Darren Schlanger

2.8K posts

Darren Schlanger

Darren Schlanger

@shlonjay

Chiasmus Capital, Columbia College, Harvard Law

Beigetreten Şubat 2015
219 Folgt315 Follower
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
If congress keeps running 6-7% deficits and destroying dollar purchasing power we should expect many more Mamdani’s across the country.
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@OnodaCapital Except it’s 2 and 7 unsuited against 2 and 7 unsuited with all pictures on the flop…
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Hiroo Onoda
Hiroo Onoda@OnodaCapital·
Have you ever been playing poker and you just get so bored that you bet big with like a pair of Jacks. But that erratic guy calls you and so you raise all-in but then you realize he might actually just call that too? This is a politics tweet
Hiroo Onoda@OnodaCapital

Some investors drive 80 MPH in a 25 zone. They swerve, and hit brakes, and avoid obstacles — and they survive. “Great risk manager”, “really talented”, “cuts losses” Eventually they crash. And it’s very obvious in hindsight. This is a politics tweet

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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@KASDad The vast bulk of the recent earnings revisions higher is the memory trade…
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@rev_cap US can’t memorialize Iranian control of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb Straits and Iran has nothing else to offer, so what is there to negotiate?
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Rev Cap
Rev Cap@rev_cap·
Iran has so few incentives to walk from this without meaningfully advancing its economic position It can come out of this controlling the SOH, collecting tolls, ejecting the US from the region And everyone just thinks they’ll normalize to pre invasion because Trump asked them?
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@ces921 Try hopium instead of helium - the glut has never been larger…
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Craig Shapiro
Craig Shapiro@ces921·
Tried to get balloons at the local Publix down here in SWFL for my daughter today. Publix attendant said they are out of Helium because the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Was surprised that helium shortages showed up so quickly. Also was pleasantly surprised that Publix worker knew the reason why.
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FinancialJuice
FinancialJuice@financialjuice·
Trump on Iran: They just don't want to say uncle.
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Texas Oncologist
Texas Oncologist@TexasOncologist·
Nope, that’s a fade Because you’ll need far, far more than that to keep WTI/Brent from rising
Texas Oncologist tweet media
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@PeterBerezinBCA Will be interesting now to track the impact on the gig economy considering ~50% of freelance labor is tied to delivery/transport (read: oil)…
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Andy Constan
Andy Constan@dampedspring·
Oil experts are an interesting breed of people. They are sorta like gold bugs. For long periods they sit in a distant corner of the financial markets. We pass by their desks and they nod at us and occasionally they get our attention and draw us close. We hear their predictions of chaos and global doom. We slowly back away and go about our business and live life. Episodically once every decade or so these same people are thrust to the center of the stage. They haven't changed. They are the same people. It's us who have decided to pay attention. Their story remains the same. Energy is a physical commodity and real supply shocks will unleash chaos on the global economy for years to come. The thing is they amaze us with their depth and understanding of all things energy. Barrel count, geopolitical alignments of countries, grades, distillates, etc. So many facts. So much depth. So credible. They always had this level of credibility. They have specialized in this topic for their lifetime and we are simply tourists. They are incredibly valuable and always have been. Maybe this time is different. Certainly market prices of oil and scarce immediate supply is "chaotic" and feeds back into the real economy. Heck I care about the path of oil and its impact on the global economy and various market sectors. At the same time I suggest recognizing that YOU are the one who has changed. If your Oil guru or gurus have been saying the same thing for decades despite being wrong for decades it's your job to find the rare one who is pivoting and see their rationale and then for YOU to back slowly away from the perma oil bulls.
GIF
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@realKunalAShah Wild. I think markets have become conditioned on the premise that more inflation means higher corp profits. Inflationary shocks leading to deflationary busts (“reverse covid” as you call it) is something entirely different…
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Kunal Shah 🗽
Kunal Shah 🗽@realKunalAShah·
A reverse COVID situation is about to hit, and I’m shocked markets are where they are?
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@sidprabhu Better than the “Hormuz Collection” of fine drones available at Macy’s and Nordstrom….
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
Gold is up another $100 today, with gold stocks already adding 5% to yesterday's 7% surge. It's not because the war is over, but because investors are realizing that regardless of what Trump says or how the war progresses, it will accelerate the move out of dollars and into gold.
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Nicholas Lissack
Nicholas Lissack@NicholasLissack·
@MarkRuffalo When the Iranian regime massacred 50,000 people in two days, you said nothing. Shut up, Mark.
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Mark Ruffalo
Mark Ruffalo@MarkRuffalo·
This is something I have been worrying a lot about. We have psychopaths waging this war. We have seen Netanyahu gleefully carry out a genocide in Gaza reducing it to a nuclear bomb site. Why would he not go further now in Iran? There has been absolutely no consequences for his war crimes in Gaza. Trump has only assisted them. This has got to stop. As the citizens of the world we have to stop this. They can not be allowed to carry out a nuclear strike on the millions of innocent people of Iran. These are our fellow human beings, regardless of their leaders. This is insanity.
Mohamad Safa@mhdksafa

I don't think people understand the gravity of the situation as the UN is preparing for possible nuclear weapon use in Iran. This is a picture of Tehran. For you uneducated, untraveled, never-served, warhawks licking your chops at the thought of bombing it. It's not some low population desert. There are families, children, family pets. Regular working class people with dreams. You're sick to want war. Tehran is a city of nearly 10,000,000 people. Imagine nuking Washington, Berlin, Paris, London, or beyond, bombed with nuclear weapons. I gave up my diplomatic career to leak this information. I suspended my duties so as not to be part of or a witness to this crime against humanity, in an attempt to prevent a nuclear winter before it is too late. Yesterday, nearly ten million people protested “No Kings” in the United States. The possibility of the use of nuclear weapons must be taken very seriously. It's dangerous. Act now. Spread this message worldwide. Take the streets. Protest for our humanity and future. Only the people can stop it. History will remember us.

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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@BlacklionCTA Tricky level here though imho. If oil stays 80-90 not enough to freeze the economy but more than enough to keep cpi way too high. No mans land. But directionally I’m with you and looking to reload what I unloaded on this move since the 2’s hit 4 handle…
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Brent aka Blacklion
Brent aka Blacklion@BlacklionCTA·
SOFR futures coming around to reality.
Brent aka Blacklion tweet media
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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@sidprabhu They have the best already… spent 20mm last year, 7th largest after Liberia Saudi japan china marshal islands s Korea…
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
America is amazing because for the right price you can buy anything and anyone. Academics and former economic advisors included. In other countries you’d have to honeypot them with prostitutes and stuff. In the U.S. you just straight up pay them via speaking engagements and consulting projects and they’ll spout whatever retarded worldview you please. The impact on their great-grandchildren be dammed. 🇺🇸
Defiant L’s@DefiantLs

Jeffrey Sachs: "We need a global government."

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Colossus Capital🗽
Colossus Capital🗽@colossus_cap·
@hkuppy GCC has been selling gold to plug export losses from Hormuz being shut, so it's been trading opposite how one might expect
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