive purposes only. 8. Development of existing nuclear capabilities halted. 9. No further expansion of enrichment capabilities. 10. No production of weapons-grade nuclear material on Iranian soil. 11. All enriched material to be handed over to the IAEA within an agreed timeline. 12. Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow to be taken out of use (destroyed). 13. International monitoring and verification mechanisms enforced. 14. Gradual implementation tied to compliance. 15.Additional regional and security understandings between the parties. The proposed mechanism: a one-month ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey, during which negotiations would take place. A peace summit in Islamabad is being discussed for as early as Thursday. Iran has not agreed to attend.
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@SprinterPress This plan is almost as worse as invading the other island mentioned earlier. The only reason this isnt as worse is cuz its closer to the strait. To get to the other island, you would have to sail almost the entirety of the Persian Gulf to reach it. Other than that, still killzone
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Sprinter Press
Sprinter Press@SprinterPress·
There is a theory that Trump's plans for an invasion of the Harg island are nothing more than a diversionary tactic and a massive psychological operation, which is being fed to the mainstream media to create a false trail. While attention is focused on this island deep in the Gulf, where the deployment of amphibious forces is impossible due to complete Iranian superiority in fire control, the real plan lies elsewhere. The real target is the Kishm island. This is a much larger territory located in the heart of the Strait of Hormuz. Unlike Harg island, theoretically capturing Kishm would allow Trump to claim that he bypassed Iranian dominance in the strait. Deploying massive air defense assets there and establishing improvised air bases is an attempt to convince international shipping companies and insurers, paralyzed by fear, that passage is safe. Interestingly, if the US launches an operation, Iran would only need one hit with its anti-ship and/or ballistic missiles to completely stop commercial traffic in that area. When warships and civilian vessels start sinking en masse, shipping will be completely halted. There is a very real chance that any American presence on the island will be wiped out by endless waves of drones and missiles. The situation for the landing forces is further worsened by the IRGC's possession of secret tunnels for infiltration onto the island directly from the mainland.
Sprinter Press tweet media
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@Red_State_Rebel @ArmchairW That is irrelevant if those carriers cant be reassigned to this war. All other carriers are either busy in their own region or are also stuck at port. If those carriers were actually available, only then would your threat have any real substance
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Armchair Warlord
Armchair Warlord@ArmchairW·
This is comparable to the amount of time the USS Forrestal spent undergoing repairs after its 1967 fire that killed 134 sailors, and which involved the secondary detonations of no fewer than ten bombs on the flight deck. That fire also only took 18 hours to fully extinguish.
Armchair Warlord tweet media
Policy Tensor@policytensor

Was it really a laundry fire that put a carrier out of action? Very big kill if it was the Iranians. And more proof that the A2/AD nightmare has come true.

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Megatron
Megatron@Megatron_ron·
BREAKING: 🇮🇶🇮🇷 Cluster munition over Iraq
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Ben 'Jamin
Ben 'Jamin@BenjaminsMutuku·
@MekGeri @tparsi @mehdirhasan That’s not gonna happen! Iran 🇮🇷 isn’t Venezuela 🇻🇪 And this isn’t the 1900s or 1800s for that matter!
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Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
Energy industry insider in Iran tells me the following, and it is STUNNING: Before the war, Iran produced just shy of 1.1mn barrels of oil per day, and sold it at $65 per barrel minus $18 discount (i.e. $47) Today, it produces 1.5mn barrels a day, and sells it at $110 with only $2-4 discount. And this does not include petrochemical sales that not only have increased, but are now being sold to a larger set of customers compared to before the war. Moreover, Iran is receiving payments through new mechanisms that bypass the UAE, which were set up after the June war. In essence, and this is really important to understand, Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto sanctions relief. This means that Iran is all the less incentivized to end the war, unless the agreement provides Iran with formal sanctions relief.
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@amuse @tparsi We are literally tracking tankers leaving the strait for China. Tf you on lmao
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@amuse
@amuse@amuse·
@tparsi The good news is that they're not selling anything. The oil being sold now was already at sea and the Treasury has frozen the funds so that they are available to the new Iranian government.
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@Zagonel85 Bro come on. They arent even negotiating so where is this coming from
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Zagonel
Zagonel@Zagonel85·
Iran Agrees to 5-Year Freeze on Missile Program Source: Israel Channel 12 News
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@squatsons makes sense. he is gonna lay off rn to stabilize the markets again with more bullshit then go all out when the markets close
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ayden
ayden@squatsons·
I wonder what happens in 5 days… Why would Trump choose that specific timeline? Oh ya the markets close.
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@Zagonel85 a simple google search does the trick lol. these guys are smoking smt special if they rlly think the location of Diego Garcia is smh secret
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@cym27s theyre not actually serious. iran made their terms clear for any chance of peace. u.s and israel prob just wanna assassinate him
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VolgaLad
VolgaLad@cym27s·
N12: The senior Iranian figure the U.S. is holding contacts with is Parliament Speaker Qalibaf
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@cym27s its just all price manipulation to keep the energy prices low
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VolgaLad
VolgaLad@cym27s·
N12 citing an Israeli official: Trump’s statement last week that there would be no further strikes on gas facilities encouraged the Iranians, as they saw it as a sign of weakness. There is concern they may also view the cancellation of the current ultimatum as weakness, which would be bad news
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@fs3indy @pati_marins64 Also dont use the proxy bullshit cuz literally everyone uses proxies. Proxies are not a legitimate reason to actually declare war as we have seen throughout recent history
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muchleeman
muchleeman@muchleeman·
@fs3indy @pati_marins64 Imagine being this stupid after all the shit that has happened. Iran only attacked after it was bombed. If your statements were even remotely true then how is it that Iran is never the one to engage first. Its always been the u.s and israel.
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Patricia Marins
Patricia Marins@pati_marins64·
A few days ago, I said that the Gulf countries made a bet, believing in the US-Israeli outlook that a victory over Iran would be quick and triumphant. These countries took a side, not only by allowing their territory to be used for attacks, but Saudi Arabia even used a tanker to provide mid-air refueling for planes on their way to strike Iran. All these countries chose a side and are collaborating with the war, but the Iranian reaction has been so strong that it has left them stunned, and now all they do is deny having any knowledge of it. The only certainty is that this war has ruined any normalization of relations between the GCC and Iran.
Vivian Nereim@viviannereim

WSJ: Some missiles U.S. has used against Iran "can travel 200-300 miles, meaning they likely were fired from the territory of...Gulf countries that have taken the brunt of Iranian drone & missile attacks. None has admitted to allowing [this]" wsj.com/world/iran-war…

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Zineb Riboua
Zineb Riboua@zriboua·
IRGC has no idea what is going on. Their whole chain of command has been compromised and now actively being destroyed. They have no idea what to do, or say, even their actions have been sporadic and managed to have the whole Gulf against them now. As @omriceren pointed out which is likely to be true as it’s the only reasonable answer: "the Iranians read stuff on X and think they’re winning."
Ryan Saavedra@RyanSaavedra

IRGC Spokesman Ebrahim Zolfaghari mocks President Trump in English: "Hey, Trump, you’re fired! You’re familiar with this sentence. Thank you for your attention to this matter."

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Lord Bebo
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo·
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 There's a huge risk that US hasn't fully destroyed Iran's missile facilities Many of their complex structures located up to 500 meters underground. Even powerful bombs, like the GBU-57A/B, can only damage entrances but not the arsenal within. As a result, while surface operations might SEEM successful, the risk of retaliation from these hidden facilities remains, potentially trapping the US in a cycle of repeated strikes.
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo

🇱🇧🇮🇱 Hezbollah launched multiple rocket barrages from Lebanon into northern Israel 1 killed already & many wounded — the first Israeli fatality from Lebanese fire

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